Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Expected goals, WSH–CAR
- 2.7–3.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- CAR share of xG
- 56.1%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 22–35
- WSH–CAR
- Pre-game model
- CAR 62%
- win chance, model game-0.2
The story
The Hurricanes won 4-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Capitals 3.5 to 2.7 in expected goals. The Hurricanes scored three straight at one stage. Level at 2 after two, it was settled in the third. One of the goals went into an empty net. Mark Jankowski has scored in 5 straight games. Andrei Svechnikov had three points, two goals and one assist.
- Mark JankowskiStreak
Mark Jankowski has scored in 5 straight games. That makes 5 straight games with a point. He has 5 goals this season. It finished 4-2 for the Hurricanes.
- Andrei SvechnikovBig night
Andrei Svechnikov had three points, two goals and one assist. His goal stood up as the winner. He has 6 goals this season. It finished 4-2 for the Hurricanes.
- Boone JennerStreak
Boone Jenner has scored in 3 straight games. That was his third goal of the season. He played 16:01 and had two shots on goal. The Capitals lost 4-2 to the Hurricanes.
- Sebastian AhoStreak
Sebastian Aho has a point in 7 straight games. He has 13 points in 8 games this season. He played 21:29 and had three shots on goal. It finished 4-2 for the Hurricanes.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 87 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Washington Capitals
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Fehérváry D | 24:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 70 |
| Jakob Chychrun D | 22:19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 4 | 38 |
| Vincent Desharnais D | 20:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 4 | 1 | 55 |
| Tom Wilson R | 19:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 40 |
| Cole Hutson D | 19:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 84 |
| Timothy Liljegren D | 18:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 1 | 5 | 33 |
| Alex Tuch R | 18:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 39 |
| Dylan Strome C | 18:18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 46 |
| Boone Jenner C | 16:01 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 47 |
| Aliaksei Protas L | 15:57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 50 |
| Ryan Leonard R | 13:09 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 72 |
| Ilya Protas L | 13:03 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | 1 | 1 | 33 |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 13:02 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Justin Holl D | 12:05 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 41 |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 12:02 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 60 |
| Justin Sourdif C | 11:29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 2 | 0 | 59 |
| Jordan Kyrou R | 10:47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 59 |
| Ethen Frank R | 10:15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 70 |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Andre Miller D | 22:59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 3 | 1 | 44 |
| Sebastian Aho C | 21:29 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 67 |
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 21:29 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0.83 | 1 | 1 | 73 |
| Sean Walker D | 21:26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 5 | 50 |
| Jaccob Slavin D | 20:47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 4 | 59 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 19:45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 18:57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| Jalen Chatfield D | 18:38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
| Jackson Blake R | 18:20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Mark Jankowski L | 15:52 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.93 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Logan Stankoven C | 15:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 23 |
| Eric Robinson L | 14:49 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 4 | 1 | 53 |
| William Carrier L | 13:37 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.33 | 5 | 1 | 62 |
| Jordan Martinook L | 13:03 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 36 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 11:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 3 | 0 | 78 |
| Mike Reilly D | 10:32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 43 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 9:16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 3 | 0 | 85 |
| Taylor Hall L | 4:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute