Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Expected goals, VAN–NYI
- 2.8–3.1
- all situations, empty nets out
- NYI share of xG
- 53.2%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–38
- VAN–NYI
- Pre-game model
- NYI 75%
- win chance, model game-0.2
The story
The Islanders beat the Canucks 3-2 in a game the chances had about even, 3.2 expected goals to 2.8. Level at 2 after two, it was settled in the third. Kyle Palmieri had two goals. Bo Horvat has a point in 6 straight games.
- Kyle PalmieriTwo goals
Kyle Palmieri had two goals. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his second goal of the season. It finished 3-2 for the Islanders.
- Bo HorvatStreak
Bo Horvat has a point in 6 straight games. He has 7 points in 6 games this season. He played 19:49 and had three shots on goal. The Islanders beat the Canucks 3-2.
- Matias MaccelliDrought over
Matias Maccelli scored for the first time in 21 games. That was his first goal of the season. He played 15:26 and had five shots on goal. It finished 3-2 for the Islanders.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 87 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Vancouver Canucks
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Willander D | 25:43 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 4 | 3 | 55 |
| Filip Hronek D | 24:53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 57 |
| Elias Pettersson C | 21:03 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 55 |
| Marco Rossi C | 18:02 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| Brock Boeser R | 17:49 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 58 |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 17:12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 2 | 60 |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 16:50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 41 |
| Elias Pettersson D | 16:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 56 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki R | 16:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 56 |
| Zeev Buium D | 16:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 42 |
| Paul Cotter L | 15:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 31 |
| Drew O'Connor L | 14:55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 3 | 0 | 46 |
| Liam Ohgren L | 14:49 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.53 | 2 | 0 | 49 |
| Linus Karlsson C | 13:02 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Max Sasson C | 11:40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 57 |
| Brendan Gallagher R | 11:33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 2 | 42 |
| Luke Schenn D | 11:10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 5 | 0 | 38 |
| Arshdeep Bains L | 10:55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 51 |
New York Islanders
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer D | 25:23 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.57 | 2 | 1 | 53 |
| Logan Stanley D | 20:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 52 |
| Ryan Pulock D | 20:10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 53 |
| Adam Pelech D | 19:56 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 50 |
| Bo Horvat C | 19:49 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.34 | 2 | 0 | 64 |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 17:02 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 55 |
| Brayden Schenn C | 16:57 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 16:44 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 69 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 15:26 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 70 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 14:59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 3 | 4 | 42 |
| Calum Ritchie C | 14:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| Matthew Kessel D | 13:51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 38 |
| Victor Eklund R | 13:49 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Ondrej Palat L | 13:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 36 |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 13:15 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 71 |
| Emil Heineman L | 12:32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 3 | 1 | 83 |
| Casey Cizikas C | 12:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 79 |
| Anthony Duclair L | 11:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute