Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Expected goals, COL–DAL
- 2.6–2.8
- all situations, empty nets out
- DAL share of xG
- 52.2%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 25–26
- COL–DAL
- Pre-game model
- DAL 43%
- win chance, model game-0.2
The story
The Avalanche beat the Stars 3-2 in a game the chances had about even, 2.6 expected goals to 2.9. Both power plays scored, one for the Avalanche and one for the Stars. Martin Necas had two goals. Tyler Seguin put 7 shots on goal, his most in a game since 2023-24.
- Martin NecasTwo goals
Martin Necas had two goals. His goal stood up as the winner. He has 4 goals this season. He played 23:24 and had two shots on goal. The Avalanche beat the Stars 3-2.
- Tyler SeguinVolume
Tyler Seguin put 7 shots on goal, his most in a game since 2023-24. His average this season was 2.2. The Stars fell 3-2 to the Avalanche.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 78 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Toews D | 25:11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.28 | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| Martin Necas C | 23:24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 47 |
| Nazem Kadri C | 22:47 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | 1 | 2 | 35 |
| Brent Burns D | 20:03 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 20:01 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.95 | 0 | 1 | 46 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 19:45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 3 | 67 |
| Brock Nelson C | 19:39 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.52 | 0 | 3 | 49 |
| Sam Malinski D | 19:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| Josh Manson D | 19:01 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Brett Kulak D | 18:25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 51 |
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 16:29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 49 |
| T.J. Hughes R | 13:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Jaden Schwartz L | 13:02 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 45 |
| Parker Kelly C | 12:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 3 | 1 | 38 |
| Noah Juulsen D | 12:36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 2 | 49 |
| Fedor Svechkov C | 11:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 13 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 9:50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Zachary L'Heureux L | 0:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | – |
Dallas Stars
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harley D | 25:53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 64 |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 25:09 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 74 |
| Esa Lindell D | 22:37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 63 |
| Jason Robertson L | 22:18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 70 |
| Mikko Rantanen R | 21:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 48 |
| Sam Steel C | 20:28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.57 | 1 | 0 | 49 |
| Nils Lundkvist D | 17:48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 60 |
| Tyler Seguin C | 17:17 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0.57 | 2 | 0 | 60 |
| Roope Hintz C | 16:30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 61 |
| Lian Bichsel D | 15:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 54 |
| Oskar Bäck C | 14:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 40 |
| Jamie Benn L | 13:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 3 | 0 | 62 |
| Justin Hryckowian C | 13:40 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 83 |
| Arttu Hyry R | 13:31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 95 |
| Tyler Myers D | 12:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 56 |
| Radek Faksa C | 9:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 85 |
| Colin Blackwell C | 8:25 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 65 |
| Kyle Capobianco D | 2:59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute