Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Expected goals, VGK–NSH
- 2.0–2.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- NSH share of xG
- 54.6%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 25–27
- VGK–NSH
- Pre-game model
- NSH 39%
- win chance, model game-0.2
The story
The Golden Knights beat the Predators 5-2 in a game the chances had about even, 2.0 expected goals to 2.5. The Golden Knights scored three straight at one stage. Filip Forsberg had 12 shot attempts. Juuse Saros allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.0 expected goals.
- Filip ForsbergVolume
Filip Forsberg had 12 shot attempts. Seven got through to the goalie, and none went in. He came in averaging 5.8 attempts a game. The Predators lost 5-2 to the Golden Knights.
- Juuse SarosRough night
Juuse Saros allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.0 expected goals. That is 3.0 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Predators lost 5-2 to the Golden Knights.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
7 goals from 73 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Vegas Golden Knights
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore D | 21:51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 21:09 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 3 | 4 | 52 |
| Noah Hanifin D | 19:31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 5 | 48 |
| Rasmus Andersson D | 19:24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 45 |
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 51 |
| Jack Eichel C | 17:54 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Mark Stone R | 16:38 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 16:10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 34 |
| Dylan Coghlan D | 16:08 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 58 |
| Brett Howden C | 15:29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 77 |
| Mitch Marner R | 15:24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 84 |
| William Karlsson C | 15:22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 81 |
| Tomas Hertl C | 14:27 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 73 |
| Braeden Bowman R | 14:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 35 |
| Trevor Connelly L | 14:00 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 71 |
| Nic Dowd C | 13:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 40 |
| Raphael Lavoie C | 13:11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 74 |
| Marc Gatcomb C | 11:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
Nashville Predators
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Forsberg L | 23:06 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0.41 | 0 | 1 | 39 |
| Roman Josi D | 23:03 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 20:22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Adam Wilsby D | 19:09 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 39 |
| Steven Stamkos C | 18:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 30 |
| Brady Skjei D | 17:04 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 6 | 1 | 64 |
| Jonathan Marchessault R | 17:00 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 62 |
| Jack Drury C | 16:52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Alexander Kerfoot C | 16:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 68 |
| Jayden Struble D | 16:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 55 |
| Adam Edstrom C | 15:58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 4 | 3 | 53 |
| Nick Perbix D | 15:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 74 |
| Nicolas Hague D | 15:04 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 45 |
| Matthew Wood R | 14:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Ross Colton C | 14:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 5 | 0 | 55 |
| Nils Hoglander L | 12:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Vitali Pinchuk C | 11:27 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
| Jack Ahcan D | 9:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute