Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Final (SO)
- Expected goals, DAL–COL
- 1.9–2.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- COL share of xG
- 56.6%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 22–27
- DAL–COL
- Pre-game model
- COL 63%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Stars beat the Avalanche 3-2 in a shootout while losing the expected-goals count 1.9 to 2.6. Sam Malinski had 9 shot attempts. Nazem Kadri had two assists. Casey DeSmith made 25 saves for the Stars.
- Sam MalinskiVolume
Sam Malinski had 9 shot attempts. Four got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 2.2. The Avalanche lost 3-2 to the Stars in a shootout.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
DALCOL
0204060
DAL 32COL 41
1st2nd3rdOT
Where the shots came from
4 goals from 73 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← DAL shootingCOL shooting →
Dallas Stars
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Heiskanen D | 30:03 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 50 |
| Esa Lindell D | 24:51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 51 |
| Mikko Rantanen R | 23:06 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 36 |
| Thomas Harley D | 23:04 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.34 | 2 | 5 | 44 |
| Jason Robertson L | 22:23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 3 | 1 | 51 |
| Justin Hryckowian C | 19:37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 41 |
| Sam Steel C | 18:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| Roope Hintz C | 18:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Nils Lundkvist D | 17:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Tyler Seguin C | 14:59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| Arttu Hyry R | 14:40 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.43 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Tyler Myers D | 13:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 19 |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 13:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 58 |
| Lian Bichsel D | 13:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 3 | 21 |
| Jamie Benn L | 12:58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| Radek Faksa C | 12:41 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 57 |
| Colin Blackwell C | 10:58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 4 | 0 | 52 |
| Oskar Bäck C | 3:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 25:22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 53 |
| Nazem Kadri C | 24:16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 85 |
| Brock Nelson C | 23:02 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 68 |
| Devon Toews D | 22:55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 66 |
| Cale Makar D | 22:54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 74 |
| Martin Necas C | 22:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 21:57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 3 | 2 | 58 |
| Brett Kulak D | 19:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 53 |
| Sam Malinski D | 16:13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 2 | 72 |
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 15:49 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 3 | 1 | 54 |
| Fedor Svechkov C | 15:47 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.53 | 0 | 1 | 72 |
| T.J. Hughes R | 14:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 71 |
| Brent Burns D | 14:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 50 |
| Jaden Schwartz L | 13:47 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 71 |
| Josh Manson D | 12:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 5 | 31 |
| Parker Kelly C | 10:22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 65 |
| Noah Juulsen D | 8:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 81 |
| Gavin Brindley C | 6:46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 87 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.