GRIT & GF

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes

Winnipeg Jets

Expected goals, CAR–WPG
3.3–2.6
all situations, empty nets out
WPG share of xG
44.5%
50% is even
Shots on goal
37–23
CAR–WPG
Pre-game model
WPG 39%
win chance, model game-0.3

The story

The Hurricanes won 3-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Jets 3.3 to 2.7 in expected goals. It was tied 2-2 going into the third. Two of the Hurricanes' goals came on the power play. Mark Jankowski has scored in 6 straight games. Jesperi Kotkaniemi scored for the first time in 36 games.

  • Mark Jankowski has scored in 6 straight games. That makes 6 straight games with a point. He has 6 goals this season. It finished 3-2 for the Hurricanes.

  • Jesperi KotkaniemiDrought over

    Jesperi Kotkaniemi scored for the first time in 36 games. He has 1 goal this season. He played 10:00 and had one shot on goal. It finished 3-2 for the Hurricanes.

  • Mark Scheifele has a point in 5 straight games. That was his second goal of the season. He played 19:19 and had three shots on goal. The Jets fell 3-2 to the Hurricanes.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

CARWPG

Where the shots came from

5 goals from 90 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← CAR shootingWPG shooting →

Carolina Hurricanes

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
K'Andre Miller D23:000020.071036
Sean Walker D22:470020.060227
Jaccob Slavin D22:020030.081463
Sebastian Aho C20:510000.001044
Jalen Chatfield D20:280040.190062
Jackson Blake R20:090040.560062
Andrei Svechnikov R18:390020.193040
Logan Stankoven C17:070150.400061
Nikolaj Ehlers L15:541010.250041
Shayne Gostisbehere D15:470230.120179
Bradly Nadeau L15:170110.153058
William Carrier L14:500000.125161
Jordan Martinook L13:460020.360152
Mark Jankowski L13:071040.560053
Mike Reilly D12:220010.022057
Eric Robinson L10:340110.0320100
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C10:001010.073079
Felix Unger Sörum R9:200010.060295

Winnipeg Jets

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Neal Pionk D23:210010.004145
Dylan Samberg D22:440000.002436
Dylan DeMelo D21:330000.021054
Haydn Fleury D20:160010.095160
Kyle Connor L20:120020.110241
Mark Scheifele C19:191030.401144
Gabriel Vilardi C18:470020.500256
Mario Ferraro D18:040020.021437
Viggo Björck C17:110010.171053
Cole Perfetti C16:420030.201141
Alex Iafallo L16:261020.140341
Isak Rosen R15:210020.241041
Adam Lowry C15:040120.294243
Nino Niederreiter R14:170010.384140
Jack St. Ivany D12:220000.011134
Morgan Barron C10:510010.103069
Cole Koepke L6:550000.00300
Brad Lambert C5:550000.00100

How the line moved against our model is part of Pro

Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.