GRIT & GF

Saturday, October 17, 2026

San Jose Sharks

Detroit Red Wings

Final (SO)

Expected goals, SJS–DET
4.2–3.1
all situations, empty nets out
DET share of xG
42.7%
50% is even
Shots on goal
34–27
SJS–DET
Pre-game model
DET 67%
win chance, model game-0.3

The story

The Sharks created more, 4.2 expected goals to 3.1, and lost 4-3 in a shootout to the Red Wings. The Sharks scored three straight at one stage. Both power plays scored, one for the Red Wings and two for the Sharks. The Red Wings trailed by two at one point. Macklin Celebrini had 16 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Will Smith had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24.

  • Macklin Celebrini had 16 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Seven got through to the goalie, and one went in. He came in averaging 6.0 attempts a game. He finished with one goal and two assists. The Sharks lost 4-3 to the Red Wings in a shootout.

  • Will Smith had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Four got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 4.7. He played 25:11, about 6 minutes over his average. The Sharks fell 4-3 to the Red Wings in a shootout.

  • Emmitt Finnie had 9 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Six reached the net and one went in. He came in averaging 3.1 attempts a game. The Red Wings beat the Sharks 4-3 in a shootout.

  • Dmitry OrlovDrought over

    Dmitry Orlov scored for the first time in 21 games. That was his first goal of the season. The Sharks lost 4-3 to the Red Wings in a shootout.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

SJSDET

Where the shots came from

6 goals from 100 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← SJS shootingDET shooting →

San Jose Sharks

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Macklin Celebrini C26:541271.481172
Will Smith C25:110140.760077
Darnell Nurse D23:160050.101133
Alexander Wennberg C23:000130.440158
Jacob Trouba D22:150010.091543
Michael Kesselring D20:230110.011046
Dmitry Orlov D20:091010.150059
Ivar Stenberg L17:301130.270025
Sam Dickinson D16:480020.062046
Mason Marchment L14:490020.171117
Nolan Allan D14:150000.062048
Collin Graf R14:030010.290056
Igor Chernyshov L13:420010.081181
Kiefer Sherwood L12:550000.00209
Tyler Toffoli C12:030000.000117
Barclay Goodrow C11:410000.034045
Michael Misa C11:290000.03017
Zack Ostapchuk C11:090030.182049

Detroit Red Wings

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Moritz Seider D29:460220.114448
Dylan Larkin C24:390010.052056
Ben Chiarot D22:420010.021055
Viktor Arvidsson L20:580130.602357
Andrew Copp C20:530020.370151
Lucas Raymond L20:020020.600056
Justin Faulk D19:431040.211262
Alex DeBrincat R19:161020.290161
Emmitt Finnie C18:451160.610354
Michael Rasmussen C18:340110.052447
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R17:020100.084161
Albert Johansson D14:100000.001166
Nate Danielson C13:170000.001053
William Wallinder D12:410000.001014
Anton Johansson D11:440000.000231
Sheldon Dries C10:120010.082260
Andreas Englund D9:020020.064076
Keegan Kolesar R5:180000.00310

How the line moved against our model is part of Pro

Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.