Sunday, October 18, 2026
- Expected goals, CAR–CGY
- 4.2–2.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- CGY share of xG
- 38.1%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 36–34
- CAR–CGY
- Pre-game model
- CGY 33%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Flames beat the Hurricanes 3-2 while losing the expected-goals count 2.6 to 4.2. Level at 2 after two, it was settled in the third. Jalen Chatfield scored for the first time in 21 games. Sebastian Aho had 9 shot attempts.
- Jalen ChatfieldDrought over
Jalen Chatfield scored for the first time in 21 games. He has 1 goal this season. He played 22:33 and had three shots on goal. The Hurricanes fell 3-2 to the Flames.
- Sebastian AhoVolume
Sebastian Aho had 9 shot attempts. Three got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 5.4. The Hurricanes lost 3-2 to the Flames.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 106 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Carolina Hurricanes
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Chatfield D | 22:33 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 3 | 56 |
| Sean Walker D | 22:05 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 2 | 2 | 73 |
| Jaccob Slavin D | 21:52 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Sebastian Aho C | 21:30 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 70 |
| K'Andre Miller D | 20:59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 71 |
| Logan Stankoven C | 18:16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 57 |
| Jackson Blake R | 16:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 16:51 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 57 |
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 16:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 69 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 16:24 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 69 |
| Jordan Martinook L | 15:55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 65 |
| William Carrier L | 14:22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 4 | 1 | 70 |
| Felix Unger Sörum R | 13:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 67 |
| Bradly Nadeau L | 12:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 2 | 52 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 12:46 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 2 | 1 | 59 |
| Eric Robinson L | 12:08 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | 2 | 1 | 60 |
| Mike Reilly D | 11:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 57 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 7:14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 52 |
Calgary Flames
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Nemec D | 21:57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.95 | 1 | 1 | 44 |
| Kevin Bahl D | 21:01 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Joel Farabee L | 19:45 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 32 |
| Matt Coronato R | 19:31 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 19:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 4 | 30 |
| Jake Middleton D | 18:13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 26 |
| Zayne Parekh D | 16:49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 41 |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 16:42 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Yan Kuznetsov D | 16:06 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 23 |
| Morgan Frost C | 15:52 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Jonathan Castagna C | 15:52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 2 | 52 |
| Matvei Gridin R | 15:51 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
| Aydar Suniev L | 15:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 47 |
| Ryan Strome C | 13:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Mikael Backlund C | 13:32 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 39 |
| Martin Pospisil C | 13:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Adam Klapka R | 12:19 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 4 | 3 | 52 |
| Brennan Othmann L | 10:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 2 | 1 | 52 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute