GRIT & GF
Brandon Carlo

St Louis Blues, Defence

Brandon Carlo

  • Edgy
  • Physical
Points, 2026–27
1
0 G, 1 A in 8 GP
Individual xG
0.2
0 goals from it
Ice time per game
16:56
4 shots on goal
xGF% at 5v5
55.0
share of chances while he's on

Brandon Carlo has 0 goals and 1 assist (1 point) in 8 games for the St Louis Blues in 2026–27, with 4 shots on goal and 16:56 of ice time a game. His Grit & GF rating for 2026–27 is 10.3 out of 100, provisional until he has 15 to 20 games.

8 games in. The methodology requires 15 to 20 games to be accurate, so this season's rating still leans on the league average for his position and will move.

GRIT & GF

10.3050100
Rated above 27% of defencemen
Goals above average
−0.5
Wins
−0.09
Physicality23thGF36thIntimidation58thChemistry51thClutch95th

Where the rating comes from

Weight × score in standard deviations. They sum to −0.71, which the normal curve turns into the rating.

Your weights

Under these weights he ranks above 26.9% of 223 rated players

The default weights are our call. Set your own; they get rescaled to add up to 100%.

Clutch

+1.64 SD · 95th percentile · weight 0%

His team's expected-goal differential with him on the ice in the third period or overtime of a one-goal game, against his own usual rate. Not counted in the rating since grit-0.5: it didn't repeat from season to season, so it was mostly luck.

  • Close-and-late liftxGD per 60Heavily shrunk: close-and-late minutes are scarce.0.1195th pct
  • Close-and-late ice timeminutesThe sample behind the clutch number.1941th pct

Percentiles are against 223 rated defencemen in 2026-27, on 115 minutes of his 5-on-5 time. Hits, blocks and takeaways count toward the rating and are worth zero goals until a study shows otherwise. Model grit-0.5.

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Brandon Carlo's Grit & GF card
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Game notes

Written the morning after from the night's stats, for games where he did something worth a sentence.

  1. at VAN

    Saturday, January 31

    Volume

    Brandon Carlo had 9 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Five got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 2.5. The Maple Leafs beat the Canucks 3-2 in a shootout.

  2. vs VAN

    Saturday, January 10

    Shot blocker

    Brandon Carlo got in front of 6 shots. He has 3 points in 21 games this season. He played 20:35 and had no shots on goal. It finished 5-0 for the Maple Leafs.

  3. vs PIT

    Monday, November 3

    Shot blocker

    Brandon Carlo got in front of 6 shots. He has 2 points in 13 games this season. He played 21:10 and had two shots on goal. It finished 4-3 for the Maple Leafs.

Player card

Percentile among 194 defencemen with enough games this season. 50 is the median.

Scoring

  • Ice time per game16:56
    27
  • Points per 600.44
    24
  • Goals per 600.00
    30
  • Individual xG per 600.08
    16
  • Shots per 601.8
    14

5-on-5 play

  • xG for per 60, on ice3.20
    87
  • xG against per 60, on ice2.63
    38
  • xGF%55.0%
    71

Physical

  • Hits per 604.9
    77
  • Blocks per 603.5
    32
  • Penalty minutes per 608.4
    3

Skating and shooting

NHL EDGE puck and player tracking, 2026–27. Percentiles are the league's, against all skaters.

Skating

  • Top speed20.7 mph
    39
  • Bursts over 20 mph4
    54
  • Distance skated19 mi
    44

Shooting

  • Hardest shot87.6 mph
    62
  • Shots on goal4
    33
  • Shooting %0.0%
    43

Zone time

  • Offensive zone time41.1%
    48
  • Offensive zone time, even strength42.9%
    61

Who he plays with

His most-used defence partners at 5-on-5 this season, with what happened while they were out together.

PartnerGamesTOIShot attemptsxGGoalsxG share
Cam Fowler885:0983–554.8–3.64–757%
Theo Lindstein49:509–150.4–0.91–129%
Justin Barron47:009–30.3–0.10–083%
Philip Broberg86:3210–40.5–0.10–080%
Colton Parayko83:462–90.1–0.41–123%

Where he shoots from

His unblocked shots this season, attacking right. 0 goals from 10 attempts.

GoalShot or miss

Last 20 games

Columns are his individual expected goals, the quality of his own chances. Dots are goals he scored.

ixGGoal
0.000.501.00
03-1410-17

By season

SeasonGPGAPSOGixGTOI/GPHitsBlkxGF% 5v5
2026–27801140.216:5611855.0
2025–2655077663.719:22659845.1
2024–258311112773.018:549015746.1
2023–247641014793.119:5414014046.2

Last 20 games

DateTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkPIM
2026-10-1712:290000.07210
2026-10-1516:430000.00110
2026-10-1318:280100.02112
2026-10-1018:050000.01010
2026-10-0818:380010.03212
2026-10-0617:580010.04110
2026-10-0317:360020.03310
2026-10-0215:270000.001115
2026-04-0812:070010.01020
2026-04-0419:150010.08130
2026-04-0217:570010.00110
2026-03-3021:500010.00010
2026-03-2819:260010.01110
2026-03-2522:160010.01330
2026-03-2418:200020.86202
2026-03-2118:180100.00000
2026-03-2016:240010.06214
2026-03-1719:050040.07102
2026-03-1525:070010.00042
2026-03-1419:180000.00020