Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

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#	Player	Team	Rights	GP	P/GP	Context	NHL odds	Top odds	Elite odds	Projection
1	Pierce MbuyiL, 18. Carrying a team, Edgy	Owen Sound AttackOHL	PIT#86, 2026	11	1.18	+39%	38%	18%	3%	Tweener
2	Jaxon CoverR, 18. Volume shooter, Steady	London KnightsOHL	OTT#32, 2026	6	1.17	−12%	43%	8%	3%	Tweener
3	Adam NemecL, 18. Playmaker, Steady	Brantford BulldogsOHL	OTT#72, 2026	18	0.89	−10%	28%	12%	4%	AHLer
4	Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, Honest	Sudbury WolvesOHL	NYR#89, 2025	8	0.63	−19%	30%	4%	2%	AHLer
5	Kieron WaltonC, 20. Heavy, Steady	Peterborough PetesOHL	WPG#187, 2024	62	1.42	+4%	19%	5%	<1%	AHLer
6	Travis HayesR, 19. Steady, Honest	Soo GreyhoundsOHL	PIT#105, 2025	11	0.73	+6%	18%	2%	<1%	AHLer
7	Spencer BowesL, 18. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Ottawa 67'sOHL	NYR#102, 2026	10	1.20	+11%	18%	1%	<1%	AHLer
8	Carter StevensR, 18. Edgy, Stacked roster	Guelph StormOHL	STL#150, 2026	11	0.73	−18%	13%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
9	Jordan CharronR, 19. Steady, Honest	Soo GreyhoundsOHL	PIT#154, 2025	10	0.50	+3%	13%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
10	Cole ZurawskiR, 18. Volume shooter, Steady	Kingston FrontenacsOHL	FLA#181, 2026	10	0.60	−13%	8%	1%	<1%	Long shot
11	Nicholas BogasD, 18. Rising, Steady	Flint FirebirdsOHL	STL#139, 2026	9	0.67	+5%	9%	1%	<1%	Long shot
12	Shamar MosesR, 19. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	North Bay BattalionOHL	FLA#129, 2025	11	0.73	+25%	10%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
13	Noah ReadC, 19. Steady, Honest	Niagara IceDogsOHL	ANA#72, 2025	6	1.00	+12%	11%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
14	Quinn McKenzieC, 18. Playmaker, Volume shooter	Soo GreyhoundsOHL	NJD#222, 2026	11	0.82	+2%	8%	1%	<1%	Long shot
15	Harris PangretitschD, 18. Playmaker, Heavy	Soo GreyhoundsOHL	OTT#151, 2026	67	0.21	−7%	8%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
16	Eric FrossardD, 18. Heavy, Stacked roster	Guelph StormOHL	ANA#146, 2026	11	0.18	−21%	10%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
17	Darian AndersonR, 19. Rising, Running hot	Flint FirebirdsOHL	NYR#163, 2026	9	1.44	+4%	8%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
18	Colin FitzgeraldC, 18. Rising, Volume shooter	Soo GreyhoundsOHL	STL#203, 2026	11	1.00	+9%	7%	2%	<1%	Long shot
19	Rylan SinghD, 18. Playmaker, Steady	Guelph StormOHL	SEA#198, 2026	52	0.44	+9%	9%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
20	Finn KearnsD, 18. Edgy, Heavy	Sudbury WolvesOHL	SEA#131, 2026	5	0.00	−19%	7%	<1%	<1%	Long shot?
21	Jakub FibigrD, 20. Playmaker, Steady	Windsor SpitfiresOHL	SEA#202, 2024	56	0.71	−14%	7%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
22	Andre MondouxD, 19. Rising, Big frame	Kingston FrontenacsOHL	NYR#162, 2026	12	0.58	−12%	8%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
23	Parker HolmesL, 19. Rising, Heavy	Sarnia StingOHL	CHI#107, 2025	11	0.73	−11%	6%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
24	Ty HenryD, 20. Carrying a team, Steady	Erie OttersOHL	CHI#163, 2024	10	0.40	+28%	5%	<1%	<1%	Long shot?
25	Evan PassmoreD, 19. Carrying a team, Edgy	Barrie ColtsOHL	NYR#171, 2025	11	0.18	+44%	3%	<1%	<1%	Long shot
26	Andrew MacNielD, 19. Carrying a team, Steady	Kitchener RangersOHL	MTL#189, 2025	7	0.14	+15%	3%	<1%	<1%	Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.