GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Viggo BjörckC, 18. Young for the league, UndersizedDjurgårdens IFSHLWPG#8, 2026420.36+8%92%66%64%Elite
2Chase ReidD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAASEA#7, 202631.67−7%92%77%48%Top-pair
3Egor SurinC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLokomotiv YaroslavlKHLNSH#22, 2024150.67+8%89%59%56%Elite
4Tynan LawrenceC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAASTL#11, 202641.25−8%91%58%33%First-liner
5Alexander ZharovskyR, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerSalavat Yulaev UfaKHLMTL#34, 2025170.59−5%84%56%44%First-liner
6Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#10, 202540.75+18%88%47%35%Middle-sixer
7Bradly NadeauL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#30, 202340.25+44%89%54%17%First-liner
8Michael HageC, 20. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAAMTL#21, 202462.33−1%90%34%28%Middle-sixer
9Maddox DagenaisC, 18. Volume shooter, Big frameQuébec RempartsQMJHLSTL#16, 202681.00−17%85%52%29%First-liner
10Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#14, 202261.50−15%86%44%19%Middle-sixer
11Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#16, 202271.43+2%76%47%17%Middle-sixer?
12Tomas GalvasD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBílí Tygři LiberecCZECHIAPIT#54, 202670.43+12%75%42%23%Second-pair
13Milton GastrinC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBrynäs IFSHLSTL#37, 202570.00+4%69%26%26%Fourth-liner
14Alexander CommandC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyÖrebro HKSHLNJD#12, 202650.00+4%79%25%15%Fourth-liner?
15Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#67, 202330.67+36%64%37%12%Fourth-liner
16Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#43, 202340.25+10%77%27%17%Fourth-liner
17Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#19, 202560.67+32%83%32%13%Fourth-liner
18Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#62, 202340.25+44%63%36%7%Fourth-liner
19Roman KantserovR, 21. Undersized, SniperMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLCHI#44, 2023631.02+1%66%34%13%Fourth-liner
20Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#26, 2023610.74−2%72%25%8%Middle-sixer
21Vaclav NestrasilR, 19. Young for the league, Big frameUniv. of MassachusettsNCAACHI#25, 202560.50+5%62%24%15%Middle-sixer
22Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frameHershey BearsAHLWSH#27, 202560.67068%34%6%Middle-sixer?
23Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#24, 202441.50+32%70%22%10%Middle-sixer
24David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, HeavyLaval RocketAHLMTL#5, 202340.50−27%70%27%5%Third-pair
25Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#17, 202420.00−3%77%22%11%Fourth-liner
26Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#40, 202361.33+2%73%21%5%Fourth-liner
27Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN#21, 202370.29+24%70%12%8%Middle-sixer
28Jonas Lagerberg HoenR, 18. Steady, HonestLeksands IFALLSVENSKANOTT#25, 202641.00+3%57%16%15%Fourth-liner?
29Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#44, 2022551.05+5%81%13%5%Fourth-liner
30Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#14, 202361.50−19%68%13%6%Fourth-liner
31Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#27, 202261.00+8%63%15%4%Middle-sixer
32Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#35, 202271.14−14%65%22%5%Fourth-liner
33Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#17, 202241.00+16%67%14%6%Fourth-liner
34Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#58, 202341.25+25%75%13%5%Fourth-liner
35Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
36Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#29, 202460.17+17%60%22%4%Fourth-liner
37Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, SniperCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#49, 202271.43074%13%6%Fourth-liner
38Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#23, 202470.86+18%72%15%3%Third-pair
39Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#22, 202560.83−19%57%19%9%Fourth-liner
40Casey MutrynR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASEA#38, 202630.00−5%60%22%13%Fourth-liner
41Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#47, 202260.83+40%57%14%6%Fourth-liner
42Mason WestC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueMichigan State Univ.NCAACHI#29, 202530.00−7%54%12%2%Fourth-liner
43Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
44Logan HenslerD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#23, 202540.75+10%75%7%4%Third-pair?
45Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#20, 202370.57−14%66%11%4%Fourth-liner
46Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#26, 202480.63+38%51%16%4%Fourth-liner
47Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#22, 202321.00−13%61%10%3%Third-pair
48Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#18, 202360.83−24%62%10%3%Fourth-liner
49Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#46, 202460.33−23%57%15%4%Fourth-liner
50Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#52, 202360.50054%11%4%Fourth-liner
51Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#21, 202260.17−23%68%5%2%Third-pair
52Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, SniperMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#32, 2022330.85+1%50%8%8%Fourth-liner?
53Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#35, 202460.50+9%51%12%11%Fourth-liner
54Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#27, 202460.00+36%48%14%3%Tweener
55Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#22, 202250.60+12%52%10%3%Fourth-liner
56Charlie CerratoC, 21. Playmaker, SteadyPenn State Univ.NCAACAR#49, 2025231.17+4%56%9%4%Fourth-liner?
57Tanner MolendykD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#24, 202340.50+10%55%10%2%Third-pair
58Anton SilaevD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueUtica CometsAHLNJD#10, 202440.00+23%70%5%2%Third-pair
59Ryder CaliC, 18. Young for the league, HeavyProvidence CollegeNCAAFLA#48, 202630.67−1%52%11%2%Fourth-liner
60Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyBoston CollegeNCAANJD#37, 202631.00−5%47%17%6%Tweener
61Seamus CaseyD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#46, 2022290.66+14%60%4%4%Third-pair?
62Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
63Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#36, 202371.14+19%58%8%2%Fourth-liner
64Nikita ShcherbakovD, 18. Young for the league, SteadySalavat Yulaev UfaKHLNJD#44, 2026170.35−5%51%10%7%Third-pair
65William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#45, 202171.14−12%55%6%3%Fourth-liner
66Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#30, 2022340.38+27%43%5%2%Tweener
67Pierce MbuyiL, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyOwen Sound AttackOHLPIT#86, 2026111.18+39%38%18%3%Tweener
68Cam LundC, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#34, 2022370.68−5%48%6%3%Tweener
69EJ EmeryD, 20. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of North DakotaNCAANYR#30, 202440.50+10%57%2%<1%Third-pair
70Dmitri BuchelnikovL, 23. Steady, HonestCSKA MoskvaKHLSTL#52, 2022160.44−3%34%13%12%Tweener
71Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#63, 202360.33+23%41%7%4%Tweener
72Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#123, 2023670.64−5%49%7%1%Tweener
73Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#76, 202360.00+22%41%9%2%Tweener
74Jayson ShaugabayR, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAATBL#115, 202361.50+5%44%6%2%Tweener
75Harrison BrunickeD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#44, 202460.33−24%53%8%2%Third-pair
76Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#100, 202271.71−15%45%7%1%Tweener
77Owen BeckC, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#33, 202240.25−27%52%4%2%Fourth-liner
78Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#95, 2023260.62+7%45%6%2%Tweener?
79Elias SalomonssonD, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#55, 202210.00−28%50%10%<1%Third-pair?
80Jaxon CoverR, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyLondon KnightsOHLOTT#32, 202661.17−12%43%8%3%Tweener
81Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#66, 202260.83+43%37%10%3%Tweener
82Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#157, 2022480.79+8%43%3%1%Tweener
83Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#61, 202350.40+17%45%9%1%Tweener
84Lavr GashilovC, 18. Young for the league, PlaymakerAvto YekaterinburgMHLNJD#119, 2026121.33+2%32%12%8%AHLer
85Amadeus LombardiC, 23. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHLNJD#113, 2022470.89−10%51%2%<1%Fourth-liner
86Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#115, 202140.25+10%48%3%2%Tweener
87Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#92, 2022450.76−2%43%3%2%Tweener
88Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterTexas StarsAHLDAL#179, 202260.83+16%40%2%<1%Tweener
89Leon MuggliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#52, 202440.25054%6%<1%Third-pair?
90Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#133, 202251.60+15%39%2%2%Tweener
91Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHLTBL#37, 202350.20+23%47%4%<1%Tweener
92Teddy StigaC, 20. Steady, HonestBoston CollegeNCAANSH#55, 202430.33−5%42%4%2%Tweener
93Malcolm SpenceL, 19. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAANYR#43, 202561.17−3%40%5%3%Tweener
94Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#25, 202160.50−14%43%4%<1%Tweener
95Adam NemecL, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHLOTT#72, 2026180.89−10%28%12%4%AHLer
96Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#221, 202260.67+36%43%3%<1%Tweener
97Alexander SuzdalevL, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#70, 202240.00−1%38%6%4%AHLer
98Julius MiettinenC, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#40, 202470.71−15%34%11%2%AHLer
99John MustardC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#67, 202430.67−3%37%7%1%Tweener
100Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, EdgySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#56, 202450.00+22%44%5%2%Tweener

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.