GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
2Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
3Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
4Bryce PickfordD, 20. Sniper, Stacked rosterMedicine Hat TigersWHLMTL#81, 2025551.51−21%28%5%<1%AHLer
5Peyton KettlesD, 19. Edgy, Big frameKelowna RocketsWHLPIT#39, 202590.44−4%19%<1%<1%AHLer?
6Tarin SmithD, 20. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHLANA#79, 2024651.09−19%17%2%2%AHLer
7Carter SandersonL, 19. Edgy, HeavyCalgary HitmenWHLPIT#169, 202572.00012%2%<1%Long shot
8Noah KosickC, 18. Carrying a team, RisingSeattle ThunderbirdsWHLANA#192, 202681.25+26%9%5%1%Long shot
9Jonas KempsD, 18. Big frame, SteadySeattle ThunderbirdsWHLFLA#98, 202670.57+8%8%<1%<1%Long shot
10Kayden LemireR, 18. Edgy, Carrying a teamPrince George CougarsWHLMIN#112, 202650.60+32%8%<1%<1%AHLer
11Blake VanekR, 19. Edgy, HeavyCalgary HitmenWHLOTT#93, 202560.50−20%7%<1%<1%Long shot
12Hiroki GojsicR, 20. Steady, HonestKelowna RocketsWHLNSH#94, 2024550.75−8%8%<1%<1%Long shot
13Adam JechoC, 20. Playmaker, Big frameEdmonton Oil KingsWHLSTL#95, 2024470.77−14%5%<1%<1%Long shot
14Luke WilfleyC, 18. Rising, EdgyPortland WinterhawksWHLNJD#172, 202680.75+33%3%<1%<1%Long shot
15Brady TurkoR, 19. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHLANA#200, 2025110.36−8%2%<1%<1%Long shot
16Zeb LindgrenD, 19. Steady, HonestRed Deer RebelsWHLNYR#139, 2025110.27−20%3%<1%<1%Long shot?
17Arvid DrottR, 19. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLFLA#192, 202580.38−8%2%<1%<1%Long shot?
18Niilopekka MuhonenD, 20. Playmaker, HeavyMedicine Hat TigersWHLDAL#158, 2024390.31−28%1%<1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.