GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Ryan LinD, 18. Carrying a team, PlaymakerVancouver GiantsWHL–531.08+42%85%74%59%Elite
2Landon DuPontD, 17. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHL–631.16−18%82%65%55%Elite
3Carson CarelsD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–581.26086%70%38%Top-pair
4Colt CarterD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–80.50+9%69%44%29%Second-pair
5Mateo FerreiraD, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKamloops BlazersWHL–101.00+18%71%50%18%Second-pair?
6Brock CrippsD, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+13%66%33%14%Third-pair
7Daxon RudolphD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–681.15−14%60%30%21%Third-pair
8Rhett SatherD, 17. Edgy, RisingSpokane ChiefsWHL–80.88−13%44%16%10%Tweener
9Boston TaitD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–100.20+44%51%14%10%Third-pair
10Calder HamiltonLD, 17. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.78−19%48%14%9%Tweener
11Jakub VanecekD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–90.67+19%46%12%6%Tweener
12Jevin MorrisonD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%46%9%6%AHLer?
13Parker DeraneyLD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–80.25+20%44%8%6%AHLer?
14Brayden KlimpkeD, 18. Rising, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–91.67−18%44%7%2%Tweener
15Yuri VlasenkoD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–110.27+10%33%8%3%AHLer?
16Hunter AuraD, 18. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.89−17%28%5%<1%AHLer
17Jake BurmisLD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyMedicine Hat TigersWHL–70.43−8%34%10%1%Long shot?
18Crosby MateychukD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHL–100.30032%10%2%Long shot?
19Kyle HegerLD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.55−2%29%4%1%AHLer
20Cruz JimRD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.36−8%27%8%2%Long shot?
21Aiden WagnerRD, 17. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–80.13−16%30%7%<1%Long shot
22Odin VauhkonenD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerVictoria RoyalsWHL–91.11−19%28%4%2%AHLer
23Arsenii AnisimovD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–70.57+31%27%3%<1%AHLer
24Daniel VaillantD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–30.33+44%28%7%<1%Long shot
25Remy KochD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKelowna RocketsWHL–60.17−5%27%6%3%Long shot?
26Nate YellowagaD, 18. Edgy, SteadyVictoria RoyalsWHL–90.44−21%27%5%2%AHLer
27Will McLaughlinD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPortland WinterhawksWHL–70.29+22%29%2%1%AHLer
28Will ScottRD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.27027%3%<1%AHLer
29Giorgos PantelasRD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPenticton VeesWHL–100.20+20%29%2%1%AHLer
30Bryce PickfordD, 20. Sniper, Stacked rosterMedicine Hat TigersWHLMTL#81, 2025551.51−21%28%5%<1%AHLer
31Grayson TashD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–80.75+15%24%7%<1%AHLer
32Cohen WilliamsD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–60.17+2%22%6%2%Long shot
33Grady PichetteRD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–80.13−2%23%2%2%AHLer
34Luke DumasD, 16. Young for the league, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–50.00−27%17%5%2%Long shot?
35Harry MatternD, 17. Young for the league, SteadySpokane ChiefsWHL–70.14−14%18%6%1%Long shot
36Peyton KettlesD, 19. Edgy, Big frameKelowna RocketsWHLPIT#39, 202590.44−4%19%<1%<1%AHLer?
37Thor LiffitonRD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–120.08+20%16%4%2%Long shot?
38Whitaker RewertzLD, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–50.40+20%20%1%1%Long shot?
39Tarin SmithD, 20. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHLANA#79, 2024651.09−19%17%2%2%AHLer
40Luke ChristophersonD, 17. Carrying a team, RisingPortland WinterhawksWHL–80.13+22%18%4%<1%Long shot
41Jiri KamasD, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–110.64−19%17%2%<1%AHLer
42Nikolas FerryD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–140.00+26%12%6%2%Long shot?
43Griffin DarbyD, 17. Steady, HonestMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–80.25+2%17%2%<1%Long shot
44Lukasz McIsaacD, 17. Young for the league, EdgyTri-City AmericansWHL–50.00+14%15%6%1%Long shot?
45Chris KokkorisRD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyEdmonton Oil KingsWHL–70.00−6%16%4%2%Long shot?
46Brek LiskeD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–90.44+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
47Kale McCannRD, 16. Young for the league, EdgyCalgary HitmenWHL–80.00−21%14%4%2%Long shot?
48Easton DozarkD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePortland WinterhawksWHL–80.00+22%14%4%2%Long shot?
49Aden BouchardD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamTri-City AmericansWHL–100.40+19%15%3%<1%Long shot
50Caleb PotterD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–250.20+28%19%1%<1%Long shot?
51Cooper BrattonD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–60.17+31%15%3%<1%Long shot?
52Joaquin GerasD, 17. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–40.00+10%16%2%<1%Long shot
53Josh TollLD, 19. Carrying a team, PlaymakerWenatchee WildWHL–670.81+31%14%3%<1%AHLer
54Will KeltsD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyKelowna RocketsWHL–50.00−5%14%3%2%Long shot?
55Bryson RobertsD, 17. Steady, HonestSpokane ChiefsWHL–70.14−14%11%4%1%Long shot?
56Jonas WooLD, 19. Stacked roster, SteadyMedicine Hat TigersWHL–561.54−23%12%3%<1%Long shot
57Logan LepinskiD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–70.29+44%15%1%<1%Long shot?
58Nigel BoehmLD, 17. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.27−9%11%2%<1%Long shot
59Ethan YoungLD, 17. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–70.00−9%12%2%1%Long shot?
60Dominick ByrtusD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–100.40−2%14%<1%<1%Long shot?
61Matheas HejdaLD, 17. Steady, HonestEdmonton Oil KingsWHL–40.00−6%11%3%1%Long shot?
62Jonas KempsD, 18. Big frame, SteadySeattle ThunderbirdsWHLFLA#98, 202670.57+8%8%<1%<1%Long shot
63Jaxon PisaniD, 17. Carrying a team, RisingEverett SilvertipsWHL–100.20+44%11%2%<1%Long shot
64Carter BylyciaD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–50.00+14%10%3%2%Long shot?
65Ethan CreranD, 17. Edgy, SteadySeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–20.00+8%8%3%2%Long shot?
66Easton LaplanteLD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–240.13+28%10%2%<1%Long shot?
67Easten TurkoLD, 17. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–60.17−9%10%2%1%Long shot?
68Madden TymchakD, 17. Rising, EdgyKamloops BlazersWHL–90.33+10%11%1%<1%Long shot
69Ossi TukioD, 18. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–90.67−14%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
70Graeme PickeringD, 17. Steady, HonestRed Deer RebelsWHL–90.33−20%9%2%<1%Long shot?
71Eli JohnsonRD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPenticton VeesWHL–50.00+20%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
72Benett KellyD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHLPIT110.09+11%10%<1%<1%Long shot
73Nolan SaundersonD, 18. Steady, HonestSpokane ChiefsWHL–60.00−14%11%1%<1%Long shot
74Cameron AllardRD, 18. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–100.20−9%11%<1%<1%Long shot
75Braydon RiggallD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHL–460.11+33%8%3%<1%Long shot
76Kaden AllanD, 18. Playmaker, SteadySaskatoon BladesWHL–360.22+9%10%<1%<1%Long shot
77Darian RolsingD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%8%1%<1%Long shot
78Liam KilfoilD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyKamloops BlazersWHL–80.13+10%9%1%<1%Long shot?
79Reid SoperLD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–70.00−2%9%2%<1%Long shot?
80Oskars LuksD, 17. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.18+9%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
81Riley SteenLD, 18. Rising, SteadyMedicine Hat TigersWHL–90.56−8%8%1%<1%Long shot
82Timofei RuntsoD, 19. Carrying a team, PlaymakerVictoria RoyalsWHL–680.65+18%8%1%<1%Long shot
83Nathan GuentherD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–50.00+44%9%1%<1%Long shot?
84Josh LeeRD, 18. Rising, SteadyEdmonton Oil KingsWHL–90.44−4%8%<1%<1%Long shot
85Henry HlinkaD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyEverett SilvertipsWHL–60.00+44%9%1%<1%Long shot?
86Owen HaydenD, 17. Steady, HonestSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–70.29+8%9%<1%<1%Long shot
87Luke WarrenerRD, 17. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHL–70.14−9%8%<1%<1%Long shot?
88Tai RileyD, 18. Playmaker, SteadySeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–680.25+4%8%<1%<1%Long shot
89David ByrneD, 18. Steady, HonestVancouver GiantsWHL–70.14−2%7%1%<1%Long shot
90Noa Ta'amuD, 18. Rising, SteadyEdmonton Oil KingsWHL–80.50−2%7%1%<1%Long shot
91Jacob HendersonD, 18. Rising, SteadyKelowna RocketsWHL–90.6707%1%<1%Long shot
92Vanek PopilD, 18. Steady, HonestSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–500.14+4%6%1%<1%Long shot
93Owen McCarthyD, 18. Steady, HonestVictoria RoyalsWHL–190.11+15%8%<1%<1%Long shot?
94William DegagneD, 18. Steady, HonestMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–60.33+2%7%1%<1%Long shot
95Mikhail CherepanovD, 18. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–90.22+11%7%1%<1%Long shot?
96Tate BatchelorD, 17. Steady, HonestCalgary HitmenWHL–70.00−21%7%1%<1%Long shot?
97Jakub SeidlD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–610.16−4%6%1%<1%Long shot
98Aaron ZulinickD, 18. Steady, HonestPortland WinterhawksWHL–110.09+2%4%2%<1%Long shot?
99Hudson KowalchukD, 18. Steady, HonestSwift Current BroncosWHL–100.30+11%9%<1%<1%Long shot?
100Ethan MacKenzieLD, 20. Steady, HonestEdmonton Oil KingsWHL–590.98−12%8%1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.