GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Chase ReidD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAASEA#7, 202631.67−7%92%77%48%Top-pair
2Ryan LinD, 18. Carrying a team, PlaymakerVancouver GiantsWHL–531.08+42%85%74%59%Elite
3Landon DuPontD, 17. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHL–631.16−18%82%65%55%Elite
4Carson CarelsD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–581.26086%70%38%Top-pair
5Levi HarperD, 17. Edgy, PlaymakerSaginaw SpiritOHL–52.00−15%67%49%45%Second-pair
6Colt CarterD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–80.50+9%69%44%29%Second-pair
7Mateo FerreiraD, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKamloops BlazersWHL–101.00+18%71%50%18%Second-pair?
8Tomas GalvasD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBílí Tygři LiberecCZECHIAPIT#54, 202670.43+12%75%42%23%Second-pair
9Brock CrippsD, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+13%66%33%14%Third-pair
10David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, HeavyLaval RocketAHLMTL#5, 202340.50−27%70%27%5%Third-pair
11Kohyn EshkawkoganD, 17. Steady, HonestOttawa 67'sOHL–100.40−6%60%27%16%Third-pair
12Daxon RudolphD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–681.15−14%60%30%21%Third-pair
13Matthew PerreaultD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHL–120.33058%21%16%Third-pair
14Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#23, 202470.86+18%72%15%3%Third-pair
15Logan HenslerD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#23, 202540.75+10%75%7%4%Third-pair?
16Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#22, 202321.00−13%61%10%3%Third-pair
17Rhett SatherD, 17. Edgy, RisingSpokane ChiefsWHL–80.88−13%44%16%10%Tweener
18Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#21, 202260.17−23%68%5%2%Third-pair
19Boston TaitD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–100.20+44%51%14%10%Third-pair
20Peter GreenD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.70+31%45%20%9%Tweener
21Tanner MolendykD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#24, 202340.50+10%55%10%2%Third-pair
22Anton SilaevD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueUtica CometsAHLNJD#10, 202440.00+23%70%5%2%Third-pair
23Calder HamiltonLD, 17. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.78−19%48%14%9%Tweener
24Seamus CaseyD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#46, 2022290.66+14%60%4%4%Third-pair?
25Marc RuggereD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–50.20+44%48%19%6%AHLer?
26Nikita ShcherbakovD, 18. Young for the league, SteadySalavat Yulaev UfaKHLNJD#44, 2026170.35−5%51%10%7%Third-pair
27Tommy BleylD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyMoncton WildcatsQMJHL–631.29−22%51%11%2%Third-pair
28Jayden TillmanD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–60.33+12%40%25%7%Long shot?
29EJ EmeryD, 20. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of North DakotaNCAANYR#30, 202440.50+10%57%2%<1%Third-pair
30Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#123, 2023670.64−5%49%7%1%Tweener
31Jakub VanecekD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–90.67+19%46%12%6%Tweener
32Jay NimchonokRD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBrampton SteelheadsOHL–50.20+26%44%10%9%AHLer?
33Enzo RoyD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.18+44%29%25%7%Long shot?
34Luca BlondaD, 17. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHL–100.30−18%44%6%5%Tweener
35Harrison BrunickeD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#44, 202460.33−24%53%8%2%Third-pair
36Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#100, 202271.71−15%45%7%1%Tweener
37Malik L'ItalienD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–101.00+2%35%16%7%AHLer
38Elias SalomonssonD, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#55, 202210.00−28%50%10%<1%Third-pair?
39Michael D'AlessioD, 17. Carrying a team, PlaymakerErie OttersOHL–480.33+42%52%3%3%Third-pair
40Jevin MorrisonD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%46%9%6%AHLer?
41Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#61, 202350.40+17%45%9%1%Tweener
42Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#115, 202140.25+10%48%3%2%Tweener
43Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#92, 2022450.76−2%43%3%2%Tweener
44Parker DeraneyLD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–80.25+20%44%8%6%AHLer?
45Brayden KlimpkeD, 18. Rising, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–91.67−18%44%7%2%Tweener
46Kent GreerD, 18. Playmaker, UndersizedNorth Bay BattalionOHL–580.57+3%38%9%4%Tweener
47Declan McNallyD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.09+44%32%9%9%AHLer?
48Leon MuggliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#52, 202440.25054%6%<1%Third-pair?
49Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#25, 202160.50−14%43%4%<1%Tweener
50Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, EdgySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#56, 202450.00+22%44%5%2%Tweener
51Cooper McAslanD, 17. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–91.00−13%44%9%3%AHLer?
52Matthew HendersonD, 17. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.25−15%33%12%5%AHLer
53Mark PritchinD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–110.36+12%25%17%5%AHLer?
54Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#37, 202460.50−26%41%3%<1%Tweener
55Lucas MathesonD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.27+44%38%5%5%Tweener?
56Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–630.56−3%37%4%<1%Tweener
57Yuri VlasenkoD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–110.27+10%33%8%3%AHLer?
58Zack NaishD, 16. Young for the league, Big frameNiagara IceDogsOHL–10.00+5%34%8%4%AHLer?
59Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, HonestProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#132, 2022650.55−2%36%2%<1%Tweener
60Justin BeaulieuD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.82−22%28%15%2%AHLer
61Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#42, 202340.00+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
62Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–530.49+6%33%3%<1%Tweener
63Max FransenD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOwen Sound AttackOHL–110.27+32%30%5%5%AHLer?
64Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#57, 202370.29−19%44%2%<1%Tweener
65Xavier VilleneuveD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–371.03−15%28%9%1%AHLer
66Broden McArthurD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–110.55+26%32%8%2%Tweener?
67Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHL–60.67035%2%<1%Tweener
68Lasse BoeliusD, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerÄssätLIIGAANA#60, 2025400.20+14%41%2%<1%Tweener
69Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#37, 202260.33−3%37%1%<1%Tweener
70Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHLNJD#48, 2023420.17042%2%<1%Tweener
71Nathan FrostD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–90.33+2%25%15%2%Long shot?
72Zach NymanD, 18. Carrying a team, UndersizedBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.30+26%38%4%2%AHLer
73Antoine St-LaurentD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.83+15%25%10%2%AHLer
74Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.60−12%29%5%<1%Tweener
75Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM#56, 202340.00040%1%<1%Tweener
76William DubéD, 17. Playmaker, SteadyChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–91.11+1%28%8%4%Long shot?
77David BuchmanD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueBrantford BulldogsOHL–120.83−8%27%8%3%AHLer?
78Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, HonestAbbotsford CanucksAHL–31.00−12%29%3%<1%Tweener
79Hunter AuraD, 18. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.89−17%28%5%<1%AHLer
80Jake BurmisLD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyMedicine Hat TigersWHL–70.43−8%34%10%1%Long shot?
81Crosby MateychukD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHL–100.30032%10%2%Long shot?
82Blake FiddlerD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#36, 202540.00−1%35%<1%<1%Tweener
83Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#132, 202360.83−4%28%3%<1%AHLer
84Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHLCOL#61, 202160.33+8%29%4%<1%AHLer
85Ben MacBeathD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAANYR#64, 202640.25−1%24%5%2%AHLer
86Caleb MitchellD, 18. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–90.33−17%35%2%2%AHLer
87Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#129, 202140.75+23%31%3%<1%AHLer
88Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHLNYR#89, 202580.63−19%30%4%2%AHLer
89Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHLCAR#44, 202160.17+44%34%2%<1%AHLer
90Kyle HegerLD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.55−2%29%4%1%AHLer
91Cruz JimRD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.36−8%27%8%2%Long shot?
92Lucas AmbrosioD, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyErie OttersOHL–100.50+28%37%<1%<1%AHLer
93Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#54, 202170.43+24%35%1%<1%AHLer
94Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#48, 202460.00+22%39%2%<1%AHLer
95Aiden WagnerRD, 17. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–80.13−16%30%7%<1%Long shot
96Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−14%28%3%<1%AHLer
97Mattias HavelidD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#45, 202250.00−5%34%<1%<1%AHLer
98Odin VauhkonenD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerVictoria RoyalsWHL–91.11−19%28%4%2%AHLer
99Arsenii AnisimovD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–70.57+31%27%3%<1%AHLer
100Luke SchairerD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASTL#75, 202620.00−7%31%2%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.