GRIT & GF

Blog · Game preview

Rangers host Ducks after a 7-1 loss and an overtime shutout

New York has dropped its last two on the road, yet its goals-against average still sits at 2.2 per game through ten.

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The Rangers arrive having lost 7-1 at New Jersey and then 1-0 in overtime at Columbus, which sits oddly beside a goals-against average of 2.2 through ten games. They are 6-3-1 with 13 points. Over their last five they have two wins, two regulation losses and an overtime loss.

Alexis Lafrenière has seven goals and 11 points in ten games. Adam Fox has nine assists and no goals. Dylan Garand is the busiest goalie, with six games played, a .927 save percentage and 2.3 goals saved above expected, though that makes him the most used, not a confirmed starter. Mika Zibanejad leads the Rangers in Grit & GF at 98. That number is provisional: it rests on few games, well short of what the methodology needs to be accurate.

Anaheim is 4-3-0 with 22 goals for and 21 against. It has lost its last two at home, scoring two and allowing four to both Calgary and Boston. Its expected goals share is 47.9 percent, against 50.9 for New York. Leo Carlsson has nine points on two goals and seven assists, and Beckett Sennecke has five goals on 18 shots. Lukas Dostal, the busiest goalie at six games (again, not a confirmed starter), has a .882 save percentage and sits at minus 0.4 goals saved above expected. Tim Washe tops the Ducks in Grit & GF at 96, also provisional, on seven games.

Nine books price the Rangers at 56 percent and the Ducks at 44. That is the market's number, not ours. The Ducks have had two days of rest and the Rangers one, and the puck drops at 7:00 pm ET.

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