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Penguins carry good numbers and a bad record into Utah
Pittsburgh has lost three straight despite a 53.1 percent expected goals share. Utah hosts at 9:00 pm ET after a 6-2 home loss.
. Written by our pipeline from the free numbers on the site, with a language model doing the prose and a check that each number in it came from those numbers.
Pittsburgh is 3-5-1 and has lost its last three, 5-3 to Chicago, 5-2 at Colorado and 6-2 at Vegas. Yet its expected goals share sits at 53.1 percent. The gap shows up in goals against: 33 in nine games, 3.67 a game.
Utah, hosting tonight, is 6-3-0 with a 58.2 percent expected goals share, scoring 3.67 a game and allowing 3.0. The Mammoth lost 6-2 at home to Edmonton on Saturday, two days after winning 4-2 in Edmonton. Both teams get one day of rest.
Nick Schmaltz has six goals and 11 points, and Clayton Keller has 11 points on eight assists. For Pittsburgh, Erik Karlsson has nine points, all assists, and no goals on 14 shots. Evgeni Malkin has five goals on 20 shots.
Grit & GF puts Jack McBain at 100.0 for Utah and Rickard Rakell at 86.0 for Pittsburgh. Both ratings are provisional: they rest on nine games, and the methodology needs 15 to 20 to be accurate. In net, Karel Vejmelka has played most for Utah (.879) and Arturs Silovs for Pittsburgh (.875). Neither is a confirmed starter, and both sit below expected.
The market, across eight books, gives Utah a 62.0 percent chance, which is its number, not ours. Puck drop is 9:00 pm ET, and Karlsson will be looking for his first goal.
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