Monday, October 13, 2025
- Expected goals, COL–BUF
- 3.5–2.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- BUF share of xG
- 40.5%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 37–28
- COL–BUF
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Avalanche won 3-1 and earned it, out-chancing the Sabres 3.4 to 2.4 in expected goals. Nathan MacKinnon had 13 shot attempts. Tage Thompson had 10 shot attempts. Cale Makar scored the winner.
- Nathan MacKinnonVolume
Nathan MacKinnon had 13 shot attempts. Five got through to the goalie, and two went in. His average this season was 7.3. He has now scored in 3 straight. The Avalanche beat the Sabres 3-1.
- Tage ThompsonVolume
Tage Thompson had 10 shot attempts. Four reached the net and one went in. He came in averaging 11.0 attempts a game. The Sabres fell 3-1 to the Avalanche.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
4 goals from 96 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale Makar D | 25:22 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.32 | 3 | 2 | 70 |
| Devon Toews D | 23:34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 62 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 21:47 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.63 | 0 | 1 | 62 |
| Josh Manson D | 18:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 47 |
| Martin Necas C | 18:27 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 51 |
| Brent Burns D | 18:17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 34 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 17:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 66 |
| Brock Nelson C | 16:23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 4 | 23 |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 15:46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 49 |
| Sam Malinski D | 15:21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 62 |
| Jack Drury C | 13:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 0 | 2 | 68 |
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 13:35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Victor Olofsson L | 13:31 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Ross Colton C | 13:23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | 1 | 1 | 72 |
| Parker Kelly C | 12:27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 3 | 0 | 83 |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 12:04 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 2 | 3 | 46 |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 11:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 47 |
| Gavin Brindley C | 10:06 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin D | 27:19 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 46 |
| Bowen Byram D | 25:59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 49 |
| Owen Power D | 23:24 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| Tage Thompson C | 20:14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 66 |
| Alex Tuch R | 18:28 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 63 |
| Conor Timmins D | 18:04 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 4 | 27 |
| Justin Danforth R | 17:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Josh Doan R | 17:34 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 66 |
| Ryan McLeod C | 16:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Jiri Kulich C | 16:09 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.49 | 0 | 1 | 23 |
| Jason Zucker L | 15:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Jack Quinn R | 14:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 23 |
| Jacob Bryson D | 11:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 11:34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 67 |
| Peyton Krebs C | 11:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Ryan Johnson D | 10:32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 54 |
| Tyson Kozak C | 8:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 4 | 0 | 40 |
| Josh Dunne C | 6:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute