2026–27 regular season

Buffalo Sabres

The Buffalo Sabres are 4-3-2 with 10 points in 2026–27, 15th of 32 in the league, with 27 goals for and 34 against. They have 50.8% of the expected goals in their games, more than their opponents. Our simulation gives them 51% to make the playoffs.

Compare with another team

Record: 4–3–2; 10 points, 15th of 32
Goals: 27–34; −7 differential
Expected goals: 27.9–27.0; for and against
xG share: 50.8%; 50% is even

51% to make the playoffs, 8% to win the division, about 94 points projected (81 to 107 in 80% of simulated seasons). The whole race

Who's had the puck

Share of expected goals over a rolling ten games. Above 50 they are out-chancing opponents. Hover any game.

50556065

50.8%

2026-10-012026-10-17

How the chances come

Share of expected goals by shot type. Rebounds count first when a shot is both.

Set playOff the rushRebound

For 28 xG80%
League 79%15%
Against 27 xG78%

Off the rush means a shot within 4 seconds of the last recorded play being in the neutral or defensive zone. A rebound is a shot within 3 seconds of a teammate's shot. Set plays are the rest: the cycle, point shots, forecheck turnovers, faceoff plays.

Lines and pairs

Best units in the league

The coach's most-used 5-on-5 combinations this season, by time together, and how they did.

Forward lines

Unit	GP	TOI	Attempts	xG	Goals	xG share
Quinn – Ostlund – Benson	9	95:37	111–54	5.6–2.8	6–1	66%
Thompson – Krebs – Doan	9	38:51	37–35	1.4–1.3	2–1	51%
Thompson – Norris – Doan	6	30:37	37–26	1.7–0.8	1–0	67%
McLeod – Krebs – Helenius	6	19:04	10–16	1.1–0.8	0–2	56%
McLeod – Kulich – Helenius	5	18:03	10–20	0.7–0.8	1–1	46%
Thompson – McLeod – Doan	3	16:51	18–19	0.5–1.2	1–1	29%

Defence pairs

Unit	GP	TOI	Attempts	xG	Goals	xG share
Samuelsson – Dahlin	6	66:32	61–49	2.6–2.7	1–2	49%
Samuelsson – Zellweger	8	59:40	64–47	2.3–2.3	4–2	50%
Power – Zellweger	8	51:33	55–35	3.0–1.3	1–3	70%
Power – Metsa	9	44:28	33–44	1.4–2.1	2–2	40%

Speed and zone time

NHL EDGE tracking, 2026–27. A full bar is first in the league.

Skating

Top speed23.4 mph
81
Bursts over 22 mph14
87
Bursts over 20 mph299
100

Shooting

Hardest shot100.2 mph
97
Shots over 90 mph5
65

Zone time

Offensive zone time41.5%
65
Defensive zone time40.4%
68

League ranks

Points %55.6%19th

Goals for per game3.0017th

Goals against per game3.7827th

xG for per game3.1011th

xG against per game3.0020th

xG share50.8%15th

Finishing (goals − xG)−0.922nd

Goaltending (xGA − goals against)−7.027th

Rush xG per game0.1716th

Rebound xG per game0.4615th

Rush xG allowed per game0.3532nd

Where they shoot from

Unblocked attempts over the last 9 games, attacking right.

GoalShot or miss

Last 9 games

Date	Opponent	Score	xG	xG share
10-17	at MTL	3–4	2.9–4.3	41%
10-15	at TOR	5–4	3.1–2.9	52%
10-13	at MTL	3–4	2.3–3.5	39%
10-12	vs FLA	5–3	3.4–3.2	51%
10-10	vs UTA	1–4	2.6–4.2	38%
10-08	vs DAL	0–4	2.8–2.4	54%
10-06	vs MIN	3–2	4.0–1.9	68%
10-03	vs CHI	4–3	4.2–2.4	64%
10-01	at CBJ	3–6	2.6–2.2	55%

Skaters

Player	Pos	GP	G	A	P	ixG	TOI/GP	Hits	xGF% 5v5
Tage Thompson	C	9	5	4	9	4.2	19:59	9	52.5
Jack Quinn	R	9	5	4	9	3.7	19:34	9	60.5
Owen Power	D	9	2	6	8	1.1	26:45	1	57.6
Mattias Samuelsson	D	9	2	5	7	0.5	23:20	10	51.6
Noah Ostlund	C	9	2	4	6	3.0	18:53	1	60.1
Zach Benson	L	9	0	6	6	3.6	19:52	13	64.2
Rasmus Dahlin	D	6	2	2	4	1.3	23:38	8	54.8
Peyton Krebs	C	9	0	4	4	1.3	14:06	14	50.3
Olen Zellweger	D	8	2	1	3	1.4	19:43	2	57.9
Josh Norris	C	9	2	1	3	1.7	14:47	10	50.2
Jiri Kulich	C	7	1	2	3	1.3	13:05	7	55.0
Ryan McLeod	C	9	1	1	2	0.7	15:27	4	46.2
Zach Metsa	D	9	0	2	2	0.3	12:56	1	42.4
Beck Malenstyn	L	9	0	2	2	1.0	9:56	39	38.6
Dennis Gilbert	D	3	1	1	2	0.2	10:16	3	47.9
Konsta Helenius	C	8	1	1	2	1.3	13:45	8	46.8
Josh Doan	R	9	1	1	2	1.6	16:15	14	49.2
Louis Crevier	D	9	0	1	1	0.3	14:57	12	44.1
Matt Grzelcyk	D	1	0	0	0	0.0	14:27	0	42.2
Justin Danforth	R	6	0	0	0	0.2	9:09	3	39.0
Sam Carrick	C	4	0	0	0	0.1	7:23	9	14.5
Tyson Kozak	C	2	0	0	0	0.0	9:09	2	29.8