Sunday, November 2, 2025
- Expected goals, TBL–UTA
- 2.1–2.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- UTA share of xG
- 55.9%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–27
- TBL–UTA
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Mammoth 4-2. Expected goals had it close, 2.1 to 2.6. Brandon Hagel has scored in 4 straight games. Jake Guentzel scored the winner. Jake Guentzel had one goal and one assist.
- Brandon HagelStreak
Brandon Hagel has scored in 4 straight games. That makes 5 straight games with a point. His 2.1 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. The Lightning beat the Mammoth 4-2.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
TBLUTA
010203040
TBL 38
UTA 38
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 76 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingUTA shooting →
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel L | 23:08 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2.05 | 1 | 1 | 51 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 21:55 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 51 |
| J.J. Moser D | 21:02 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 57 |
| Erik Cernak D | 20:27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 4 | 44 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 20:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.87 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
| Victor Hedman D | 20:08 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 50 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 19:23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 35 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 17:33 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| Brayden Point C | 16:52 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.61 | 0 | 1 | 57 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 16:21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 33 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 16:19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 41 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 14:56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 14:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 14:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| Dominic James C | 11:28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 4 | 0 | 49 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 10:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 49 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 9:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Curtis Douglas C | 3:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 55 |
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 24:49 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 42 |
| Nate Schmidt D | 21:55 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 63 |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 20:22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 54 |
| Clayton Keller R | 20:01 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 47 |
| John Marino D | 18:43 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 43 |
| Logan Cooley C | 18:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 46 |
| Dylan Guenther R | 18:11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 37 |
| Dmitri Simashev D | 17:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 38 |
| Barrett Hayton C | 16:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 47 |
| JJ Peterka R | 16:43 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Ian Cole D | 16:32 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 65 |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 13:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 72 |
| Olli Maatta D | 13:14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 66 |
| Lawson Crouse L | 12:41 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 3 | 2 | 63 |
| Jack McBain C | 12:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6 | 0 | 66 |
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 12:10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.59 | 1 | 1 | 78 |
| Michael Carcone L | 10:26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 75 |
| Brandon Tanev L | 10:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 3 | 0 | 45 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.