GRIT & GF
Jake Guentzel

Tampa Bay Lightning, Centre

Jake Guentzel

  • Workhorse
  • Two-way
Points, 2026–27
9
4 G, 5 A in 8 GP
Individual xG
3.4
4 goals from it
Ice time per game
20:12
20 shots on goal
xGF% at 5v5
57.4
share of chances while he's on

Jake Guentzel has 4 goals and 5 assists (9 points) in 8 games for the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2026–27, with 20 shots on goal and 20:12 of ice time a game. His Grit & GF rating for 2026–27 is 81.7 out of 100, provisional until he has 15 to 20 games.

8 games in. The methodology requires 15 to 20 games to be accurate, so this season's rating still leans on the league average for his position and will move.

GRIT & GF

81.7050100
Rated above 73% of forwards
Goals above average
+0.4
Wins
+0.07
Physicality65thGF87thIntimidation60thChemistry46thClutch28th

Where the rating comes from

Weight × score in standard deviations. They sum to +0.45, which the normal curve turns into the rating.

Your weights

Under these weights he ranks above 72.6% of 402 rated players

The default weights are our call. Set your own; they get rescaled to add up to 100%.

GF

+1.29 SD · 87th percentile · weight 38% · +0.2 goals

Goals from the hard areas: attempts from inside 20 feet, rebounds and tips, and his own expected goals, all situations.

  • Inner-slot attemptsper 60Unblocked attempts from inside 20 feet.4.6376th pct
  • Rebounds and tipsper 60Second chances and redirects: the goals you get by standing where it hurts.3.6692th pct
  • Individual expected goalsper 60The quality of his own chances, all situations.1.1285th pct

Percentiles are against 402 rated forwards in 2026-27, on 107 minutes of his 5-on-5 time. Hits, blocks and takeaways count toward the rating and are worth zero goals until a study shows otherwise. Model grit-0.5.

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Game notes

Written the morning after from the night's stats, for games where he did something worth a sentence.

  1. at NYI

    Saturday, October 10

    Two goals

    Jake Guentzel scored twice. He has 3 goals this season. He played 19:29 and had four shots on goal. It finished 5-3 for the Lightning.

  2. vs WSH

    Saturday, October 3

    Big night

    Jake Guentzel had three points, one goal and two assists. He has 1 goal this season. He played 18:18 and had two shots on goal. The Lightning beat the Capitals 3-1.

  3. vs MTL

    Wednesday, April 29

    Streak

    Jake Guentzel has a point in 7 straight games. That was his 40th goal of the season. He played 22:11 and had four shots on goal. The Lightning lost 3-2 to the Canadiens.

  4. at MTL

    Sunday, April 26

    Streak

    Jake Guentzel has a point in 6 straight games. That was his 39th goal of the season. He played 22:40 and had two shots on goal. The Lightning beat the Canadiens 3-2.

  5. at MTL

    Friday, April 24

    Streak

    Jake Guentzel has a point in 5 straight games. He has 93 points in 84 games this season. The Lightning lost 3-2 to the Canadiens in overtime.

  6. vs MTL

    Sunday, April 19

    Big night

    Three points for Jake Guentzel: three assists. He has 91 points in 82 games this season. The Lightning fell 4-3 to the Canadiens in overtime.

  7. at MTL

    Thursday, April 9

    Ice time

    Jake Guentzel played 26:38, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 86 points in 79 games this season. The Lightning fell 2-1 to the Canadiens.

  8. at BUF

    Monday, April 6

    Streak

    Jake Guentzel has a point in 8 straight games. He has 37 goals this season. He played 24:54 and had six shots on goal. The Lightning lost 4-2 to the Sabres.

Player card

Percentile among 378 forwards with enough games this season. 50 is the median.

Scoring

  • Ice time per game20:12
    91
  • Points per 603.34
    90
  • Goals per 601.49
    83
  • Individual xG per 601.25
    83
  • Shots per 607.4
    68

5-on-5 play

  • xG for per 60, on ice3.11
    83
  • xG against per 60, on ice2.31
    60
  • xGF%57.4%
    79

Physical

  • Hits per 601.9
    24
  • Blocks per 602.2
    49
  • Penalty minutes per 600.0
    88

Skating and shooting

NHL EDGE puck and player tracking, 2026–27. Percentiles are the league's, against all skaters.

Skating

  • Top speed21.6 mph
    47
  • Bursts over 20 mph13
    64
  • Distance skated24 mi
    79

Shooting

  • Hardest shot77.2 mph
    32
  • Shots on goal20
    86
  • Shooting %20.0%
    83

Zone time

  • Offensive zone time45.7%
    83
  • Offensive zone time, even strength43.1%
    77

Who he plays with

His most-used linemates at 5-on-5 this season, with what happened while they were out together.

LinematesGamesTOIShot attemptsxGGoalsxG share
Anthony Cirelli, Brandon Hagel849:5164–382.7–1.84–360%
Brayden Point, Gage Goncalves712:1516–130.5–0.31–061%
Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point710:5012–80.5–0.40–057%
Brayden Point, Brandon Hagel75:454–80.3–0.32–252%
Jeffrey Viel, Conor Geekie54:113–20.3–0.00–097%
Conor Geekie, Dominic James13:192–20.0–0.00–022%
Brandon Hagel, Conor Geekie32:185–00.1–0.01–0100%
Brayden Point, Pontus Holmberg32:117–20.1–0.30–030%

Where he shoots from

His unblocked shots this season, attacking right. 4 goals from 27 attempts.

GoalShot or miss

Last 20 games

Columns are his individual expected goals, the quality of his own chances. Dots are goals he scored.

ixGGoal
0.000.501.00
04-0610-17

By season

SeasonGPGAPSOGixGTOI/GPHitsBlkxGF% 5v5
2026–278459203.420:125657.4
2025–268138508822037.020:15395553.6
2024–258041398021732.619:60287453.3
2023–246730477723837.620:02484656.7

Last 20 games

DateTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkPIM
2026-10-1719:061120.28020
2026-10-1519:240120.43010
2026-10-1318:440010.12210
2026-10-1019:292040.37100
2026-10-0821:120110.18110
2026-10-0521:200050.86000
2026-10-0318:181220.90110
2026-10-0124:020030.24000
2026-05-0316:220040.18100
2026-05-0120:550030.49002
2026-04-2922:111040.41100
2026-04-2622:401120.89102
2026-04-2424:170100.16100
2026-04-2125:100140.22102
2026-04-1922:570340.42002
2026-04-1321:291020.25010
2026-04-1118:100110.09030
2026-04-0926:380040.69000
2026-04-0720:290030.28000
2026-04-0624:541160.78102