GRIT & GF

Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Utah Mammoth

Buffalo Sabres

Final (OT)

Expected goals, UTA–BUF
3.9–1.7
all situations, empty nets out
BUF share of xG
30.4%
50% is even
Shots on goal
35–18
UTA–BUF
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Mammoth beat the Sabres 2-1 in overtime, and the chances agreed: 3.9 expected goals to 1.8. Clayton Keller scored the overtime winner. John Marino had 8 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. The Mammoth outshot the Sabres 35-18.

  • Clayton KellerOvertime winner

    Clayton Keller scored the overtime winner. He also had 11 shot attempts against an average of 3.9. The Mammoth beat the Sabres 2-1 in overtime.

  • John Marino had 8 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Two reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 1.8. It finished 2-1 for the Mammoth in overtime.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

UTABUF

Where the shots came from

3 goals from 81 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← UTA shootingBUF shooting →

Utah Mammoth

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Mikhail Sergachev D24:530110.101250
John Marino D21:090120.141083
Nick Schmaltz C20:461030.280258
Nate Schmidt D20:400020.200082
Clayton Keller R20:071160.770068
Ian Cole D19:010010.220167
Dylan Guenther R16:490020.211043
Dmitri Simashev D16:490000.002234
Logan Cooley C16:400010.191032
Barrett Hayton C16:240050.630177
JJ Peterka R15:370030.180041
Olli Maatta D14:010000.000074
Kevin Stenlund C13:530010.281054
Lawson Crouse L13:300010.031090
Jack McBain C13:250030.282290
Kailer Yamamoto R12:420010.090283
Michael Carcone L11:440030.294092
Brandon Tanev L10:170000.001169

Buffalo Sabres

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Rasmus Dahlin D23:390020.090130
Mattias Samuelsson D21:170020.072042
Alex Tuch R21:030020.481251
Ryan McLeod C19:390020.110045
Owen Power D19:230000.000324
Bowen Byram D19:000010.140145
Peyton Krebs C18:380010.012110
Conor Timmins D18:150000.011436
Tage Thompson C17:500010.131021
Michael Kesselring D17:250020.062422
Jordan Greenway L17:030000.002025
Jack Quinn R16:550020.352053
Josh Doan R16:390010.011048
Isak Rosen R16:000100.001173
Noah Ostlund C15:141010.150057
Beck Malenstyn L9:060000.042216
Josh Dunne C7:260000.061224
Mason Geertsen L3:490010.002016

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.