Tuesday, December 16, 2025
- Expected goals, CHI–TOR
- 1.9–2.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 55.4%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 25–27
- CHI–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Maple Leafs edged the Blackhawks 3-2. Expected goals had it close, 2.4 to 1.9. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. Matt Grzelcyk played 22:17, about 6 minutes more than his average this season.
- Matt GrzelcykIce time
Matt Grzelcyk played 22:17, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 5 points in 33 games this season. The Blackhawks fell 3-2 to the Maple Leafs.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
CHITOR
0204060
CHI 31TOR 42
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 73 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← CHI shootingTOR shooting →
Chicago Blackhawks
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 22:39 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 83 |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 22:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 62 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 20:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 45 |
| Louis Crevier D | 19:51 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 52 |
| Frank Nazar C | 19:32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
| Alex Vlasic D | 19:11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 18:45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 18:07 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 58 |
| Connor Murphy D | 17:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 29 |
| Jason Dickinson C | 17:41 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 66 |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 16:40 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 5 | 54 |
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 15:07 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 35 |
| Ryan Greene C | 13:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 3 | 0 | 48 |
| Nick Lardis L | 12:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 37 |
| Colton Dach C | 10:57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| Ryan Donato C | 10:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 41 |
| Oliver Moore C | 10:53 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 43 |
| Dominic Toninato C | 9:32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCabe D | 23:18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 75 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 22:19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 4 | 39 |
| Matthew Knies L | 20:52 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.50 | 4 | 2 | 69 |
| Auston Matthews C | 20:30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 63 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 20:28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| William Nylander R | 20:24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 56 |
| Troy Stecher D | 20:17 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 80 |
| John Tavares C | 18:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 40 |
| Simon Benoit D | 16:22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 38 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 15:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 48 |
| Bobby McMann C | 14:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 3 | 0 | 57 |
| Dakota Joshua C | 13:14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 6 | 0 | 44 |
| Henry Thrun D | 13:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 33 |
| Max Domi C | 13:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 49 |
| Nick Robertson L | 12:36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 45 |
| Scott Laughton C | 11:33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 3 | 1 | 79 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 11:06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 79 |
| Easton Cowan R | 10:58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.