2026–27 regular season

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 4-4-2 with 10 points in 2026–27, 16th of 32 in the league, with 32 goals for and 33 against. They have 48.6% of the expected goals in their games, less than their opponents. Our simulation gives them 15% to make the playoffs.

Compare with another team

Record: 4–4–2; 10 points, 16th of 32
Goals: 32–33; −1 differential
Expected goals: 31.3–33.2; for and against
xG share: 48.6%; 50% is even

15% to make the playoffs, 1% to win the division, about 84 points projected (71 to 97 in 80% of simulated seasons). The whole race

Who's had the puck

Share of expected goals over a rolling ten games. Above 50 they are out-chancing opponents. Hover any game.

45505560

48.5%

2026-09-292026-10-19

How the chances come

Share of expected goals by shot type. Rebounds count first when a shot is both.

Set playOff the rushRebound

For 31 xG79%
League 79%15%
Against 33 xG78%16%

Off the rush means a shot within 4 seconds of the last recorded play being in the neutral or defensive zone. A rebound is a shot within 3 seconds of a teammate's shot. Set plays are the rest: the cycle, point shots, forecheck turnovers, faceoff plays.

Lines and pairs

Best units in the league

The coach's most-used 5-on-5 combinations this season, by time together, and how they did.

Forward lines

Unit	GP	TOI	Attempts	xG	Goals	xG share
Roslovic – Matthews – Marchenko	8	60:21	70–38	3.8–1.3	2–2	74%
Nylander – Roslovic – Matthews	8	39:08	31–50	1.7–2.9	3–2	38%
Tavares – Nylander – McKenna	6	29:39	29–43	1.2–2.6	0–3	32%
Sissons – Paul – Cowan	9	28:58	33–15	2.1–0.5	2–1	79%
Blueger – Duhaime – Groulx	6	21:48	14–22	0.4–1.1	0–0	25%
Blueger – Duhaime – MacEwen	4	20:46	18–15	0.8–0.6	0–0	55%

Defence pairs

Unit	GP	TOI	Attempts	xG	Goals	xG share
Ekman-Larsson – Stecher	10	78:31	81–52	4.7–2.8	5–2	62%
Rielly – Raddysh	10	74:17	80–81	3.4–3.9	3–6	47%
McCabe – Raddysh	10	73:02	58–77	2.5–3.3	2–2	43%
Tanev – McCabe	6	65:30	41–59	2.0–2.9	2–1	41%

Speed and zone time

NHL EDGE tracking, 2026–27. A full bar is first in the league.

Skating

Top speed23.3 mph
71
Bursts over 22 mph19
94
Bursts over 20 mph258
90

Shooting

Hardest shot99.3 mph
90
Shots over 90 mph15
100

Zone time

Offensive zone time39.6%
26
Defensive zone time42.4%
19

League ranks

Points %50.0%20th

Goals for per game3.2013th

Goals against per game3.3021st

xG for per game3.138th

xG against per game3.3226th

xG share48.6%19th

Finishing (goals − xG)+0.715th

Goaltending (xGA − goals against)+0.212th

Rush xG per game0.214th

Rebound xG per game0.4517th

Rush xG allowed per game0.1820th

Where they shoot from

Unblocked attempts over the last 10 games, attacking right.

GoalShot or miss

Last 10 games

Date	Opponent	Score	xG	xG share
10-19	vs SJS	3–1	3.9–3.7	51%
10-17	vs NYI	1–4	3.3–2.1	62%
10-15	vs BUF	4–5	2.9–3.1	48%
10-13	at UTA	4–5	2.8–2.9	50%
10-10	at COL	6–3	2.5–4.2	37%
10-08	at VGK	3–4	2.7–4.6	37%
10-06	vs NSH	5–4	4.0–3.3	54%
10-03	vs OTT	2–3	3.5–4.7	43%
09-30	vs NYI	2–1	2.9–2.7	52%
09-29	vs MTL	2–3	2.8–2.0	59%

Skaters

Player	Pos	GP	G	A	P	ixG	TOI/GP	Hits	xGF% 5v5
Auston Matthews	C	10	7	9	16	5.6	21:39	6	53.9
William Nylander	R	10	5	8	13	4.5	20:39	1	41.1
Kirill Marchenko	R	10	4	6	10	3.8	18:36	13	59.3
Easton Cowan	R	10	3	4	7	1.8	15:07	10	57.8
John Tavares	C	7	2	5	7	2.5	16:31	4	32.6
Gavin McKenna	L	10	3	3	6	2.3	14:06	0	39.3
Jack Roslovic	C	10	3	3	6	3.6	16:38	4	50.6
Nick Paul	L	10	2	3	5	2.7	16:05	20	48.2
Darren Raddysh	D	10	0	5	5	1.4	24:11	5	47.1
Morgan Rielly	D	10	0	4	4	0.8	19:23	5	45.7
Colton Sissons	C	10	2	2	4	2.4	15:07	26	51.7
Chris Tanev	D	6	0	1	1	0.0	16:51	1	45.5
Nick Blankenburg	D	5	1	0	1	0.6	13:25	6	48.7
Troy Stecher	D	10	0	1	1	0.2	18:02	7	47.7
Marshall Rifai	D	1	0	0	0	0.0	9:04	0	8.1
Brandon Duhaime	L	10	0	0	0	0.6	11:10	20	34.6
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	D	10	0	0	0	0.2	16:52	11	55.6
Zack MacEwen	R	4	0	0	0	0.3	6:38	9	48.6
Vinni Lettieri	C	1	0	0	0	0.0	9:20	3	33.4
Jake McCabe	D	10	0	0	0	0.4	20:10	15	40.3
Teddy Blueger	C	10	0	0	0	0.9	12:05	12	39.2
Bo Groulx	C	6	0	0	0	0.1	8:19	9	43.0