Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Expected goals, COL–CAR
- 4.8–3.9
- all situations, empty nets out
- CAR share of xG
- 45.3%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 35–28
- COL–CAR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Avalanche won 5-3 and earned it, out-chancing the Hurricanes 4.7 to 3.9 in expected goals. The Avalanche trailed by two at one point. Four points for Nathan MacKinnon: one goal and three assists. Brock Nelson has scored in 3 straight games.
- Nathan MacKinnonBig night
Four points for Nathan MacKinnon: one goal and three assists. He has now scored in 4 straight. He has 35 goals this season. It finished 5-3 for the Avalanche.
- Brock NelsonStreak
Brock Nelson has scored in 3 straight games. He scored twice. He put 7 shots on goal, against an average of 1.9. The Avalanche beat the Hurricanes 5-3.
- Sebastian AhoVolume
Sebastian Aho had 9 shot attempts. Seven got through to the goalie, and one went in. He came in averaging 5.1 attempts a game. The Hurricanes lost 5-3 to the Avalanche.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
8 goals from 95 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale Makar D | 24:35 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| Martin Necas C | 22:44 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 4 | 1 | 31 |
| Brock Nelson C | 22:28 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.99 | 1 | 0 | 58 |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 21:01 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 72 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 20:04 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1.17 | 2 | 1 | 37 |
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 18:52 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| Josh Manson D | 18:25 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 75 |
| Brent Burns D | 18:21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 69 |
| Samuel Girard D | 17:25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 61 |
| Devon Toews D | 16:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
| Sam Malinski D | 16:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 78 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 16:32 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.86 | 2 | 1 | 61 |
| Jack Drury C | 15:20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 3 | 68 |
| Victor Olofsson L | 11:26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 86 |
| Ross Colton C | 10:42 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| Parker Kelly C | 10:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 71 |
| Zakhar Bardakov C | 6:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 70 |
| Taylor Makar L | 5:18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 71 |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker D | 23:24 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 2 | 62 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 22:44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 3 | 62 |
| Sebastian Aho C | 22:11 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1.22 | 1 | 2 | 64 |
| K'Andre Miller D | 21:46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 54 |
| Jalen Chatfield D | 20:08 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 44 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 17:42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 63 |
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 17:28 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.89 | 2 | 0 | 62 |
| Jordan Martinook L | 17:17 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.31 | 1 | 1 | 37 |
| Jordan Staal C | 17:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 39 |
| Jackson Blake R | 15:47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 17 |
| Alexander Nikishin D | 15:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Taylor Hall L | 14:51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Joel Nystrom D | 12:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| Logan Stankoven C | 12:49 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 1 | 3 | 37 |
| Mark Jankowski L | 11:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 28 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 11:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Eric Robinson L | 11:03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| William Carrier L | 8:21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 37 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute