Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Expected goals, TBL–MIN
- 2.5–2.4
- all situations, empty nets out
- MIN share of xG
- 49.0%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 25–22
- TBL–MIN
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Wild beat the Lightning 5-1. Expected goals had it close, 2.4 to 2.5. Matt Boldy has a point in 11 straight games. Kirill Kaprizov has a point in 8 straight games.
- Matt BoldyStreak
Matt Boldy has a point in 11 straight games. He added three assists. He has 72 points in 58 games this season. It finished 5-1 for the Wild.
- Kirill KaprizovStreak
Kirill Kaprizov has a point in 8 straight games. He has now scored in 3 straight. His 2.1 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. The Wild beat the Lightning 5-1.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
TBLMIN
010203040
TBL 37
MIN 36
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 73 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingMIN shooting →
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 23:07 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | 3 | 0 | 60 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 22:56 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 58 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 22:11 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 20:50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 44 |
| Brayden Point C | 19:50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 67 |
| Victor Hedman D | 16:51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 45 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| J.J. Moser D | 16:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 16:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 36 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 15:56 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | 2 | 1 | 41 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 15:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 4 | 48 |
| Erik Cernak D | 15:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 42 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 14:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 48 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 13:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 27 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 12:59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 11:08 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Conor Geekie C | 10:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| Scott Sabourin R | 7:29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
Minnesota Wild
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes D | 26:01 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 2 | 63 |
| Brock Faber D | 24:12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 71 |
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 22:11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2.15 | 0 | 2 | 62 |
| Mats Zuccarello R | 20:24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 77 |
| Matt Boldy L | 19:57 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 43 |
| Jake Middleton D | 18:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 4 | 43 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 18:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 38 |
| Ryan Hartman R | 16:29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 72 |
| Jared Spurgeon D | 15:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 41 |
| Jonas Brodin D | 15:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 49 |
| Yakov Trenin C | 15:18 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | 6 | 0 | 45 |
| Zach Bogosian D | 14:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 14:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 58 |
| Danila Yurov R | 13:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Marcus Johansson L | 10:45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 55 |
| Nico Sturm C | 10:06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 39 |
| Robby Fabbri C | 9:16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 0 | 44 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 8:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 37 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.