GRIT & GF

Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Montreal Canadiens

Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected goals, MTL–TBL
2.6–2.7
all situations, empty nets out
TBL share of xG
51.3%
50% is even
Shots on goal
24–40
MTL–TBL
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Canadiens edged the Lightning 3-2. Expected goals had it close, 2.5 to 2.7. Jake Guentzel has a point in 7 straight games. Nikita Kucherov had 8 shots on goal. The Lightning outshot the Canadiens 40-24.

  • Jake Guentzel has a point in 7 straight games. That was his 40th goal of the season. He played 22:11 and had four shots on goal. The Lightning lost 3-2 to the Canadiens.

  • Nikita Kucherov had 8 shots on goal. His average this season was 3.0. He has 136 points in 82 games this season. The Lightning fell 3-2 to the Canadiens.

  • Lane Hutson has a point in 5 straight games. He has 83 points in 87 games this season. He played 23:31 and had one shot on goal. It finished 3-2 for the Canadiens.

Shot data shows up once the overnight job loads this game.

Montreal Canadiens

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Mike Matheson D27:540010.060426
Lane Hutson D23:310110.021171
Alexandre Carrier D23:270000.000429
Kaiden Guhle D21:410120.134065
Nick Suzuki C20:420100.143042
Phillip Danault C19:400000.002059
Juraj Slafkovský L19:270030.211149
Josh Anderson R15:320020.114048
Jake Evans C15:140030.562268
Alex Newhook C14:350120.292170
Alexandre Texier L13:401020.071127
Zachary Bolduc R13:260100.003033
Cole Caufield R13:130010.051057
Kirby Dach C11:461010.173247
Ivan Demidov R11:070030.272058
Jayden Struble D10:230010.024061
Arber Xhekaj D9:540010.031066
Brendan Gallagher R6:481010.473086

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Darren Raddysh D25:260060.345159
Brandon Hagel L23:120050.303186
Jake Guentzel C22:111040.411036
Nikita Kucherov R21:440080.381071
Brayden Point C21:170010.170049
Anthony Cirelli C20:490030.330238
J.J. Moser D20:330010.011549
Max Crozier D17:400010.110053
Ryan McDonagh D16:230020.030242
Erik Cernak D15:560010.020233
Emil Lilleberg D15:470000.002046
Oliver Bjorkstrand R14:470020.152365
Yanni Gourde C14:230100.000037
Gage Goncalves C13:510120.151043
Dominic James C13:141020.171245
Zemgus Girgensons C7:210000.083023
Corey Perry R6:550010.060025
Conor Geekie C5:040010.013025

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.