GRIT & GF

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Utah Mammoth

Buffalo Sabres

Expected goals, UTA–BUF
4.2–2.6
all situations, empty nets out
BUF share of xG
38.4%
50% is even
Shots on goal
30–24
UTA–BUF
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Mammoth won 4-1 and earned it, out-chancing the Sabres 4.2 to 2.6 in expected goals. The Mammoth scored four straight at one stage. Both power plays scored, two for the Mammoth and one for the Sabres. Noah Ostlund had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Dylan Guenther had 13 shot attempts.

  • Noah Ostlund had 12 shot attempts, his most in a game since 2023-24. Five reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 4.2 attempts a game. The Sabres lost 4-1 to the Mammoth.

  • Dylan Guenther had 13 shot attempts. Five got through to the goalie, and none went in. He came in averaging 6.6 attempts a game. The Mammoth beat the Sabres 4-1.

  • Anders Lee had 10 shot attempts. Three reached the net and one went in. He came in averaging 3.6 attempts a game. The Mammoth beat the Sabres 4-1.

  • MacKenzie Weegar had 10 shot attempts. Two reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 5.6. The Mammoth beat the Sabres 4-1.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

UTABUF

Where the shots came from

5 goals from 95 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← UTA shootingBUF shooting →

Utah Mammoth

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Mikhail Sergachev D25:230130.230357
MacKenzie Weegar D20:230020.104455
Logan Cooley C20:070100.000264
Nate Schmidt D19:370010.013281
Nick Schmaltz C19:121040.610273
John Marino D19:061120.120084
Clayton Keller R18:060120.161075
Dylan Guenther R17:180050.411063
Vincent Trocheck C17:150000.276156
Andrew Peeke D15:190000.012145
Lawson Crouse L14:570010.033266
Kevin Stenlund C13:500000.002048
Dmitri Simashev D13:250020.152149
Barrett Hayton C12:300210.070381
Kailer Yamamoto R12:281120.513087
Jack McBain C12:090000.104049
Anders Lee L12:081131.240084
Daniil But L10:290020.192258

Buffalo Sabres

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Rasmus Dahlin D25:420140.300541
Owen Power D25:060000.010230
Jack Quinn R20:200020.380032
Tage Thompson C19:561060.340127
Zach Benson L19:540010.202141
Noah Ostlund C19:080050.990043
Olen Zellweger D18:300000.020030
Mattias Samuelsson D18:090010.051024
Josh Norris C16:330000.051220
Ryan McLeod C15:270000.001036
Louis Crevier D15:070010.011228
Josh Doan R14:160020.094152
Peyton Krebs C12:490020.181130
Zach Metsa D12:380000.000224
Beck Malenstyn L12:110000.00423
Justin Danforth R10:150000.000027
Sam Carrick C8:430000.00103
Tyson Kozak C7:320000.00103

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.