GRIT & GF

Thursday, October 15, 2026

St Louis Blues

Minnesota Wild

Expected goals, STL–MIN
3.1–3.8
all situations, empty nets out
MIN share of xG
55.3%
50% is even
Shots on goal
25–38
STL–MIN
Pre-game model
MIN 57%
win chance, model game-0.3

The story

The Wild beat the Blues 5-4, and the chances agreed: 3.8 expected goals to 3.0. The Wild scored three straight at one stage. Both power plays scored, one for the Wild and one for the Blues. Matt Boldy scored three goals and added one assist. Kirill Kaprizov had 15 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night.

  • Matt BoldyHat trick

    Matt Boldy scored three goals and added one assist. He also had 13 shot attempts against an average of 7.4. His goal stood up as the winner. It finished 5-4 for the Wild.

  • Kirill Kaprizov had 15 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Five got through to the goalie, and one went in. He finished with one goal and two assists. That makes 5 straight games with a point. The Wild beat the Blues 5-4.

  • Cam FowlerBig night

    Three points for Cam Fowler: three assists. He has 4 points in 7 games this season. He played 20:13 and had three shots on goal. The Blues fell 5-4 to the Wild.

  • Quinn Hughes has a point in 8 straight games. He has 12 points in 8 games this season. He played 25:17 and had five shots on goal. It finished 5-4 for the Wild.

  • Mason McTavish has a point in 5 straight games. He has 5 goals this season. He played 14:36 and had four shots on goal. The Blues lost 5-4 to the Wild.

  • Dylan Holloway played 23:15, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. That was his first goal of the season. The Blues fell 5-4 to the Wild.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

STLMIN

Where the shots came from

9 goals from 92 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← STL shootingMIN shooting →

St Louis Blues

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Colton Parayko D26:010130.120366
Dylan Holloway L23:151020.203149
Robert Thomas C22:491130.690150
Philip Broberg D22:260000.010155
Jimmy Snuggerud R20:280030.291243
Cam Fowler D20:130330.250019
Connor McMichael L17:250000.150046
Brandon Carlo D16:430000.001110
Justin Barron D16:140020.150355
Jonatan Berggren R15:531020.250045
Adam Jiricek D15:430010.030437
Pius Suter C15:090100.141068
Mason McTavish C14:361040.540154
Jake Neighbours L13:400010.174153
Dalibor Dvorsky R11:220110.110122
Dylan Peterson C7:350000.00400
Zach Dean C6:470000.00100
Ross Johnston L6:220000.00400

Minnesota Wild

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Quinn Hughes D25:170250.100056
Matt Boldy L24:513181.650058
Joel Eriksson Ek C23:120230.454052
Kirill Kaprizov L22:521251.850059
Jonas Brodin D22:510020.071454
David Spacek D19:310030.050289
Blake Coleman L17:370030.310066
Daemon Hunt D16:270020.280044
Danila Yurov R15:261020.141063
Zach Bogosian D14:510000.000036
Bobby Brink R14:470020.240063
Maxim Shabanov R14:430100.050050
Ryan Hartman R13:480000.063064
Yakov Trenin C12:490110.067145
Matt Kiersted D12:080000.050291
Michael McCarron C11:230100.001157
Rieger Lorenz L7:370000.001046
Tyler Pitlick C7:110020.175253

How the line moved against our model is part of Pro

Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.