Wednesday, October 21, 2026
- Expected goals, PHI–BUF
- 3.4–3.9
- all situations, empty nets out
- BUF share of xG
- 53.7%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 26–28
- PHI–BUF
- Pre-game model
- BUF 57%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Flyers beat the Sabres 3-1 in a game the chances had about even, 3.4 expected goals to 3.9. The Flyers led from the first goal on. Both power plays scored, one for the Flyers and one for the Sabres. Dan Vladar saved 2.9 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. Cole Knuble had two goals.
- Dan VladarStole one
Dan Vladar saved 2.9 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. He stopped 27 of 28. The Flyers beat the Sabres 3-1.
- Cole KnubleTwo goals
Cole Knuble had two goals. He has 2 goals this season. He played 10:24 and had four shots on goal. It finished 3-1 for the Flyers.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
4 goals from 79 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Philadelphia Flyers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 26:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 51 |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 24:37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
| Oliver Bonk D | 19:34 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Christian Dvorak C | 18:39 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 32 |
| Matvei Michkov R | 18:02 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Nick Seeler D | 17:59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 30 |
| Sean Couturier C | 17:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
| Tyson Foerster R | 16:47 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 2 | 38 |
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:36 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
| Porter Martone R | 15:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
| Alex Bump L | 15:45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | 2 | 0 | 40 |
| Noel Acciari C | 14:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Noah Cates L | 13:53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 56 |
| Simon Benoit D | 13:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 52 |
| Hunter McDonald D | 13:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 1 | 59 |
| Denver Barkey C | 12:19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 59 |
| Cole Knuble R | 10:24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Jacob Gaucher C | 8:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 2 | 60 |
Buffalo Sabres
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin D | 26:27 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | 3 | 0 | 45 |
| Owen Power D | 26:12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 60 |
| Mattias Samuelsson D | 22:51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 50 |
| Noah Ostlund C | 21:40 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 70 |
| Zach Benson L | 21:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 84 |
| Jack Quinn R | 20:45 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.53 | 1 | 0 | 84 |
| Tage Thompson C | 20:05 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Olen Zellweger D | 18:11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 63 |
| Josh Norris C | 13:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 45 |
| Jiri Kulich C | 13:41 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
| Josh Doan R | 13:32 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 47 |
| Ryan McLeod C | 13:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 53 |
| Jason Zucker L | 12:16 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.74 | 1 | 1 | 29 |
| Zach Metsa D | 10:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 51 |
| Louis Crevier D | 10:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 60 |
| Beck Malenstyn L | 10:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 4 | 1 | 73 |
| Konsta Helenius C | 9:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 39 |
| Peyton Krebs C | 8:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 45 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute