GRIT & GF
John Carlson

Tampa Bay Lightning, Defence

John Carlson

  • Trigger-happy
  • Net-front
  • Two-way
Points, 2026–27
4
2 G, 2 A in 8 GP
Individual xG
1.3
2 goals from it
Ice time per game
19:57
23 shots on goal
xGF% at 5v5
57.9
share of chances while he's on

John Carlson has 2 goals and 2 assists (4 points) in 8 games for the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2026–27, with 23 shots on goal and 19:57 of ice time a game. His Grit & GF rating for 2026–27 is 15.3 out of 100, provisional until he has 15 to 20 games.

8 games in. The methodology requires 15 to 20 games to be accurate, so this season's rating still leans on the league average for his position and will move.

GRIT & GF

15.3050100
Rated above 38% of defencemen
Goals above average
+0.1
Wins
+0.02
Physicality30thGF93thIntimidation61thChemistry51thClutch70th

Where the rating comes from

Weight × score in standard deviations. They sum to −0.57, which the normal curve turns into the rating.

Your weights

Under these weights he ranks above 38.1% of 223 rated players

The default weights are our call. Set your own; they get rescaled to add up to 100%.

GF

−0.78 SD · 93th percentile · weight 38% · +0.2 goals

Goals from the hard areas: attempts from inside 20 feet, rebounds and tips, and his own expected goals, all situations.

  • Inner-slot attemptsper 60Unblocked attempts from inside 20 feet.0.3861th pct
  • Rebounds and tipsper 60Second chances and redirects: the goals you get by standing where it hurts.0.9090th pct
  • Individual expected goalsper 60The quality of his own chances, all situations.0.3495th pct

Percentiles are against 223 rated defencemen in 2026-27, on 113 minutes of his 5-on-5 time. Hits, blocks and takeaways count toward the rating and are worth zero goals until a study shows otherwise. Model grit-0.5.

Embed or share this card

Free to use with a link back. The image updates as his rating does.

John Carlson's Grit & GF card
Download PNG

Game notes

Written the morning after from the night's stats, for games where he did something worth a sentence.

  1. vs MIN

    Thursday, October 8

    Volume

    John Carlson had 11 shot attempts. Nine reached the net and two went in. It was his first goal in 18 games. His goal stood up as the winner. It finished 3-2 for the Lightning.

  2. vs SJS

    Thursday, April 9

    Hat trick

    John Carlson scored three goals. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his 14th goal of the season. The Ducks beat the Sharks 6-1.

  3. vs CGY

    Saturday, April 4

    Volume

    John Carlson had 10 shot attempts. Six reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 5.0. The Ducks lost 5-3 to the Flames.

  4. vs TOR

    Monday, March 30

    Volume

    John Carlson had 9 shot attempts. Four got through to the goalie, and one went in. His average this season was 4.9. The Ducks fell 5-4 to the Maple Leafs in overtime.

  5. at EDM

    Saturday, March 28

    Volume

    John Carlson had 9 shot attempts. Four got through to the goalie, and none went in. He also blocked 6 shots. He played 28:07, about 5 minutes over his average. The Ducks fell 4-2 to the Oilers.

  6. at VAN

    Tuesday, March 24

    Big night

    John Carlson had three points, three assists. He has 50 points in 60 games this season. He played 24:01 and had two shots on goal. The Ducks beat the Canucks 5-3.

  7. vs PHI

    Wednesday, March 18

    Volume

    John Carlson had 9 shot attempts. Three got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 4.8. The Ducks fell 3-2 to the Flyers in overtime.

  8. at PHI

    Tuesday, February 3

    Volume

    John Carlson had 10 shot attempts. Five reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 4.8 attempts a game. The Capitals fell 4-2 to the Flyers.

Player card

Percentile among 194 defencemen with enough games this season. 50 is the median.

Scoring

  • Ice time per game19:56
    55
  • Points per 601.50
    80
  • Goals per 600.75
    93
  • Individual xG per 600.50
    94
  • Shots per 608.7
    99

5-on-5 play

  • xG for per 60, on ice3.08
    82
  • xG against per 60, on ice2.24
    68
  • xGF%57.9%
    83

Physical

  • Hits per 603.0
    57
  • Blocks per 603.8
    39
  • Penalty minutes per 600.8
    73

Skating and shooting

NHL EDGE puck and player tracking, 2026–27. Percentiles are the league's, against all skaters.

Skating

  • Top speed20.7 mph
    38
  • Bursts over 20 mph2
    29
  • Distance skated23 mi
    62

Shooting

  • Hardest shot94.9 mph
    95
  • Shots on goal23
    98
  • Shooting %8.7%
    65

Zone time

  • Offensive zone time47.8%
    97
  • Offensive zone time, even strength44.9%
    84

Who he plays with

His most-used defence partners at 5-on-5 this season, with what happened while they were out together.

PartnerGamesTOIShot attemptsxGGoalsxG share
J.J. Moser899:51128–825.4–3.62–360%
Victor Hedman74:284–50.2–0.40–132%
Ryan McDonagh84:195–40.1–0.20–035%

Last 20 games

Columns are his individual expected goals, the quality of his own chances. Dots are goals he scored.

ixGGoal
0.000.200.400.60
04-2010-17

By season

SeasonGPGAPSOGixGTOI/GPHitsBlkxGF% 5v5
2026–278224231.319:5781057.9
2025–267114466015413.323:102610753.1
2024–25795465116710.223:344913453.3
2023–248210425217613.425:546919747.2

Last 20 games

DateTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkPIM
2026-10-1718:230040.10210
2026-10-1521:350010.15010
2026-10-1319:560030.17112
2026-10-1020:430010.09210
2026-10-0816:482090.48230
2026-10-0517:510110.07000
2026-10-0320:350100.13010
2026-10-0123:410040.15120
2026-05-1423:020030.21110
2026-05-1226:160030.17220
2026-05-1021:390010.05102
2026-05-0821:020030.11200
2026-05-0624:530020.08310
2026-05-0424:430120.04122
2026-04-3024:290120.04020
2026-04-2825:340040.19200
2026-04-2625:460220.08120
2026-04-2423:050130.04020
2026-04-2224:000000.00030
2026-04-2024:020100.01120