Thursday, October 8, 2026
- Expected goals, MIN–TBL
- 3.1–3.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 54.3%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 36–35
- MIN–TBL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Wild 3-2, and the chances agreed: 3.7 expected goals to 3.0. Both power plays scored, one for the Lightning and one for the Wild. John Carlson had 11 shot attempts. Nikita Kucherov had 9 shot attempts.
- John CarlsonVolume
John Carlson had 11 shot attempts. Nine reached the net and two went in. It was his first goal in 18 games. His goal stood up as the winner. It finished 3-2 for the Lightning.
- Nikita KucherovVolume
Nikita Kucherov had 9 shot attempts. One got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 6.3. The Lightning beat the Wild 3-2.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 97 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Minnesota Wild
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes D | 32:36 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Jared Spurgeon D | 24:54 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 5 | 61 |
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 23:07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 52 |
| Jonas Brodin D | 23:00 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 37 |
| Matt Boldy L | 22:14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 4 | 4 | 63 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 21:16 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.59 | 0 | 1 | 64 |
| Zach Bogosian D | 19:29 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 27 |
| Maxim Shabanov R | 16:36 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.54 | 0 | 1 | 57 |
| Blake Coleman L | 14:20 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.58 | 1 | 0 | 49 |
| Yakov Trenin C | 12:47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 4 | 0 | 56 |
| Bobby Brink R | 12:01 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| Danila Yurov R | 11:23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 74 |
| Ryan Hartman R | 11:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Nico Sturm C | 10:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 31 |
| Marcus Foligno L | 10:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Michael McCarron C | 10:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Daemon Hunt D | 10:03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Spacek D | 8:23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel L | 22:55 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.62 | 0 | 1 | 68 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 21:12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 53 |
| Max Crozier D | 21:02 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 4 | 52 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 20:55 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Erik Cernak D | 19:32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 73 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 19:25 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Brayden Point C | 17:34 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 17:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 39 |
| John Carlson D | 16:48 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0.48 | 2 | 3 | 50 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 16:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 53 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 16:04 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 60 |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 15:08 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 14:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 53 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 14:02 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| J.J. Moser D | 13:21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 50 |
| Victor Hedman D | 12:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 72 |
| Conor Geekie C | 10:30 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 61 |
| Jeffrey Viel L | 8:23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 69 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute