Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Expected goals, COL–TOR
- 3.1–3.3
- all situations, empty nets out
- TOR share of xG
- 51.8%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 37–33
- COL–TOR
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Avalanche beat the Maple Leafs 4-1. Expected goals had it close, 3.1 to 3.5. Hat trick for Brock Nelson. Cale Makar had 12 shot attempts. Mackenzie Blackwood made 32 saves for the Avalanche.
- Brock NelsonHat trick
Hat trick for Brock Nelson. His goal stood up as the winner. His 2.7 expected goals say the goals were no fluke. The Avalanche beat the Maple Leafs 4-1.
- Cale MakarVolume
Cale Makar had 12 shot attempts. Six reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 7.4. The Avalanche beat the Maple Leafs 4-1.
- Auston MatthewsVolume
Auston Matthews had 11 shot attempts. Seven reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 6.8. The Maple Leafs fell 4-1 to the Avalanche.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
5 goals from 102 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale Makar D | 23:28 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 75 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 23:18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 63 |
| Sam Malinski D | 21:09 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| Martin Necas C | 20:57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 62 |
| Brent Burns D | 20:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 53 |
| Brock Nelson C | 20:37 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 | 58 |
| Josh Manson D | 20:19 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| Samuel Girard D | 19:38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Victor Olofsson L | 18:12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 55 |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 17:04 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.58 | 1 | 1 | 70 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 16:07 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 65 |
| Jack Drury C | 15:22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
| Parker Kelly C | 11:29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | 3 | 1 | 49 |
| Jack Ahcan D | 10:46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20 |
| Gavin Brindley C | 10:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
| Taylor Makar L | 9:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| Joel Kiviranta L | 8:53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 49 |
| Zakhar Bardakov C | 6:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 74 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly D | 22:03 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.08 | 0 | 3 | 64 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 20:00 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 2 | 40 |
| Auston Matthews C | 19:42 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.74 | 0 | 2 | 51 |
| John Tavares C | 19:04 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 57 |
| Troy Stecher D | 18:45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 65 |
| Jake McCabe D | 18:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 40 |
| Max Domi C | 18:07 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 46 |
| Bobby McMann C | 17:58 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | 5 | 0 | 40 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 17:48 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | 1 | 0 | 82 |
| Brandon Carlo D | 17:29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Matthew Knies L | 16:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 2 | 1 | 56 |
| Scott Laughton C | 16:39 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | 3 | 0 | 31 |
| Simon Benoit D | 16:15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 38 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 15:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 68 |
| Steven Lorentz C | 13:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
| Nick Robertson L | 13:10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 49 |
| Easton Cowan R | 11:41 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Jacob Quillan C | 6:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute