Tuesday, January 6, 2026
- Expected goals, COL–TBL
- 3.1–2.5
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 44.6%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 33–28
- COL–TBL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Avalanche 4-2 in a game the chances had about even, 2.6 expected goals to 3.1. Nikita Kucherov has a point in 8 straight games. Brock Nelson has a point in 6 straight games.
- Nikita KucherovStreak
Nikita Kucherov has a point in 8 straight games. He has 61 points in 39 games this season. He played 16:20 and had no shots on goal. It finished 4-2 for the Lightning.
- Brock NelsonStreak
Brock Nelson has a point in 6 straight games. That was his 19th goal of the season. He played 22:14 and had four shots on goal. The Avalanche lost 4-2 to the Lightning.
- Martin NecasVolume
Martin Necas had 10 shot attempts. Three got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 4.8. The Avalanche lost 4-2 to the Lightning.
- Zemgus GirgensonsDrought over
Zemgus Girgensons scored for the first time in 18 games. That was his sixth goal of the season. He played 14:40 and had one shot on goal. The Lightning beat the Avalanche 4-2.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 94 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Colorado Avalanche
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale Makar D | 26:04 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 5 | 46 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 22:37 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.15 | 3 | 1 | 65 |
| Brock Nelson C | 22:14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| Martin Necas C | 21:54 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.63 | 4 | 0 | 72 |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 19:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 24 |
| Josh Manson D | 19:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 3 | 2 | 47 |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 18:55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 2 | 68 |
| Sam Malinski D | 18:51 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 2 | 2 | 72 |
| Samuel Girard D | 18:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 40 |
| Brent Burns D | 18:19 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 25 |
| Jack Drury C | 15:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 53 |
| Gavin Brindley C | 14:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 12:53 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 78 |
| Ross Colton C | 12:34 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | 1 | 2 | 48 |
| Victor Olofsson L | 11:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 45 |
| Parker Kelly C | 11:20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.44 | 2 | 0 | 69 |
| Zakhar Bardakov C | 7:23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 79 |
| Taylor Makar L | 5:29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 74 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Raddysh D | 24:39 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 37 |
| J.J. Moser D | 24:06 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.88 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 21:10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 5 | 74 |
| Erik Cernak D | 20:18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 4 | 1 | 61 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 18:38 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.43 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 17:39 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 80 |
| Brayden Point C | 16:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 16:20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 16:15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 53 |
| Max Crozier D | 15:33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 46 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 14:40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 50 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 14:27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 53 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 14:05 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.98 | 0 | 0 | 78 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 13:43 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
| Nick Paul L | 12:12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 3 | 1 | 35 |
| Dominic James C | 12:08 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 4 | 0 | 37 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 11:47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 52 |
| Declan Carlile D | 11:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute