GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Ryan LinD, 18. Carrying a team, PlaymakerVancouver GiantsWHL–531.08+42%85%74%59%Elite
2Landon DuPontD, 17. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHL–631.16−18%82%65%55%Elite
3Nikita KlepovRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySaginaw SpiritOHL–671.45+14%87%73%35%First-liner
4Carson CarelsD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–581.26086%70%38%Top-pair
5Dima ZhilkinLW, 17. Volume shooter, Running hotSaginaw SpiritOHL–112.00−3%79%68%35%First-liner
6Levi HarperD, 17. Edgy, PlaymakerSaginaw SpiritOHL–52.00−15%67%49%45%Second-pair
7Ryerson EdgarC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueNiagara IceDogsOHL–111.09+16%74%54%24%First-liner
8Alexis JosephC, 17. Carrying a team, Volume shooterSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.91+17%64%52%40%First-liner
9Jaxon JacobsonC, 17. Sniper, SteadyBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.82−1%68%42%37%Middle-sixer
10Madden DaneaultC, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKelowna RocketsWHL–81.25+4%67%40%32%Middle-sixer?
11Colt CarterD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–80.50+9%69%44%29%Second-pair
12Mateo FerreiraD, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKamloops BlazersWHL–101.00+18%71%50%18%Second-pair?
13Brock EnglandC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–81.00+20%65%40%28%Middle-sixer
14Kash KwajahC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerSudbury WolvesOHL–101.10−15%67%38%13%Middle-sixer?
15Brooks RogowskiC, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyOshawa GeneralsOHL–100.70+34%65%40%10%Middle-sixer
16Brock CrippsD, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+13%66%33%14%Third-pair
17Keaton ArdaghRW, 17. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.80+39%64%33%15%Fourth-liner
18Jaakko WyciskC, 17. Heavy, Stacked rosterGuelph StormOHL–110.64−20%53%39%19%Fourth-liner
19Jacob McKinnonLW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–120.92+25%55%43%10%Fourth-liner?
20Aiden KellyC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerBrantford BulldogsOHL–121.33−2%58%28%15%Middle-sixer?
21Maddox SchultzC, 16. Young for the league, EdgyRegina PatsWHL–81.25−9%66%27%15%Fourth-liner
22Alex McLeanC, 18. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.67−12%49%28%26%Tweener
23Egor ShilovC, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–111.36−3%60%32%18%Fourth-liner
24Kohyn EshkawkoganD, 17. Steady, HonestOttawa 67'sOHL–100.40−6%60%27%16%Third-pair
25Owen KraftLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–80.75+18%54%31%16%Fourth-liner?
26Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.29−14%66%26%12%Fourth-liner
27Daxon RudolphD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–681.15−14%60%30%21%Third-pair
28Parker McMillanRW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–50.20+44%60%17%17%Middle-sixer?
29Tyler CooperC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–90.11+24%62%25%9%Fourth-liner
30Easton WalosC, 17. Rising, Running hotSarnia StingOHL–121.33+2%58%20%18%Fourth-liner
31Ryan RoobroeckLW, 18. Volume shooter, HeavyGuelph StormOHL–91.56−12%59%22%6%Fourth-liner
32Adam NovotnýLW, 18. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamPeterborough PetesOHL–101.60+18%63%20%8%Fourth-liner
33Matthew PerreaultD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHL–120.33058%21%16%Third-pair
34JP HurlbertRW, 18. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–681.43−1%48%26%15%Tweener
35Thomas VandenbergC, 18. Sniper, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–590.85−3%49%25%11%Tweener
36Beckett HamiltonRW, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–92.22−3%52%24%12%Fourth-liner
37Kane CloutierLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.33+39%51%19%9%Fourth-liner?
38Nolan SnyderRW, 17. Rising, Running hotKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.08−9%51%21%6%Fourth-liner
39Alexey VlasovRW, 18. Volume shooter, SniperVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–81.50057%18%8%Fourth-liner
40Aleks KuleminC, 17. Rising, Big frameKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.00−12%45%25%7%Tweener
41Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–70.57−11%67%17%2%Fourth-liner
42Pierre-Alexandre LemieuxC, 15. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%51%25%9%Fourth-liner?
43Jayden PominvilleC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.75+16%41%22%16%Tweener
44Liam PueRW, 16. Rising, Young for the leagueRegina PatsWHL–91.44−2%51%21%8%Fourth-liner
45Cam WarrenC, 17. Steady, HonestNorth Bay BattalionOHL–100.70+18%52%16%10%Fourth-liner
46Oleg KulebiakinRW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.88+3%42%19%15%Tweener
47Jean-Cristoph LemieuxRW, 18. Rising, Volume shooterSudbury WolvesOHL–81.75−5%55%18%4%Fourth-liner
48Rhett SatherD, 17. Edgy, RisingSpokane ChiefsWHL–80.88−13%44%16%10%Tweener
49Collin KimLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKamloops BlazersWHL–70.57+13%48%19%8%Tweener?
50Boston TaitD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–100.20+44%51%14%10%Third-pair
51Olivier CharronC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%43%22%14%Tweener
52Ulysses LombardiC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–80.38+26%46%20%7%Tweener
53Peter GreenD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.70+31%45%20%9%Tweener
54Ryan BrownLW, 18. Playmaker, SteadyLondon KnightsOHL–51.60−15%46%13%7%Tweener
55Chase SurkanLW, 17. Playmaker, RisingBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–111.18048%14%5%Tweener
56Crew MartinsonC, 17. Steady, HonestTri-City AmericansWHL–100.50+16%38%18%10%AHLer
57Calder HamiltonLD, 17. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.78−19%48%14%9%Tweener
58Caleb MalhotraC, 18. Stacked roster, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHL–671.25−20%44%15%8%Tweener
59Brenner LammensC, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–120.67−7%43%16%8%Tweener
60Marc RuggereD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–50.20+44%48%19%6%AHLer?
61Ben HarveyRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+22%42%13%6%Tweener
62Tommy BleylD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyMoncton WildcatsQMJHL–631.29−22%51%11%2%Third-pair
63Zachary LansardRW, 18. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–80.88−11%35%15%12%Tweener
64Andrew LaurinRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–100.70054%12%5%Fourth-liner?
65Ilya KolmakovLW, 17. Playmaker, SteadySherbrooke PhœnixQMJHL–101.00−10%39%16%7%Tweener
66Jayden TillmanD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–60.33+12%40%25%7%Long shot?
67Lyndon CabralRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–70.00+42%41%17%9%Tweener?
68Braidy WassilynLW, 18. Rising, Running hotSaginaw SpiritOHL–111.91−6%39%13%4%Tweener
69Kalen MilesC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–100.40+44%42%13%5%AHLer?
70Alessandro Di IorioC, 18. Rising, SteadySarnia StingOHL–81.25−6%37%15%5%Tweener
71Luca SantalaC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueKitchener RangersOHL–120.58+25%35%12%3%Tweener?
72Cruz PavaoRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–100.70+28%38%14%5%Tweener
73Jakub VanecekD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–90.67+19%46%12%6%Tweener
74Blake ChorneyC, 17. Rising, PlaymakerVancouver GiantsWHL–100.80037%13%8%AHLer
75Jay NimchonokRD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBrampton SteelheadsOHL–50.20+26%44%10%9%AHLer?
76Bogdan YakushevskyRW, 17. Running hot, SniperWindsor SpitfiresOHL–111.09+11%34%10%5%Tweener?
77Easton DaneaultC, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.64+3%34%16%7%AHLer
78Enzo RoyD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.18+44%29%25%7%Long shot?
79Luca BlondaD, 17. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHL–100.30−18%44%6%5%Tweener
80Prabh BhathalC, 17. Steady, HonestBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.27−6%36%12%8%AHLer
81Ethan BelchetzLW, 18. Heavy, SniperWindsor SpitfiresOHL–571.04−9%37%12%4%Tweener
82Malik L'ItalienD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–101.00+2%35%16%7%AHLer
83Nathan AmidovskiLW, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–101.00+41%39%12%2%Tweener
84Chase HarringtonLW, 18. Rising, EdgySpokane ChiefsWHL–81.88+2%36%13%4%AHLer
85Michael D'AlessioD, 17. Carrying a team, PlaymakerErie OttersOHL–480.33+42%52%3%3%Third-pair
86Eamon EdgarC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.55+44%32%16%6%AHLer
87Beckham EdwardsC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySarnia StingOHL–640.70+27%41%8%7%Tweener
88Jevin MorrisonD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%46%9%6%AHLer?
89Ludovic PerreaultLW, 17. Steady, HonestVictoria RoyalsWHL–71.14−18%38%11%3%AHLer
90Adam LevacC, 18. Steady, HonestPeterborough PetesOHL–81.00+7%38%15%2%AHLer
91Landon JackmanC, 17. Young for the league, HeavyOwen Sound AttackOHL–380.24035%16%5%AHLer
92Roman AndreevRW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyKitchener RangersOHL–70.00+14%39%16%4%Tweener?
93Cole GuizzettiLW, 16. Young for the league, UndersizedFlint FirebirdsOHL–80.38−10%41%13%5%AHLer?
94Ryan KaczynskiLW, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueSoo GreyhoundsOHL–100.90+14%34%15%3%AHLer
95Jordan DuguayLW, 18. Carrying a team, PlaymakerPortland WinterhawksWHL–81.00+31%33%11%6%AHLer
96Brayden KlimpkeD, 18. Rising, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–91.67−18%44%7%2%Tweener
97Parker DeraneyLD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–80.25+20%44%8%6%AHLer?
98Kent GreerD, 18. Playmaker, UndersizedNorth Bay BattalionOHL–580.57+3%38%9%4%Tweener
99Noah LausLW, 17. Rising, Running hotSoo GreyhoundsOHL–111.09+13%40%8%4%Tweener
100Stepan KuryachenkovLW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.30+28%34%10%4%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.