GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.29−14%66%26%12%Fourth-liner
2Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–70.57−11%67%17%2%Fourth-liner
3Aleksanteri KaskimäkiF, 22. Steady, HonestSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHL–640.69+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
4Luca PinelliLW, 21. Edgy, UndersizedCleveland MonstersAHL–61.00−7%39%4%<1%Tweener
5Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–630.56−3%37%4%<1%Tweener
6Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW, 22. Heavy, SteadyHershey BearsAHL–410.83+7%36%2%<1%Tweener
7Anton WahlbergLW, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Diego GullsAHL–71.00+16%35%6%<1%Tweener
8Zach L’HeureuxLW, 23. Sniper, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–300.93+2%34%5%1%Tweener?
9Joshua RoyLW, 23. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33037%3%1%Tweener
10Sasha PastujovF, 23. Volume shooter, SniperLaval RocketAHL–61.33−18%35%3%<1%Tweener
11Tij IginlaF, 20. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33030%12%1%AHLer
12Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–530.49+6%33%3%<1%Tweener
13Adam SýkoraF, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyHartford Wolf PackAHL–620.47+20%35%3%<1%AHLer
14Riley PattersonC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–60.83−7%30%11%<1%AHLer
15Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHL–60.67035%2%<1%Tweener
16Oscar Fisker MølgaardF, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–60.50−17%30%4%<1%AHLer
17Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.60−12%29%5%<1%Tweener
18Kai UchaczF, 23. Heavy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–680.75−12%39%2%<1%AHLer
19Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, HonestAbbotsford CanucksAHL–31.00−12%29%3%<1%Tweener
20Yegor BorikovF, 21. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.83+8%35%4%<1%AHLer?
21Cole EisermanF, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHamilton HammersAHL–50.80+2%29%4%<1%AHLer?
22Ivan RyabkinC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHL–60.33+44%27%8%2%AHLer
23Jesse KiiskinenRW, 21. Young for the league, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–71.00+5%29%4%<1%AHLer?
24Alex SuzdalevLW, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHL–40.00−3%29%2%<1%AHLer
25Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−14%28%3%<1%AHLer
26Atley CalvertC, 23. Volume shooter, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT61.33−18%27%2%<1%AHLer
27Gabe KlassenF, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHL–40.25+25%30%2%<1%AHLer
28Danny ZhilkinC, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHL–60.83−26%26%3%<1%AHLer
29Luke HaymesC, 23. Edgy, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–60.83−17%26%2%<1%AHLer
30Noah ChadwickD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−19%26%1%<1%AHLer
31Dylan HryckowianR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyTexas StarsAHLDAL60.83+30%27%4%<1%AHLer
32Francesco PinelliF, 23. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.20+4%30%2%<1%AHLer
33Tucker RobertsonRW, 23. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHL–51.00+10%28%2%<1%AHLer
34Jack BeckerF, 23. Carrying a team, HeavyTexas StarsAHL–60.00+13%26%1%<1%AHLer
35Artem DudaD, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+2%23%4%<1%AHLer
36Nikita PrishchepovF, 22. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHL–60.50+11%24%3%<1%AHLer?
37Oasiz WiesblattC, 22. Edgy, Carrying a teamMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–10.00+10%21%2%<1%AHLer
38Kashawn AitchesonD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyHamilton HammersAHL–60.17−2%21%7%<1%AHLer
39Viktor NeuchevRW, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHL–60.33+44%24%1%<1%AHLer
40Jon-Randall AvonC, 23. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA61.00024%1%<1%AHLer
41Koehn ZiemmerF, 21. Edgy, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–50.60+7%21%2%<1%AHLer
42Bennett SchimekRW, 23. Steady, HonestAbbotsford CanucksAHL–60.83−10%22%2%<1%AHLer?
43Maveric LamoureuxD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerTucson RoadrunnersAHL–650.31021%<1%<1%AHLer
44Yegor SidorovRW, 22. Steady, HonestSan Diego GullsAHL–60.33+12%20%1%<1%AHLer
45J.R. AvonF, 23. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–61.00−15%23%1%<1%AHLer
46Caleb DesnoyersF, 19. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+5%18%9%1%Long shot
47Aatu JämsenF, 23. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.20+4%25%1%<1%AHLer
48Nikita NovikovD, 23. Heavy, PlaymakerOntario ReignAHL–640.31−1%21%<1%<1%AHLer
49David EdstromC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–40.25+16%16%2%<1%AHLer
50Borya ValisF, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyToronto MarliesAHL–60.17−21%19%1%<1%AHLer
51Noel NordhF, 21. Playmaker, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–600.35019%1%<1%AHLer
52Alexis GendronF, 22. Steady, HonestProvidence BruinsAHL–570.44−2%18%1%<1%AHLer
53Dmitry KuzminD, 23. Steady, HonestRockford IceHogsAHL–460.33+7%23%1%<1%AHLer
54Andre GasseauF, 23. Heavy, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.83+7%23%3%<1%AHLer?
55Angus BoothD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.40019%<1%<1%AHLer
56Brady MartinC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–40.75+25%21%7%<1%Long shot?
57Alex WeiermairF, 21. Young for the league, HeavyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–50.20+8%17%6%1%Long shot
58Tomas KralovicD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSyracuse CrunchAHL–50.20+23%24%2%<1%AHLer?
59Ethan SamsonD, 23. Edgy, Stacked rosterLaval RocketAHL–50.00−27%18%<1%<1%AHLer
60Sacha BoisvertC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHL–60.00+36%24%3%<1%AHLer?
61Ondrej BecherC, 22. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.57−9%15%1%<1%AHLer
62Dominik BadinkaD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHL–40.25+44%17%1%<1%AHLer
63Jake RichardRW, 22. Steady, HonestRochester AmericansAHL–60.50+2%19%2%<1%AHLer?
64Brett HarrisonRW, 23. Steady, HonestLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–580.36+8%17%1%<1%AHLer
65Vadim MorozF, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.67+10%19%2%<1%AHLer?
66Nico MyatovicLW, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySan Diego GullsAHL–70.86+26%16%<1%<1%AHLer
67Gregor BiberD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.33024%<1%<1%Long shot?
68Sam O'ReillyC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSyracuse CrunchAHL–60.33+28%14%4%<1%AHLer
69Daniil ProkhorovF, 19. Young for the league, HeavyHamilton HammersAHL–60.17017%2%<1%AHLer?
70Jett LuchankoF, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–61.00−8%17%5%<1%Long shot
71Braeden CootesC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–61.00−4%16%6%1%Long shot
72Henry BrzustewiczD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–30.00017%3%<1%AHLer
73Owen AllardF, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–690.28016%<1%<1%AHLer
74Noah SteenLW, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHL–50.20+28%17%2%<1%AHLer?
75Devin KaplanF, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–20.00−19%17%<1%<1%AHLer
76Gabriel SzturcC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHL–40.25+23%14%<1%<1%AHLer
77Carter BearLW, 19. Young for the league, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–50.80−3%13%5%<1%AHLer
78Kalan LindLW, 21. Steady, HonestMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL–260.31−1%15%<1%<1%AHLer?
79Jake LivanavageD, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT51.00−23%20%1%<1%Long shot
80Blake SmithD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterToronto MarliesAHL–20.00−21%13%<1%<1%AHLer
81Leo Sahlin WalleniusD, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.33−5%21%<1%<1%Long shot?
82Viliam KmecD, 22. Heavy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHL–50.60+6%11%<1%<1%AHLer
83Shai BuiumD, 23. Heavy, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.57−9%14%<1%<1%AHLer
84Brady StonehouseR, 22. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM90.33−7%16%1%<1%AHLer?
85Chase StillmanRW, 23. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–40.00−9%16%<1%<1%AHLer?
86Stevie LeskovarD, 22. Edgy, Carrying a teamIowa WildAHL–20.00+24%18%1%<1%Long shot?
87Gabe SmithF, 20. Young for the league, HeavyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.67014%4%<1%Long shot
88Brayden HislopD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–10.00+36%15%<1%<1%AHLer?
89Noah Dower NilssonLW, 21. Young for the league, SteadyGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.43−9%14%1%<1%AHLer?
90Chas SharpeD, 22. Steady, HonestToronto MarliesAHL–330.27013%<1%<1%AHLer?
91Gavin McCarthyD, 21. Young for the league, EdgyRochester AmericansAHL–50.40−4%16%1%<1%Long shot?
92Jakub DvořákD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyOntario ReignAHL–450.16−2%12%<1%<1%AHLer
93Vilmer AlrikssonLW, 21. Heavy, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–60.50−7%13%<1%<1%AHLer
94Landen HookeyC, 22. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHL–490.24011%<1%<1%AHLer
95Julian LutzF, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–50.20010%<1%<1%AHLer
96Dylan JamesLW, 22. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHL–70.57−5%11%2%<1%AHLer?
97Miko MatikkaF, 22. Heavy, SteadyTucson RoadrunnersAHL–510.24010%<1%<1%AHLer
98Carson WetschF, 20. Young for the league, EdgySan Jose BarracudaAHL–60.17−5%10%3%<1%AHLer
99Noah PowellF, 21. Edgy, HeavyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHL–50.20−10%11%1%<1%AHLer?
100Vojtech ČihařLW, 19. Young for the league, SteadyOntario ReignAHL–40.25012%4%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.