Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

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#	Player	Team	Rights	GP	P/GP	Context	NHL odds	Top odds	Elite odds	Projection
1	Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the league	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#10, 2025	4	0.75	+18%	88%	47%	35%	Middle-sixer
2	Bradly NadeauL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Chicago WolvesAHL	CAR#30, 2023	4	0.25	+44%	89%	54%	17%	First-liner
3	Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, Heavy	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#14, 2022	6	1.50	−15%	86%	44%	19%	Middle-sixer
4	Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Rochester AmericansAHL	BUF#16, 2022	7	1.43	+2%	76%	47%	17%	Middle-sixer?
5	Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#67, 2023	3	0.67	+36%	64%	37%	12%	Fourth-liner
6	Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#43, 2023	4	0.25	+10%	77%	27%	17%	Fourth-liner
7	Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	STL#19, 2025	6	0.67	+32%	83%	32%	13%	Fourth-liner
8	Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, Heavy	San Jose BarracudaAHL	SJS#26, 2023	61	0.74	−2%	72%	25%	8%	Middle-sixer
9	Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Chicago WolvesAHL	CAR#62, 2023	4	0.25	+44%	63%	36%	7%	Fourth-liner
10	Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frame	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#27, 2025	6	0.67	0	68%	34%	6%	Middle-sixer?
11	Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#24, 2024	4	1.50	+32%	70%	22%	10%	Middle-sixer
12	David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, Heavy	Laval RocketAHL	MTL#5, 2023	4	0.50	−27%	70%	27%	5%	Third-pair
13	Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#17, 2024	2	0.00	−3%	77%	22%	11%	Fourth-liner
14	Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, Steady	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#40, 2023	6	1.33	+2%	73%	21%	5%	Fourth-liner
15	Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy	Iowa WildAHL	MIN#21, 2023	7	0.29	+24%	70%	12%	8%	Middle-sixer
16	Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, Steady	Calgary WranglersAHL	–	7	0.29	−14%	66%	26%	12%	Fourth-liner
17	Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, Honest	Cleveland MonstersAHL	CBJ#44, 2022	55	1.05	+5%	81%	13%	5%	Fourth-liner
18	Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, Steady	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#14, 2023	6	1.50	−19%	68%	13%	6%	Fourth-liner
19	Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, Steady	San Jose BarracudaAHL	SJS#27, 2022	6	1.00	+8%	63%	15%	4%	Middle-sixer
20	Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#35, 2022	7	1.14	−14%	65%	22%	5%	Fourth-liner
21	Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#17, 2022	4	1.00	+16%	67%	14%	6%	Fourth-liner
22	Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#58, 2023	4	1.25	+25%	75%	13%	5%	Fourth-liner
23	Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Texas StarsAHL	DAL#29, 2024	6	0.17	+17%	60%	22%	4%	Fourth-liner
24	Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, Sniper	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#49, 2022	7	1.43	0	74%	13%	6%	Fourth-liner
25	Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#23, 2024	7	0.86	+18%	72%	15%	3%	Third-pair
26	Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked roster	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#22, 2025	6	0.83	−19%	57%	19%	9%	Fourth-liner
27	Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Iowa WildAHL	MIN#47, 2022	6	0.83	+40%	57%	14%	6%	Fourth-liner
28	Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, Honest	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#20, 2023	7	0.57	−14%	66%	11%	4%	Fourth-liner
29	Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, Honest	Calgary WranglersAHL	–	7	0.57	−11%	67%	17%	2%	Fourth-liner
30	Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#26, 2024	8	0.63	+38%	51%	16%	4%	Fourth-liner
31	Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, Steady	Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL	PHI#22, 2023	2	1.00	−13%	61%	10%	3%	Third-pair
32	Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, Honest	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#18, 2023	6	0.83	−24%	62%	10%	3%	Fourth-liner
33	Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked roster	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#46, 2024	6	0.33	−23%	57%	15%	4%	Fourth-liner
34	Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, Honest	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#52, 2023	6	0.50	0	54%	11%	4%	Fourth-liner
35	Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, Heavy	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#21, 2022	6	0.17	−23%	68%	5%	2%	Third-pair
36	Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, Sniper	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#32, 2022	33	0.85	+1%	50%	8%	8%	Fourth-liner?
37	Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#27, 2024	6	0.00	+36%	48%	14%	3%	Tweener
38	Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, Steady	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#35, 2024	6	0.50	+9%	51%	12%	11%	Fourth-liner
39	Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, Heavy	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#22, 2022	5	0.60	+12%	52%	10%	3%	Fourth-liner
40	Tanner MolendykD, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#24, 2023	4	0.50	+10%	55%	10%	2%	Third-pair
41	Anton SilaevD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#10, 2024	4	0.00	+23%	70%	5%	2%	Third-pair
42	Seamus CaseyD, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#46, 2022	29	0.66	+14%	60%	4%	4%	Third-pair?
43	Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Belleville SenatorsAHL	OTT#36, 2023	7	1.14	+19%	58%	8%	2%	Fourth-liner
44	William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, Steady	Calgary WranglersAHL	CGY#45, 2021	7	1.14	−12%	55%	6%	3%	Fourth-liner
45	Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#30, 2022	34	0.38	+27%	43%	5%	2%	Tweener
46	Cam LundC, 22. Steady, Honest	San Jose BarracudaAHL	SJS#34, 2022	37	0.68	−5%	48%	6%	3%	Tweener
47	Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, Honest	Charlotte CheckersAHL	FLA#63, 2023	6	0.33	+23%	41%	7%	4%	Tweener
48	Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, Undersized	San Jose BarracudaAHL	SJS#123, 2023	67	0.64	−5%	49%	7%	1%	Tweener
49	Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	STL#76, 2023	6	0.00	+22%	41%	9%	2%	Tweener
50	Harrison BrunickeD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked roster	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#44, 2024	6	0.33	−24%	53%	8%	2%	Third-pair
51	Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#100, 2022	7	1.71	−15%	45%	7%	1%	Tweener
52	Owen BeckC, 22. Stacked roster, Steady	Laval RocketAHL	MTL#33, 2022	4	0.25	−27%	52%	4%	2%	Fourth-liner
53	Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, Steady	Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL	PHI#95, 2023	26	0.62	+7%	45%	6%	2%	Tweener?
54	Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#66, 2022	6	0.83	+43%	37%	10%	3%	Tweener
55	Elias SalomonssonD, 22. Steady, Honest	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#55, 2022	1	0.00	−28%	50%	10%	<1%	Third-pair?
56	Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, Honest	Charlotte CheckersAHL	FLA#157, 2022	48	0.79	+8%	43%	3%	1%	Tweener
57	Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Texas StarsAHL	DAL#61, 2023	5	0.40	+17%	45%	9%	1%	Tweener
58	Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#115, 2021	4	0.25	+10%	48%	3%	2%	Tweener
59	Amadeus LombardiC, 23. Steady, Honest	Grand Rapids GriffinsAHL	NJD#113, 2022	47	0.89	−10%	51%	2%	<1%	Fourth-liner
60	Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Laval RocketAHL	MTL#92, 2022	45	0.76	−2%	43%	3%	2%	Tweener
61	Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Texas StarsAHL	DAL#179, 2022	6	0.83	+16%	40%	2%	<1%	Tweener
62	Leon MuggliD, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#52, 2024	4	0.25	0	54%	6%	<1%	Third-pair?
63	Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a team	Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL	PHI#133, 2022	5	1.60	+15%	39%	2%	2%	Tweener
64	Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Syracuse CrunchAHL	TBL#37, 2023	5	0.20	+23%	47%	4%	<1%	Tweener
65	Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, Honest	Cleveland MonstersAHL	CBJ#25, 2021	6	0.50	−14%	43%	4%	<1%	Tweener
66	Aleksanteri KaskimäkiF, 22. Steady, Honest	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	–	64	0.69	+10%	43%	2%	<1%	Tweener
67	Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Charlotte CheckersAHL	FLA#221, 2022	6	0.67	+36%	43%	3%	<1%	Tweener
68	Alexander SuzdalevL, 22. Steady, Honest	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#70, 2022	4	0.00	−1%	38%	6%	4%	AHLer
69	Luca PinelliLW, 21. Edgy, Undersized	Cleveland MonstersAHL	–	6	1.00	−7%	39%	4%	<1%	Tweener
70	Julius MiettinenC, 20. Young for the league, Heavy	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#40, 2024	7	0.71	−15%	34%	11%	2%	AHLer
71	Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, Edgy	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	STL#56, 2024	5	0.00	+22%	44%	5%	2%	Tweener
72	Mikhail IlyinR, 21. Heavy, Stacked roster	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#142, 2023	6	1.17	−20%	33%	10%	3%	AHLer
73	Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frame	Henderson Silver KnightsAHL	VGK#48, 2022	5	0.80	+16%	43%	4%	1%	Tweener
74	Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, Steady	Henderson Silver KnightsAHL	VGK#177, 2022	2	0.50	+4%	36%	4%	1%	Tweener
75	Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#37, 2024	6	0.50	−26%	41%	3%	<1%	Tweener
76	Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, Playmaker	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	–	63	0.56	−3%	37%	4%	<1%	Tweener
77	Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW, 22. Heavy, Steady	Hershey BearsAHL	–	41	0.83	+7%	36%	2%	<1%	Tweener
78	Anton WahlbergLW, 21. Young for the league, Heavy	San Diego GullsAHL	–	7	1.00	+16%	35%	6%	<1%	Tweener
79	Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, Steady	Laval RocketAHL	MTL#26, 2022	6	0.67	−24%	32%	3%	<1%	Tweener
80	Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, Honest	Providence BruinsAHL	BOS#132, 2022	65	0.55	−2%	36%	2%	<1%	Tweener
81	Zach L’HeureuxLW, 23. Sniper, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	–	30	0.93	+2%	34%	5%	1%	Tweener?
82	Joshua RoyLW, 23. Steady, Honest	Tucson RoadrunnersAHL	–	6	0.33	0	37%	3%	1%	Tweener
83	Matyas MelovskyC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#171, 2024	4	0.75	+23%	37%	3%	<1%	AHLer
84	Sasha PastujovF, 23. Volume shooter, Sniper	Laval RocketAHL	–	6	1.33	−18%	35%	3%	<1%	Tweener
85	Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#42, 2023	4	0.00	+10%	43%	2%	<1%	Tweener
86	Tij IginlaF, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Tucson RoadrunnersAHL	–	6	0.33	0	30%	12%	1%	AHLer
87	Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Rockford IceHogsAHL	–	53	0.49	+6%	33%	3%	<1%	Tweener
88	Nathan VilleneuveC, 20. Edgy, Young for the league	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#63, 2024	5	0.00	−19%	26%	8%	2%	AHLer
89	Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the league	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#57, 2023	7	0.29	−19%	44%	2%	<1%	Tweener
90	Adam SýkoraF, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	–	62	0.47	+20%	35%	3%	<1%	AHLer
91	Riley HeidtC, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Iowa WildAHL	MIN#64, 2023	7	0.43	+29%	30%	4%	<1%	AHLer
92	Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, Honest	Belleville SenatorsAHL	–	6	0.67	0	35%	2%	<1%	Tweener
93	Riley PattersonC, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Abbotsford CanucksAHL	–	6	0.83	−7%	30%	11%	<1%	AHLer
94	Herman TraffR, 20. Young for the league, Heavy	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#91, 2024	5	0.20	+9%	30%	5%	1%	AHLer
95	Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, Honest	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#37, 2022	6	0.33	−3%	37%	1%	<1%	Tweener
96	Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, Honest	Calgary WranglersAHL	NJD#48, 2023	42	0.17	0	42%	2%	<1%	Tweener
97	Aiden FinkR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#218, 2023	3	0.33	+16%	34%	5%	<1%	AHLer
98	Carey TerranceC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#59, 2023	2	0.00	+28%	38%	2%	<1%	AHLer
99	Kevin HeL, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#109, 2024	6	0.83	−24%	28%	7%	1%	AHLer
100	Dans LocmelisC, 22. Carrying a team, Edgy	Providence BruinsAHL	BOS#119, 2022	7	0.43	+28%	28%	2%	2%	AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.