GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Ryan LinD, 18. Carrying a team, PlaymakerVancouver GiantsWHL–531.08+42%85%74%59%Elite
2Landon DuPontD, 17. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHL–631.16−18%82%65%55%Elite
3Carson CarelsD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–581.26086%70%38%Top-pair
4Levi HarperD, 17. Edgy, PlaymakerSaginaw SpiritOHL–52.00−15%67%49%45%Second-pair
5Colt CarterD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–80.50+9%69%44%29%Second-pair
6Mateo FerreiraD, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKamloops BlazersWHL–101.00+18%71%50%18%Second-pair?
7Brock CrippsD, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+13%66%33%14%Third-pair
8Kohyn EshkawkoganD, 17. Steady, HonestOttawa 67'sOHL–100.40−6%60%27%16%Third-pair
9Daxon RudolphD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–681.15−14%60%30%21%Third-pair
10Matthew PerreaultD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHL–120.33058%21%16%Third-pair
11Rhett SatherD, 17. Edgy, RisingSpokane ChiefsWHL–80.88−13%44%16%10%Tweener
12Boston TaitD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–100.20+44%51%14%10%Third-pair
13Peter GreenD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.70+31%45%20%9%Tweener
14Calder HamiltonLD, 17. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.78−19%48%14%9%Tweener
15Marc RuggereD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–50.20+44%48%19%6%AHLer?
16Tommy BleylD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyMoncton WildcatsQMJHL–631.29−22%51%11%2%Third-pair
17Jayden TillmanD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyGatineau OlympiquesQMJHL–60.33+12%40%25%7%Long shot?
18Jakub VanecekD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–90.67+19%46%12%6%Tweener
19Jay NimchonokRD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBrampton SteelheadsOHL–50.20+26%44%10%9%AHLer?
20Enzo RoyD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL–110.18+44%29%25%7%Long shot?
21Luca BlondaD, 17. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHL–100.30−18%44%6%5%Tweener
22Malik L'ItalienD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–101.00+2%35%16%7%AHLer
23Michael D'AlessioD, 17. Carrying a team, PlaymakerErie OttersOHL–480.33+42%52%3%3%Third-pair
24Jevin MorrisonD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–90.11+44%46%9%6%AHLer?
25Parker DeraneyLD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePenticton VeesWHL–80.25+20%44%8%6%AHLer?
26Brayden KlimpkeD, 18. Rising, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–91.67−18%44%7%2%Tweener
27Kent GreerD, 18. Playmaker, UndersizedNorth Bay BattalionOHL–580.57+3%38%9%4%Tweener
28Declan McNallyD, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.09+44%32%9%9%AHLer?
29Cooper McAslanD, 17. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–91.00−13%44%9%3%AHLer?
30Matthew HendersonD, 17. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.25−15%33%12%5%AHLer
31Mark PritchinD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–110.36+12%25%17%5%AHLer?
32Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL–630.56−3%37%4%<1%Tweener
33Lucas MathesonD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBarrie ColtsOHL–110.27+44%38%5%5%Tweener?
34Yuri VlasenkoD, 16. Young for the league, SteadySwift Current BroncosWHL–110.27+10%33%8%3%AHLer?
35Zack NaishD, 16. Young for the league, Big frameNiagara IceDogsOHL–10.00+5%34%8%4%AHLer?
36Justin BeaulieuD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueRimouski OcéanicQMJHL–110.82−22%28%15%2%AHLer
37Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHL–530.49+6%33%3%<1%Tweener
38Max FransenD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOwen Sound AttackOHL–110.27+32%30%5%5%AHLer?
39Xavier VilleneuveD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–371.03−15%28%9%1%AHLer
40Broden McArthurD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–110.55+26%32%8%2%Tweener?
41Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHL–60.67035%2%<1%Tweener
42Nathan FrostD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL–90.33+2%25%15%2%Long shot?
43Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, SteadyAbbotsford CanucksAHL–50.60−12%29%5%<1%Tweener
44Antoine St-LaurentD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.83+15%25%10%2%AHLer
45Zach NymanD, 18. Carrying a team, UndersizedBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.30+26%38%4%2%AHLer
46William DubéD, 17. Playmaker, SteadyChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–91.11+1%28%8%4%Long shot?
47David BuchmanD, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueBrantford BulldogsOHL–120.83−8%27%8%3%AHLer?
48Hunter AuraD, 18. Rising, SteadyCalgary HitmenWHL–90.89−17%28%5%<1%AHLer
49Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, HonestAbbotsford CanucksAHL–31.00−12%29%3%<1%Tweener
50Jake BurmisLD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyMedicine Hat TigersWHL–70.43−8%34%10%1%Long shot?
51Crosby MateychukD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHL–100.30032%10%2%Long shot?
52Caleb MitchellD, 18. Steady, HonestLondon KnightsOHL–90.33−17%35%2%2%AHLer
53Kyle HegerLD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.55−2%29%4%1%AHLer
54Cruz JimRD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.36−8%27%8%2%Long shot?
55Lucas AmbrosioD, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyErie OttersOHL–100.50+28%37%<1%<1%AHLer
56Aiden WagnerRD, 17. Steady, HonestRegina PatsWHL–80.13−16%30%7%<1%Long shot
57Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyCleveland MonstersAHL–60.50−14%28%3%<1%AHLer
58Odin VauhkonenD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerVictoria RoyalsWHL–91.11−19%28%4%2%AHLer
59Arsenii AnisimovD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–70.57+31%27%3%<1%AHLer
60Anthony TimmermanLD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–110.18+34%22%8%2%AHLer
61Cole EmertonD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerSarnia StingOHL–121.17−8%28%3%2%AHLer
62Ondrej RumlD, 18. Rising, SniperOttawa 67'sOHL–91.11+4%30%4%2%AHLer
63Daniel VaillantD, 17. Carrying a team, SteadyWenatchee WildWHL–30.33+44%28%7%<1%Long shot
64Adrian SgroD, 16. Young for the league, EdgySarnia StingOHL–120.25−11%23%9%1%Long shot?
65Remy KochD, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKelowna RocketsWHL–60.17−5%27%6%3%Long shot?
66Noah ChadwickD, 21. Young for the league, HeavyToronto MarliesAHL–50.40−19%26%1%<1%AHLer
67Nate YellowagaD, 18. Edgy, SteadyVictoria RoyalsWHL–90.44−21%27%5%2%AHLer
68Kaden AucoinD, 17. Edgy, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–70.00−12%22%9%2%AHLer
69Sean Matthew GoyetteD, 18. Edgy, Carrying a teamBrampton SteelheadsOHL–20.00+26%32%3%1%AHLer?
70Will McLaughlinD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPortland WinterhawksWHL–70.29+22%29%2%1%AHLer
71Will ScottRD, 18. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–110.27027%3%<1%AHLer
72Artem DudaD, 22. Steady, HonestTucson RoadrunnersAHL–60.50+2%23%4%<1%AHLer
73Giorgos PantelasRD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyPenticton VeesWHL–100.20+20%29%2%1%AHLer
74Vladimir DraveckyD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerGuelph StormOHL–91.56−16%30%2%<1%AHLer
75Carter HicksD, 18. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.40+26%29%1%1%AHLer
76Grayson TashD, 17. Rising, Carrying a teamSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–80.75+15%24%7%<1%AHLer
77Kashawn AitchesonD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyHamilton HammersAHL–60.17−2%21%7%<1%AHLer
78Vladimir ShtyrkhunovD, 17. Volume shooter, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.90+6%25%4%2%Long shot?
79A.J. GladmanD, 17. Carrying a team, HeavyErie OttersOHL–40.25+24%22%2%2%AHLer?
80Kasen WalshD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL–60.33−3%19%8%4%Long shot?
81Ryan YurkiwD, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyBarrie ColtsOHL–90.33+44%30%<1%<1%Long shot?
82Jiří GombárLD, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueKitchener RangersOHL–120.17+15%17%4%<1%Long shot?
83Genc UlaD, 17. Edgy, RisingSudbury WolvesOHL–100.40−16%20%3%2%AHLer
84Maveric LamoureuxD, 22. Heavy, PlaymakerTucson RoadrunnersAHL–650.31021%<1%<1%AHLer
85Alexander BileckiLD, 18. Rising, PlaymakerKitchener RangersOHL–111.00+17%19%2%2%AHLer
86Callum CroskeryD, 18. Steady, HonestSoo GreyhoundsOHL–90.56028%1%<1%AHLer
87Chase SewellD, 17. Young for the league, Big frameSarnia StingOHL–50.00−12%19%7%3%Long shot?
88Nikita NovikovD, 23. Heavy, PlaymakerOntario ReignAHL–640.31−1%21%<1%<1%AHLer
89Benjamin Cossette AyotteD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyVal-d'Or ForeursQMJHL–120.75−14%20%3%1%AHLer
90Cohen WilliamsD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–60.17+2%22%6%2%Long shot
91Gordei KhotkovD, 16. Young for the league, HeavySaginaw SpiritOHL–110.27−18%16%8%2%Long shot?
92Alex ForrestLD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyKitchener RangersOHL–120.33+14%21%3%2%Long shot?
93Thomas CharbonneauD, 17. Young for the league, RisingSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.45+12%16%8%2%Long shot
94Quinn NormanD, 16. Young for the league, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL–130.08−3%17%9%1%Long shot
95Grady PichetteRD, 17. Steady, HonestLethbridge HurricanesWHL–80.13−2%23%2%2%AHLer
96Brady BlasegLD, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyOshawa GeneralsOHL–80.13+36%19%3%2%Long shot
97Dmitry KuzminD, 23. Steady, HonestRockford IceHogsAHL–460.33+7%23%1%<1%AHLer
98Luke DumasD, 16. Young for the league, Stacked rosterSaskatoon BladesWHL–50.00−27%17%5%2%Long shot?
99Harry MatternD, 17. Young for the league, SteadySpokane ChiefsWHL–70.14−14%18%6%1%Long shot
100Angus BoothD, 22. Steady, HonestOntario ReignAHL–50.40019%<1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.