GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#10, 202540.75+18%88%47%35%Middle-sixer
2Bradly NadeauL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#30, 202340.25+44%89%54%17%First-liner
3Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#14, 202261.50−15%86%44%19%Middle-sixer
4Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#16, 202271.43+2%76%47%17%Middle-sixer?
5Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#67, 202330.67+36%64%37%12%Fourth-liner
6Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#43, 202340.25+10%77%27%17%Fourth-liner
7Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#19, 202560.67+32%83%32%13%Fourth-liner
8Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#62, 202340.25+44%63%36%7%Fourth-liner
9Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#26, 2023610.74−2%72%25%8%Middle-sixer
10Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frameHershey BearsAHLWSH#27, 202560.67068%34%6%Middle-sixer?
11Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#24, 202441.50+32%70%22%10%Middle-sixer
12David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, HeavyLaval RocketAHLMTL#5, 202340.50−27%70%27%5%Third-pair
13Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#17, 202420.00−3%77%22%11%Fourth-liner
14Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN#21, 202370.29+24%70%12%8%Middle-sixer
15Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#40, 202361.33+2%73%21%5%Fourth-liner
16Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#44, 2022551.05+5%81%13%5%Fourth-liner
17Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#14, 202361.50−19%68%13%6%Fourth-liner
18Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#27, 202261.00+8%63%15%4%Middle-sixer
19Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#35, 202271.14−14%65%22%5%Fourth-liner
20Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#17, 202241.00+16%67%14%6%Fourth-liner
21Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#58, 202341.25+25%75%13%5%Fourth-liner
22Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#29, 202460.17+17%60%22%4%Fourth-liner
23Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, SniperCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#49, 202271.43074%13%6%Fourth-liner
24Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#23, 202470.86+18%72%15%3%Third-pair
25Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#22, 202560.83−19%57%19%9%Fourth-liner
26Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#47, 202260.83+40%57%14%6%Fourth-liner
27Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#20, 202370.57−14%66%11%4%Fourth-liner
28Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#26, 202480.63+38%51%16%4%Fourth-liner
29Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#22, 202321.00−13%61%10%3%Third-pair
30Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#18, 202360.83−24%62%10%3%Fourth-liner
31Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#46, 202460.33−23%57%15%4%Fourth-liner
32Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#52, 202360.50054%11%4%Fourth-liner
33Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#21, 202260.17−23%68%5%2%Third-pair
34Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, SniperMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#32, 2022330.85+1%50%8%8%Fourth-liner?
35Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#35, 202460.50+9%51%12%11%Fourth-liner
36Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#27, 202460.00+36%48%14%3%Tweener
37Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#22, 202250.60+12%52%10%3%Fourth-liner
38Tanner MolendykD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#24, 202340.50+10%55%10%2%Third-pair
39Anton SilaevD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueUtica CometsAHLNJD#10, 202440.00+23%70%5%2%Third-pair
40Seamus CaseyD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#46, 2022290.66+14%60%4%4%Third-pair?
41Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#36, 202371.14+19%58%8%2%Fourth-liner
42William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#45, 202171.14−12%55%6%3%Fourth-liner
43Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#30, 2022340.38+27%43%5%2%Tweener
44Cam LundC, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#34, 2022370.68−5%48%6%3%Tweener
45Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#63, 202360.33+23%41%7%4%Tweener
46Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#123, 2023670.64−5%49%7%1%Tweener
47Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#76, 202360.00+22%41%9%2%Tweener
48Harrison BrunickeD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#44, 202460.33−24%53%8%2%Third-pair
49Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#100, 202271.71−15%45%7%1%Tweener
50Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#95, 2023260.62+7%45%6%2%Tweener?
51Owen BeckC, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#33, 202240.25−27%52%4%2%Fourth-liner
52Elias SalomonssonD, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#55, 202210.00−28%50%10%<1%Third-pair?
53Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#66, 202260.83+43%37%10%3%Tweener
54Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#157, 2022480.79+8%43%3%1%Tweener
55Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#61, 202350.40+17%45%9%1%Tweener
56Amadeus LombardiC, 23. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHLNJD#113, 2022470.89−10%51%2%<1%Fourth-liner
57Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#115, 202140.25+10%48%3%2%Tweener
58Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#92, 2022450.76−2%43%3%2%Tweener
59Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterTexas StarsAHLDAL#179, 202260.83+16%40%2%<1%Tweener
60Leon MuggliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#52, 202440.25054%6%<1%Third-pair?
61Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#133, 202251.60+15%39%2%2%Tweener
62Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHLTBL#37, 202350.20+23%47%4%<1%Tweener
63Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#25, 202160.50−14%43%4%<1%Tweener
64Alexander SuzdalevL, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#70, 202240.00−1%38%6%4%AHLer
65Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#221, 202260.67+36%43%3%<1%Tweener
66Julius MiettinenC, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#40, 202470.71−15%34%11%2%AHLer
67Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, EdgySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#56, 202450.00+22%44%5%2%Tweener
68Mikhail IlyinR, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#142, 202361.17−20%33%10%3%AHLer
69Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frameHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#48, 202250.80+16%43%4%1%Tweener
70Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#177, 202220.50+4%36%4%1%Tweener
71Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#37, 202460.50−26%41%3%<1%Tweener
72Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#26, 202260.67−24%32%3%<1%Tweener
73Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, HonestProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#132, 2022650.55−2%36%2%<1%Tweener
74Matyas MelovskyC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#171, 202440.75+23%37%3%<1%AHLer
75Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#42, 202340.00+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
76Nathan VilleneuveC, 20. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#63, 202450.00−19%26%8%2%AHLer
77Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#57, 202370.29−19%44%2%<1%Tweener
78Riley HeidtC, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#64, 202370.43+29%30%4%<1%AHLer
79Herman TraffR, 20. Young for the league, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#91, 202450.20+9%30%5%1%AHLer
80Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#37, 202260.33−3%37%1%<1%Tweener
81Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHLNJD#48, 2023420.17042%2%<1%Tweener
82Carey TerranceC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#59, 202320.00+28%38%2%<1%AHLer
83Aiden FinkR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#218, 202330.33+16%34%5%<1%AHLer
84Kevin HeL, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#109, 202460.83−24%28%7%1%AHLer
85Florian XhekajL, 22. Steady, HonestLaval RocketAHLMTL#101, 2023640.45034%2%<1%AHLer
86Dans LocmelisC, 22. Carrying a team, EdgyProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#119, 202270.43+28%28%2%2%AHLer
87Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM#56, 202340.00040%1%<1%Tweener
88Samuel SavoieL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#81, 202250.00+36%29%4%<1%AHLer
89Ethan ProcyszynC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#68, 202470.14+9%28%4%2%AHLer
90Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#132, 202360.83−4%28%3%<1%AHLer
91Jaroslav ChmelarR, 23. Carrying a team, Volume shooterHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#144, 202120.50+32%29%1%<1%AHLer
92Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHLCOL#61, 202160.33+8%29%4%<1%AHLer
93Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#129, 202140.75+23%31%3%<1%AHLer
94Cam SquiresR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#122, 202330.00+23%28%2%<1%AHLer
95Shane LachanceL, 23. Carrying a team, Big frameUtica CometsAHLNJD#186, 202140.25+25%32%2%<1%AHLer
96Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHLCAR#44, 202160.17+44%34%2%<1%AHLer
97Cole KnubleR, 22. Steady, HonestLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#103, 202360.67−10%24%3%<1%AHLer
98Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#48, 202460.00+22%39%2%<1%AHLer
99Oiva KeskinenC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#194, 202360.67−13%20%11%<1%Long shot
100Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#54, 202170.43+24%35%1%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.