GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Chase ReidD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAASEA#7, 202631.67−7%92%77%48%Top-pair
2Tomas GalvasD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBílí Tygři LiberecCZECHIAPIT#54, 202670.43+12%75%42%23%Second-pair
3David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, HeavyLaval RocketAHLMTL#5, 202340.50−27%70%27%5%Third-pair
4Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#23, 202470.86+18%72%15%3%Third-pair
5Logan HenslerD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#23, 202540.75+10%75%7%4%Third-pair?
6Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#22, 202321.00−13%61%10%3%Third-pair
7Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#21, 202260.17−23%68%5%2%Third-pair
8Tanner MolendykD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#24, 202340.50+10%55%10%2%Third-pair
9Anton SilaevD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueUtica CometsAHLNJD#10, 202440.00+23%70%5%2%Third-pair
10Seamus CaseyD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#46, 2022290.66+14%60%4%4%Third-pair?
11Nikita ShcherbakovD, 18. Young for the league, SteadySalavat Yulaev UfaKHLNJD#44, 2026170.35−5%51%10%7%Third-pair
12EJ EmeryD, 20. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of North DakotaNCAANYR#30, 202440.50+10%57%2%<1%Third-pair
13Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#123, 2023670.64−5%49%7%1%Tweener
14Harrison BrunickeD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#44, 202460.33−24%53%8%2%Third-pair
15Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#100, 202271.71−15%45%7%1%Tweener
16Elias SalomonssonD, 22. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#55, 202210.00−28%50%10%<1%Third-pair?
17Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#61, 202350.40+17%45%9%1%Tweener
18Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#115, 202140.25+10%48%3%2%Tweener
19Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#92, 2022450.76−2%43%3%2%Tweener
20Leon MuggliD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#52, 202440.25054%6%<1%Third-pair?
21Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#25, 202160.50−14%43%4%<1%Tweener
22Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, EdgySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#56, 202450.00+22%44%5%2%Tweener
23Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#37, 202460.50−26%41%3%<1%Tweener
24Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, HonestProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#132, 2022650.55−2%36%2%<1%Tweener
25Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#42, 202340.00+10%43%2%<1%Tweener
26Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#57, 202370.29−19%44%2%<1%Tweener
27Lasse BoeliusD, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerÄssätLIIGAANA#60, 2025400.20+14%41%2%<1%Tweener
28Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#37, 202260.33−3%37%1%<1%Tweener
29Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHLNJD#48, 2023420.17042%2%<1%Tweener
30Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, HonestBakersfield CondorsAHLEDM#56, 202340.00040%1%<1%Tweener
31Blake FiddlerD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#36, 202540.00−1%35%<1%<1%Tweener
32Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#132, 202360.83−4%28%3%<1%AHLer
33Ben MacBeathD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAANYR#64, 202640.25−1%24%5%2%AHLer
34Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, HonestColorado EaglesAHLCOL#61, 202160.33+8%29%4%<1%AHLer
35Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#129, 202140.75+23%31%3%<1%AHLer
36Artem GoncharD, 19. Steady, HonestSudbury WolvesOHLNYR#89, 202580.63−19%30%4%2%AHLer
37Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyChicago WolvesAHLCAR#44, 202160.17+44%34%2%<1%AHLer
38Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#48, 202460.00+22%39%2%<1%AHLer
39Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#54, 202170.43+24%35%1%<1%AHLer
40Mattias HavelidD, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#45, 202250.00−5%34%<1%<1%AHLer
41Luke SchairerD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASTL#75, 202620.00−7%31%2%<1%AHLer
42Cam AllenD, 21. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#136, 202351.00+2%28%2%<1%AHLer?
43Finn HardingD, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#223, 202450.20−24%26%3%<1%AHLer
44Caden PriceD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked rosterCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#84, 202340.50−19%28%2%<1%AHLer
45Ludvig JanssonD, 22. Volume shooter, SteadyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#125, 202210.00+23%27%1%<1%AHLer?
46Marc-Andre GaudetD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#152, 202240.50+22%23%1%<1%AHLer
47Jorian DonovanD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#136, 202250.00024%1%<1%AHLer
48Mikhail GulyayevD, 21. Rising, PlaymakerAvangard OmskKHLCOL#31, 2023150.53+3%23%2%2%AHLer
49Chase CheslockD, 21. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#154, 202321.00+5%24%1%<1%AHLer
50Bryce PickfordD, 20. Sniper, Stacked rosterMedicine Hat TigersWHLMTL#81, 2025551.51−21%28%5%<1%AHLer
51Jayden KurtzD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyChicago SteelUSHLANA#45, 202650.00+11%20%2%<1%AHLer?
52Kaden HammellD, 21. Stacked roster, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#148, 202360.00−19%26%<1%<1%AHLer
53Aron KiviharjuD, 20. Undersized, SteadyHIFKLIIGAMIN#122, 202470.57+4%21%3%<1%AHLer
54Emil PieniniemiD, 21. Steady, HonestWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLFLA#91, 202390.33−4%24%2%<1%AHLer?
55Chase PietilaD, 22. Edgy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#111, 202450.40−24%19%1%<1%AHLer
56Jake FurlongD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#140, 202250.00+36%22%<1%<1%AHLer
57Daniil OrlovD, 22. Steady, HonestSpartak MoskvaKHLNJD#110, 2022140.50+8%17%3%1%AHLer
58Hoyt StanleyD, 21. Heavy, SteadyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#108, 202350.40023%1%<1%AHLer
59Michael BuchingerD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#88, 202250.20+27%15%<1%<1%AHLer
60Peyton KettlesD, 19. Edgy, Big frameKelowna RocketsWHLPIT#39, 202590.44−4%19%<1%<1%AHLer?
61Noel FransénD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#69, 202460.17+44%18%3%1%AHLer
62Vladislav LukashevichD, 23. Playmaker, SteadyMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAAFLA#120, 2021330.64+9%24%<1%<1%AHLer?
63Marek AlscherD, 22. Edgy, HeavyCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#93, 202260.17+23%16%<1%<1%AHLer
64Gabriel EliassonD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#39, 202410.00018%<1%<1%AHLer
65Drew FortescueD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#90, 202380.00+28%23%1%<1%AHLer
66Viggo GustafssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#77, 202430.33+10%18%2%<1%AHLer
67Aram MinnetianD, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyTexas StarsAHLDAL#125, 202360.33+17%23%1%<1%Long shot
68Tomas HamaraD, 22. Steady, HonestBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#87, 202240.25017%<1%<1%AHLer
69Jackson DorringtonD, 22. Carrying a team, HeavyHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#176, 202260.00+28%15%<1%<1%AHLer
70Charles Alexis LegaultD, 23. Edgy, Carrying a teamChicago WolvesAHLCAR#139, 202340.00+44%18%<1%<1%AHLer?
71Tarin SmithD, 20. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHLANA#79, 2024651.09−19%17%2%2%AHLer
72Garrett BrownD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAAWPG#99, 2022340.41020%1%<1%Long shot
73Drew SchockD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of MichiganNCAAANA#101, 202561.33−5%18%<1%<1%Long shot
74Vsevolod KomarovD, 22. Edgy, HeavyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#134, 202260.50−4%13%<1%<1%AHLer
75Quinton BurnsD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a teamSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#74, 202360.17+22%14%1%<1%AHLer
76Hawke HuffD, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of St. ThomasNCAASEA#148, 202620.50+5%17%<1%<1%Long shot
77Michael FisherD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCornell Univ.NCAASJS#76, 2022330.24+4%20%<1%<1%Long shot?
78Arseni KoromyslovD, 22. Carrying a team, SteadySpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#120, 202260.17+22%13%2%<1%Long shot
79Quinn BeauchesneD, 19. Edgy, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAAPIT#148, 202520.50−7%15%<1%<1%Long shot
80Matthew MayichD, 21. Steady, HonestClarkson Univ.NCAASTL#170, 2023340.44+15%14%1%<1%Long shot
81Alexis BernierD, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#73, 202440.00−19%13%3%<1%Long shot?
82Jonas KempsD, 18. Big frame, SteadySeattle ThunderbirdsWHLFLA#98, 202670.57+8%8%<1%<1%Long shot
83Nicholas BogasD, 18. Rising, SteadyFlint FirebirdsOHLSTL#139, 202690.67+5%9%1%<1%Long shot
84Ivan PatrikhayevD, 20. Steady, HonestCSKA MoskvaKHLNYR#193, 202680.25−5%11%<1%<1%Long shot
85Nikita YevseyevD, 22. Steady, HonestAk Bars KazanKHLEDM#190, 2022160.19+8%9%2%<1%Long shot
86Charlie MorrisonD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of ConnecticutNCAANYR#77, 202640.50−5%10%<1%<1%Long shot
87Anthony Allain SamakeD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of ConnecticutNCAAANA#168, 202540.00−5%7%<1%<1%Long shot
88Will ReynoldsD, 19. Rising, SteadyNewfoundland RegimentQMJHLSEA#68, 2025110.64−2%7%2%<1%Long shot
89Matthew AndonovskiD, 21. Edgy, HeavyBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#140, 202350.00013%<1%<1%Long shot
90Charlie LeddyD, 22. Steady, HonestQuinnipiac Univ.NCAANJD#126, 2022290.24+9%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
91Harris PangretitschD, 18. Playmaker, HeavySoo GreyhoundsOHLOTT#151, 2026670.21−7%8%<1%<1%Long shot
92Landon NyczD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of MassachusettsNCAASTL#107, 202660.17−1%8%<1%<1%Long shot
93Eric FrossardD, 18. Heavy, Stacked rosterGuelph StormOHLANA#146, 2026110.18−21%10%<1%<1%Long shot
94Maxim AgafonovD, 19. Steady, HonestChaika Nizhny NovgorodMHLSEA#134, 202560.00+11%10%<1%<1%Long shot
95Warren ClarkD, 22. Steady, HonestNorthern Michigan Univ.NCAATBL#179, 2023330.18+15%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
96Filip NordbergD, 22. Edgy, HeavyArizona State Univ.NCAAOTT#64, 202260.33−1%6%<1%<1%Long shot
97Rylan SinghD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyGuelph StormOHLSEA#198, 2026520.44+9%9%<1%<1%Long shot
98Theo WallbergD, 22. Heavy, SteadyWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAOTT#168, 202240.75−3%12%<1%<1%Long shot
99William McisaacD, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAASTL#145, 202440.25−5%8%<1%<1%Long shot
100Karl AnnbornD, 19. Steady, HonestHV71SHLSEA#205, 202540.25+13%7%1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.