GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Viggo BjörckC, 18. Young for the league, UndersizedDjurgårdens IFSHLWPG#8, 2026420.36+8%92%66%64%Elite
2Egor SurinC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLokomotiv YaroslavlKHLNSH#22, 2024150.67+8%89%59%56%Elite
3Tynan LawrenceC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAASTL#11, 202641.25−8%91%58%33%First-liner
4Alexander ZharovskyR, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerSalavat Yulaev UfaKHLMTL#34, 2025170.59−5%84%56%44%First-liner
5Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#10, 202540.75+18%88%47%35%Middle-sixer
6Bradly NadeauL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#30, 202340.25+44%89%54%17%First-liner
7Michael HageC, 20. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAAMTL#21, 202462.33−1%90%34%28%Middle-sixer
8Maddox DagenaisC, 18. Volume shooter, Big frameQuébec RempartsQMJHLSTL#16, 202681.00−17%85%52%29%First-liner
9Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#14, 202261.50−15%86%44%19%Middle-sixer
10Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#16, 202271.43+2%76%47%17%Middle-sixer?
11Milton GastrinC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBrynäs IFSHLSTL#37, 202570.00+4%69%26%26%Fourth-liner
12Alexander CommandC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyÖrebro HKSHLNJD#12, 202650.00+4%79%25%15%Fourth-liner?
13Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#67, 202330.67+36%64%37%12%Fourth-liner
14Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#43, 202340.25+10%77%27%17%Fourth-liner
15Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#19, 202560.67+32%83%32%13%Fourth-liner
16Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#26, 2023610.74−2%72%25%8%Middle-sixer
17Roman KantserovR, 21. Undersized, SniperMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLCHI#44, 2023631.02+1%66%34%13%Fourth-liner
18Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#62, 202340.25+44%63%36%7%Fourth-liner
19Vaclav NestrasilR, 19. Young for the league, Big frameUniv. of MassachusettsNCAACHI#25, 202560.50+5%62%24%15%Middle-sixer
20Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frameHershey BearsAHLWSH#27, 202560.67068%34%6%Middle-sixer?
21Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#24, 202441.50+32%70%22%10%Middle-sixer
22Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#17, 202420.00−3%77%22%11%Fourth-liner
23Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#40, 202361.33+2%73%21%5%Fourth-liner
24Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN#21, 202370.29+24%70%12%8%Middle-sixer
25Jonas Lagerberg HoenR, 18. Steady, HonestLeksands IFALLSVENSKANOTT#25, 202641.00+3%57%16%15%Fourth-liner?
26Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#44, 2022551.05+5%81%13%5%Fourth-liner
27Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#14, 202361.50−19%68%13%6%Fourth-liner
28Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#27, 202261.00+8%63%15%4%Middle-sixer
29Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#35, 202271.14−14%65%22%5%Fourth-liner
30Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#17, 202241.00+16%67%14%6%Fourth-liner
31Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#58, 202341.25+25%75%13%5%Fourth-liner
32Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
33Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#29, 202460.17+17%60%22%4%Fourth-liner
34Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, SniperCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#49, 202271.43074%13%6%Fourth-liner
35Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#22, 202560.83−19%57%19%9%Fourth-liner
36Casey MutrynR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASEA#38, 202630.00−5%60%22%13%Fourth-liner
37Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#47, 202260.83+40%57%14%6%Fourth-liner
38Mason WestC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueMichigan State Univ.NCAACHI#29, 202530.00−7%54%12%2%Fourth-liner
39Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
40Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#20, 202370.57−14%66%11%4%Fourth-liner
41Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#26, 202480.63+38%51%16%4%Fourth-liner
42Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#46, 202460.33−23%57%15%4%Fourth-liner
43Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#18, 202360.83−24%62%10%3%Fourth-liner
44Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#52, 202360.50054%11%4%Fourth-liner
45Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, SniperMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#32, 2022330.85+1%50%8%8%Fourth-liner?
46Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#35, 202460.50+9%51%12%11%Fourth-liner
47Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#27, 202460.00+36%48%14%3%Tweener
48Charlie CerratoC, 21. Playmaker, SteadyPenn State Univ.NCAACAR#49, 2025231.17+4%56%9%4%Fourth-liner?
49Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#22, 202250.60+12%52%10%3%Fourth-liner
50Ryder CaliC, 18. Young for the league, HeavyProvidence CollegeNCAAFLA#48, 202630.67−1%52%11%2%Fourth-liner
51Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyBoston CollegeNCAANJD#37, 202631.00−5%47%17%6%Tweener
52Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
53Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#36, 202371.14+19%58%8%2%Fourth-liner
54William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#45, 202171.14−12%55%6%3%Fourth-liner
55Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#30, 2022340.38+27%43%5%2%Tweener
56Pierce MbuyiL, 18. Carrying a team, EdgyOwen Sound AttackOHLPIT#86, 2026111.18+39%38%18%3%Tweener
57Cam LundC, 22. Steady, HonestSan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#34, 2022370.68−5%48%6%3%Tweener
58Dmitri BuchelnikovL, 23. Steady, HonestCSKA MoskvaKHLSTL#52, 2022160.44−3%34%13%12%Tweener
59Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#63, 202360.33+23%41%7%4%Tweener
60Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#76, 202360.00+22%41%9%2%Tweener
61Jayson ShaugabayR, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAATBL#115, 202361.50+5%44%6%2%Tweener
62Owen BeckC, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#33, 202240.25−27%52%4%2%Fourth-liner
63Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#95, 2023260.62+7%45%6%2%Tweener?
64Jaxon CoverR, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyLondon KnightsOHLOTT#32, 202661.17−12%43%8%3%Tweener
65Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#66, 202260.83+43%37%10%3%Tweener
66Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, HonestCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#157, 2022480.79+8%43%3%1%Tweener
67Lavr GashilovC, 18. Young for the league, PlaymakerAvto YekaterinburgMHLNJD#119, 2026121.33+2%32%12%8%AHLer
68Amadeus LombardiC, 23. Steady, HonestGrand Rapids GriffinsAHLNJD#113, 2022470.89−10%51%2%<1%Fourth-liner
69Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterTexas StarsAHLDAL#179, 202260.83+16%40%2%<1%Tweener
70Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#133, 202251.60+15%39%2%2%Tweener
71Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadySyracuse CrunchAHLTBL#37, 202350.20+23%47%4%<1%Tweener
72Teddy StigaC, 20. Steady, HonestBoston CollegeNCAANSH#55, 202430.33−5%42%4%2%Tweener
73Malcolm SpenceL, 19. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAANYR#43, 202561.17−3%40%5%3%Tweener
74Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooterCharlotte CheckersAHLFLA#221, 202260.67+36%43%3%<1%Tweener
75Adam NemecL, 18. Playmaker, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHLOTT#72, 2026180.89−10%28%12%4%AHLer
76Alexander SuzdalevL, 22. Steady, HonestHershey BearsAHLWSH#70, 202240.00−1%38%6%4%AHLer
77John MustardC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#67, 202430.67−3%37%7%1%Tweener
78Julius MiettinenC, 20. Young for the league, HeavyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#40, 202470.71−15%34%11%2%AHLer
79Mikhail IlyinR, 21. Heavy, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#142, 202361.17−20%33%10%3%AHLer
80Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frameHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#48, 202250.80+16%43%4%1%Tweener
81Logan SawyerC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAAMTL#78, 202431.67−3%32%9%2%AHLer
82Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, SteadyHenderson Silver KnightsAHLVGK#177, 202220.50+4%36%4%1%Tweener
83Matvei KorotkyC, 20. Steady, HonestSKA St. PetersburgKHLSTL#211, 2024150.73+8%37%14%2%AHLer
84John MooneyC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAMTL#113, 202520.00−1%35%6%2%Tweener
85Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, SteadyLaval RocketAHLMTL#26, 202260.67−24%32%3%<1%Tweener
86Adam BenakC, 19. Young for the league, UndersizedWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAMIN#102, 202541.75−3%28%9%2%AHLer
87Matyas MelovskyC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#171, 202440.75+23%37%3%<1%AHLer
88Nathan BehmR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyArizona State Univ.NCAACHI#66, 202560.67−3%25%10%3%AHLer
89Nathan VilleneuveC, 20. Edgy, Young for the leagueCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#63, 202450.00−19%26%8%2%AHLer
90Dmitri IsayevL, 19. Undersized, SteadyAvto YekaterinburgMHLOTT#149, 2025161.13+2%30%7%5%AHLer
91Simas IgnataviciusR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyGenève-Servette HCNLFLA#40, 2026130.08+14%34%2%2%Tweener
92Riley HeidtC, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#64, 202370.43+29%30%4%<1%AHLer
93Herman TraffR, 20. Young for the league, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#91, 202450.20+9%30%5%1%AHLer
94Carey TerranceC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#59, 202320.00+28%38%2%<1%AHLer
95Aiden FinkR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#218, 202330.33+16%34%5%<1%AHLer
96Louis Felix BourqueR, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHLOTT#91, 202670.71+41%25%8%3%AHLer
97Kevin HeL, 20. Young for the league, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#109, 202460.83−24%28%7%1%AHLer
98Florian XhekajL, 22. Steady, HonestLaval RocketAHLMTL#101, 2023640.45034%2%<1%AHLer
99Dans LocmelisC, 22. Carrying a team, EdgyProvidence BruinsAHLBOS#119, 202270.43+28%28%2%2%AHLer
100Samuel SavoieL, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#81, 202250.00+36%29%4%<1%AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.