GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Viggo BjörckC, 18. Young for the league, UndersizedDjurgårdens IFSHLWPG#8, 2026420.36+8%92%66%64%Elite
2Egor SurinC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLokomotiv YaroslavlKHLNSH#22, 2024150.67+8%89%59%56%Elite
3Nikita KlepovRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySaginaw SpiritOHL–671.45+14%87%73%35%First-liner
4Dima ZhilkinLW, 17. Volume shooter, Running hotSaginaw SpiritOHL–112.00−3%79%68%35%First-liner
5Tynan LawrenceC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAASTL#11, 202641.25−8%91%58%33%First-liner
6Alexander ZharovskyR, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerSalavat Yulaev UfaKHLMTL#34, 2025170.59−5%84%56%44%First-liner
7Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#10, 202540.75+18%88%47%35%Middle-sixer
8Bradly NadeauL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#30, 202340.25+44%89%54%17%First-liner
9Michael HageC, 20. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAAMTL#21, 202462.33−1%90%34%28%Middle-sixer
10Maddox DagenaisC, 18. Volume shooter, Big frameQuébec RempartsQMJHLSTL#16, 202681.00−17%85%52%29%First-liner
11Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#14, 202261.50−15%86%44%19%Middle-sixer
12Ryerson EdgarC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueNiagara IceDogsOHL–111.09+16%74%54%24%First-liner
13Alexis JosephC, 17. Carrying a team, Volume shooterSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.91+17%64%52%40%First-liner
14Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#16, 202271.43+2%76%47%17%Middle-sixer?
15Jaxon JacobsonC, 17. Sniper, SteadyBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.82−1%68%42%37%Middle-sixer
16Madden DaneaultC, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKelowna RocketsWHL–81.25+4%67%40%32%Middle-sixer?
17Brock EnglandC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–81.00+20%65%40%28%Middle-sixer
18Milton GastrinC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBrynäs IFSHLSTL#37, 202570.00+4%69%26%26%Fourth-liner
19Alexander CommandC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyÖrebro HKSHLNJD#12, 202650.00+4%79%25%15%Fourth-liner?
20Kash KwajahC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerSudbury WolvesOHL–101.10−15%67%38%13%Middle-sixer?
21Brooks RogowskiC, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyOshawa GeneralsOHL–100.70+34%65%40%10%Middle-sixer
22Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#67, 202330.67+36%64%37%12%Fourth-liner
23Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#43, 202340.25+10%77%27%17%Fourth-liner
24Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#19, 202560.67+32%83%32%13%Fourth-liner
25Roman KantserovR, 21. Undersized, SniperMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLCHI#44, 2023631.02+1%66%34%13%Fourth-liner
26Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#62, 202340.25+44%63%36%7%Fourth-liner
27Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#26, 2023610.74−2%72%25%8%Middle-sixer
28Vaclav NestrasilR, 19. Young for the league, Big frameUniv. of MassachusettsNCAACHI#25, 202560.50+5%62%24%15%Middle-sixer
29Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frameHershey BearsAHLWSH#27, 202560.67068%34%6%Middle-sixer?
30Keaton ArdaghRW, 17. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.80+39%64%33%15%Fourth-liner
31Jaakko WyciskC, 17. Heavy, Stacked rosterGuelph StormOHL–110.64−20%53%39%19%Fourth-liner
32Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#24, 202441.50+32%70%22%10%Middle-sixer
33Jacob McKinnonLW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–120.92+25%55%43%10%Fourth-liner?
34Maddox SchultzC, 16. Young for the league, EdgyRegina PatsWHL–81.25−9%66%27%15%Fourth-liner
35Aiden KellyC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerBrantford BulldogsOHL–121.33−2%58%28%15%Middle-sixer?
36Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#17, 202420.00−3%77%22%11%Fourth-liner
37Alex McLeanC, 18. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.67−12%49%28%26%Tweener
38Egor ShilovC, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–111.36−3%60%32%18%Fourth-liner
39Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#40, 202361.33+2%73%21%5%Fourth-liner
40Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN#21, 202370.29+24%70%12%8%Middle-sixer
41Owen KraftLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–80.75+18%54%31%16%Fourth-liner?
42Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.29−14%66%26%12%Fourth-liner
43Jonas Lagerberg HoenR, 18. Steady, HonestLeksands IFALLSVENSKANOTT#25, 202641.00+3%57%16%15%Fourth-liner?
44Parker McMillanRW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–50.20+44%60%17%17%Middle-sixer?
45Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#44, 2022551.05+5%81%13%5%Fourth-liner
46Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#14, 202361.50−19%68%13%6%Fourth-liner
47Tyler CooperC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–90.11+24%62%25%9%Fourth-liner
48Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#27, 202261.00+8%63%15%4%Middle-sixer
49Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#35, 202271.14−14%65%22%5%Fourth-liner
50Easton WalosC, 17. Rising, Running hotSarnia StingOHL–121.33+2%58%20%18%Fourth-liner
51Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#17, 202241.00+16%67%14%6%Fourth-liner
52Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#58, 202341.25+25%75%13%5%Fourth-liner
53Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
54Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#29, 202460.17+17%60%22%4%Fourth-liner
55Ryan RoobroeckLW, 18. Volume shooter, HeavyGuelph StormOHL–91.56−12%59%22%6%Fourth-liner
56Adam NovotnýLW, 18. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamPeterborough PetesOHL–101.60+18%63%20%8%Fourth-liner
57Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, SniperCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#49, 202271.43074%13%6%Fourth-liner
58Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#22, 202560.83−19%57%19%9%Fourth-liner
59Casey MutrynR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASEA#38, 202630.00−5%60%22%13%Fourth-liner
60JP HurlbertRW, 18. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–681.43−1%48%26%15%Tweener
61Thomas VandenbergC, 18. Sniper, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–590.85−3%49%25%11%Tweener
62Beckett HamiltonRW, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–92.22−3%52%24%12%Fourth-liner
63Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#47, 202260.83+40%57%14%6%Fourth-liner
64Mason WestC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueMichigan State Univ.NCAACHI#29, 202530.00−7%54%12%2%Fourth-liner
65Nolan SnyderRW, 17. Rising, Running hotKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.08−9%51%21%6%Fourth-liner
66Kane CloutierLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.33+39%51%19%9%Fourth-liner?
67Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
68Alexey VlasovRW, 18. Volume shooter, SniperVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–81.50057%18%8%Fourth-liner
69Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#20, 202370.57−14%66%11%4%Fourth-liner
70Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–70.57−11%67%17%2%Fourth-liner
71Aleks KuleminC, 17. Rising, Big frameKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.00−12%45%25%7%Tweener
72Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#26, 202480.63+38%51%16%4%Fourth-liner
73Pierre-Alexandre LemieuxC, 15. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%51%25%9%Fourth-liner?
74Jayden PominvilleC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.75+16%41%22%16%Tweener
75Liam PueRW, 16. Rising, Young for the leagueRegina PatsWHL–91.44−2%51%21%8%Fourth-liner
76Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#18, 202360.83−24%62%10%3%Fourth-liner
77Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#46, 202460.33−23%57%15%4%Fourth-liner
78Cam WarrenC, 17. Steady, HonestNorth Bay BattalionOHL–100.70+18%52%16%10%Fourth-liner
79Oleg KulebiakinRW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.88+3%42%19%15%Tweener
80Jean-Cristoph LemieuxRW, 18. Rising, Volume shooterSudbury WolvesOHL–81.75−5%55%18%4%Fourth-liner
81Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#52, 202360.50054%11%4%Fourth-liner
82Collin KimLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKamloops BlazersWHL–70.57+13%48%19%8%Tweener?
83Olivier CharronC, 16. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%43%22%14%Tweener
84Ulysses LombardiC, 18. Carrying a team, SteadyErie OttersOHL–80.38+26%46%20%7%Tweener
85Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, SniperMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#32, 2022330.85+1%50%8%8%Fourth-liner?
86Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, SteadySan Diego GullsAHLANA#35, 202460.50+9%51%12%11%Fourth-liner
87Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#27, 202460.00+36%48%14%3%Tweener
88Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, HeavySan Diego GullsAHLANA#22, 202250.60+12%52%10%3%Fourth-liner
89Charlie CerratoC, 21. Playmaker, SteadyPenn State Univ.NCAACAR#49, 2025231.17+4%56%9%4%Fourth-liner?
90Ryan BrownLW, 18. Playmaker, SteadyLondon KnightsOHL–51.60−15%46%13%7%Tweener
91Ryder CaliC, 18. Young for the league, HeavyProvidence CollegeNCAAFLA#48, 202630.67−1%52%11%2%Fourth-liner
92Chase SurkanLW, 17. Playmaker, RisingBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–111.18048%14%5%Tweener
93Crew MartinsonC, 17. Steady, HonestTri-City AmericansWHL–100.50+16%38%18%10%AHLer
94Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyBoston CollegeNCAANJD#37, 202631.00−5%47%17%6%Tweener
95Caleb MalhotraC, 18. Stacked roster, SteadyBrantford BulldogsOHL–671.25−20%44%15%8%Tweener
96Brenner LammensC, 17. Rising, Young for the leagueSarnia StingOHL–120.67−7%43%16%8%Tweener
97Markus RuckC, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#39, 202671.29−2%40%16%7%Tweener
98Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterBelleville SenatorsAHLOTT#36, 202371.14+19%58%8%2%Fourth-liner
99Ben HarveyRW, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leaguePrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+22%42%13%6%Tweener
100William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHLCGY#45, 202171.14−12%55%6%3%Fourth-liner

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.