Prospect board
The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.
- First-liner2
- Top-pair1
- Middle-sixer4
- Second-pair1
- Fourth-liner11
- Third-pair3
- Tweener26
- AHLer182
- Long shot770
| # | Player | Team | Rights | GP | P/GP | Context | NHL odds | Top odds | Elite odds | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, Heavy | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#5, 2023 | 4 | 0.50 | −27% | 70% | 27% | 5% | Third-pair |
| 2 | Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | San Diego GullsAHL | ANA#23, 2024 | 7 | 0.86 | +18% | 72% | 15% | 3% | Third-pair |
| 3 | Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, Steady | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | PHI#22, 2023 | 2 | 1.00 | −13% | 61% | 10% | 3% | Third-pair |
| 4 | Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, Heavy | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | PIT#21, 2022 | 6 | 0.17 | −23% | 68% | 5% | 2% | Third-pair |
| 5 | Tanner MolendykD, 21. Carrying a team, Steady | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#24, 2023 | 4 | 0.50 | +10% | 55% | 10% | 2% | Third-pair |
| 6 | Anton SilaevD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Utica CometsAHL | NJD#10, 2024 | 4 | 0.00 | +23% | 70% | 5% | 2% | Third-pair |
| 7 | Seamus CaseyD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Utica CometsAHL | NJD#46, 2022 | 29 | 0.66 | +14% | 60% | 4% | 4% | Third-pair? |
| 8 | Luca CagnoniD, 21. Playmaker, Undersized | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#123, 2023 | 67 | 0.64 | −5% | 49% | 7% | 1% | Tweener |
| 9 | Harrison BrunickeD, 20. Young for the league, Stacked roster | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | PIT#44, 2024 | 6 | 0.33 | −24% | 53% | 8% | 2% | Third-pair |
| 10 | Tyson JugnauthD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#100, 2022 | 7 | 1.71 | −15% | 45% | 7% | 1% | Tweener |
| 11 | Elias SalomonssonD, 22. Steady, Honest | Manitoba MooseAHL | WPG#55, 2022 | 1 | 0.00 | −28% | 50% | 10% | <1% | Third-pair? |
| 12 | Tristan BertucciD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#61, 2023 | 5 | 0.40 | +17% | 45% | 9% | 1% | Tweener |
| 13 | Ryan UfkoD, 23. Carrying a team, Steady | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#115, 2021 | 4 | 0.25 | +10% | 48% | 3% | 2% | Tweener |
| 14 | Adam EngstromD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Laval RocketAHL | MTL#92, 2022 | 45 | 0.76 | −2% | 43% | 3% | 2% | Tweener |
| 15 | Leon MuggliD, 20. Young for the league, Steady | Hershey BearsAHL | WSH#52, 2024 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 54% | 6% | <1% | Third-pair? |
| 16 | Corson CeulemansD, 23. Steady, Honest | Cleveland MonstersAHL | CBJ#25, 2021 | 6 | 0.50 | −14% | 43% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 17 | Lukas FischerD, 20. Carrying a team, Edgy | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#56, 2024 | 5 | 0.00 | +22% | 44% | 5% | 2% | Tweener |
| 18 | Ty NelsonD, 22. Heavy, Playmaker | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | – | 63 | 0.56 | −3% | 37% | 4% | <1% | Tweener |
| 19 | Alfons FreijD, 20. Young for the league, Steady | Manitoba MooseAHL | WPG#37, 2024 | 6 | 0.50 | −26% | 41% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 20 | Frederic BrunetD, 23. Steady, Honest | Providence BruinsAHL | BOS#132, 2022 | 65 | 0.55 | −2% | 36% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 21 | Andrew GibsonD, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#42, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | +10% | 43% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 22 | Kevin KorchinskiD, 22. Playmaker, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | – | 53 | 0.49 | +6% | 33% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 23 | Lukas DragicevicD, 21. Edgy, Young for the league | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#57, 2023 | 7 | 0.29 | −19% | 44% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 24 | Christian KyrouD, 23. Steady, Honest | Belleville SenatorsAHL | – | 6 | 0.67 | 0 | 35% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 25 | Ryan ChesleyD, 22. Steady, Honest | Hershey BearsAHL | WSH#37, 2022 | 6 | 0.33 | −3% | 37% | 1% | <1% | Tweener |
| 26 | Etienne MorinD, 21. Steady, Honest | Calgary WranglersAHL | NJD#48, 2023 | 42 | 0.17 | 0 | 42% | 2% | <1% | Tweener |
| 27 | Beau AkeyD, 21. Steady, Honest | Bakersfield CondorsAHL | EDM#56, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 40% | 1% | <1% | Tweener |
| 28 | Sawyer MynioD, 21. Young for the league, Steady | Abbotsford CanucksAHL | – | 5 | 0.60 | −12% | 29% | 5% | <1% | Tweener |
| 29 | Kirill KudryavtsevD, 22. Steady, Honest | Abbotsford CanucksAHL | – | 3 | 1.00 | −12% | 29% | 3% | <1% | Tweener |
| 30 | Eric PohlkampD, 22. Steady, Honest | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#132, 2023 | 6 | 0.83 | −4% | 28% | 3% | <1% | AHLer |
| 31 | Sean BehrensD, 23. Steady, Honest | Colorado EaglesAHL | COL#61, 2021 | 6 | 0.33 | +8% | 29% | 4% | <1% | AHLer |
| 32 | Topias VilenD, 23. Carrying a team, Steady | Utica CometsAHL | NJD#129, 2021 | 4 | 0.75 | +23% | 31% | 3% | <1% | AHLer |
| 33 | Aleksi HeimosalmiD, 23. Carrying a team, Steady | Chicago WolvesAHL | CAR#44, 2021 | 6 | 0.17 | +44% | 34% | 2% | <1% | AHLer |
| 34 | Colin RalphD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#48, 2024 | 6 | 0.00 | +22% | 39% | 2% | <1% | AHLer |
| 35 | Jack PeartD, 23. Carrying a team, Steady | Iowa WildAHL | MIN#54, 2021 | 7 | 0.43 | +24% | 35% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 36 | Luca MarrelliD, 20. Young for the league, Steady | Cleveland MonstersAHL | – | 6 | 0.50 | −14% | 28% | 3% | <1% | AHLer |
| 37 | Mattias HavelidD, 22. Steady, Honest | San Jose BarracudaAHL | SJS#45, 2022 | 5 | 0.00 | −5% | 34% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 38 | Cam AllenD, 21. Steady, Honest | Hershey BearsAHL | WSH#136, 2023 | 5 | 1.00 | +2% | 28% | 2% | <1% | AHLer? |
| 39 | Finn HardingD, 21. Heavy, Stacked roster | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | PIT#223, 2024 | 5 | 0.20 | −24% | 26% | 3% | <1% | AHLer |
| 40 | Caden PriceD, 21. Young for the league, Stacked roster | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#84, 2023 | 4 | 0.50 | −19% | 28% | 2% | <1% | AHLer |
| 41 | Noah ChadwickD, 21. Young for the league, Heavy | Toronto MarliesAHL | – | 5 | 0.40 | −19% | 26% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 42 | Ludvig JanssonD, 22. Volume shooter, Steady | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#125, 2022 | 1 | 0.00 | +23% | 27% | 1% | <1% | AHLer? |
| 43 | Marc-Andre GaudetD, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#152, 2022 | 4 | 0.50 | +22% | 23% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 44 | Jorian DonovanD, 22. Steady, Honest | Belleville SenatorsAHL | OTT#136, 2022 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 24% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 45 | Artem DudaD, 22. Steady, Honest | Tucson RoadrunnersAHL | – | 6 | 0.50 | +2% | 23% | 4% | <1% | AHLer |
| 46 | Kashawn AitchesonD, 19. Young for the league, Steady | Hamilton HammersAHL | – | 6 | 0.17 | −2% | 21% | 7% | <1% | AHLer |
| 47 | Kaden HammellD, 21. Stacked roster, Steady | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#148, 2023 | 6 | 0.00 | −19% | 26% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 48 | Maveric LamoureuxD, 22. Heavy, Playmaker | Tucson RoadrunnersAHL | – | 65 | 0.31 | 0 | 21% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 49 | Nikita NovikovD, 23. Heavy, Playmaker | Ontario ReignAHL | – | 64 | 0.31 | −1% | 21% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 50 | Emil PieniniemiD, 21. Steady, Honest | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | FLA#91, 2023 | 9 | 0.33 | −4% | 24% | 2% | <1% | AHLer? |
| 51 | Chase PietilaD, 22. Edgy, Stacked roster | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | PIT#111, 2024 | 5 | 0.40 | −24% | 19% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 52 | Jake FurlongD, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | CHI#140, 2022 | 5 | 0.00 | +36% | 22% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 53 | Dmitry KuzminD, 23. Steady, Honest | Rockford IceHogsAHL | – | 46 | 0.33 | +7% | 23% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 54 | Angus BoothD, 22. Steady, Honest | Ontario ReignAHL | – | 5 | 0.40 | 0 | 19% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 55 | Tomas KralovicD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Syracuse CrunchAHL | – | 5 | 0.20 | +23% | 24% | 2% | <1% | AHLer? |
| 56 | Ethan SamsonD, 23. Edgy, Stacked roster | Laval RocketAHL | – | 5 | 0.00 | −27% | 18% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 57 | Hoyt StanleyD, 21. Heavy, Steady | Belleville SenatorsAHL | OTT#108, 2023 | 5 | 0.40 | 0 | 23% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 58 | Michael BuchingerD, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#88, 2022 | 5 | 0.20 | +27% | 15% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 59 | Noel FransénD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Chicago WolvesAHL | CAR#69, 2024 | 6 | 0.17 | +44% | 18% | 3% | 1% | AHLer |
| 60 | Dominik BadinkaD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Chicago WolvesAHL | – | 4 | 0.25 | +44% | 17% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 61 | Gabriel EliassonD, 20. Young for the league, Heavy | Belleville SenatorsAHL | OTT#39, 2024 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 18% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 62 | Drew FortescueD, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Hartford Wolf PackAHL | NYR#90, 2023 | 8 | 0.00 | +28% | 23% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 63 | Marek AlscherD, 22. Edgy, Heavy | Charlotte CheckersAHL | FLA#93, 2022 | 6 | 0.17 | +23% | 16% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 64 | Viggo GustafssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | NSH#77, 2024 | 3 | 0.33 | +10% | 18% | 2% | <1% | AHLer |
| 65 | Aram MinnetianD, 21. Carrying a team, Steady | Texas StarsAHL | DAL#125, 2023 | 6 | 0.33 | +17% | 23% | 1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 66 | Tomas HamaraD, 22. Steady, Honest | Belleville SenatorsAHL | OTT#87, 2022 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 17% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 67 | Gregor BiberD, 20. Young for the league, Steady | Tucson RoadrunnersAHL | – | 6 | 0.33 | 0 | 24% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 68 | Jackson DorringtonD, 22. Carrying a team, Heavy | Hartford Wolf PackAHL | NYR#176, 2022 | 6 | 0.00 | +28% | 15% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 69 | Henry BrzustewiczD, 19. Young for the league, Heavy | Ontario ReignAHL | – | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 17% | 3% | <1% | AHLer |
| 70 | Charles Alexis LegaultD, 23. Edgy, Carrying a team | Chicago WolvesAHL | CAR#139, 2023 | 4 | 0.00 | +44% | 18% | <1% | <1% | AHLer? |
| 71 | Quinton BurnsD, 21. Edgy, Carrying a team | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#74, 2023 | 6 | 0.17 | +22% | 14% | 1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 72 | Vsevolod KomarovD, 22. Edgy, Heavy | Rochester AmericansAHL | BUF#134, 2022 | 6 | 0.50 | −4% | 13% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 73 | Jake LivanavageD, 22. Stacked roster, Steady | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL | PIT | 5 | 1.00 | −23% | 20% | 1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 74 | Blake SmithD, 21. Heavy, Stacked roster | Toronto MarliesAHL | – | 2 | 0.00 | −21% | 13% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 75 | Leo Sahlin WalleniusD, 20. Young for the league, Steady | San Jose BarracudaAHL | – | 6 | 0.33 | −5% | 21% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 76 | Viliam KmecD, 22. Heavy, Steady | Henderson Silver KnightsAHL | – | 5 | 0.60 | +6% | 11% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 77 | Shai BuiumD, 23. Heavy, Steady | Grand Rapids GriffinsAHL | – | 7 | 0.57 | −9% | 14% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 78 | Stevie LeskovarD, 22. Edgy, Carrying a team | Iowa WildAHL | – | 2 | 0.00 | +24% | 18% | 1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 79 | Brayden HislopD, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Rockford IceHogsAHL | – | 1 | 0.00 | +36% | 15% | <1% | <1% | AHLer? |
| 80 | Chas SharpeD, 22. Steady, Honest | Toronto MarliesAHL | – | 33 | 0.27 | 0 | 13% | <1% | <1% | AHLer? |
| 81 | Gavin McCarthyD, 21. Young for the league, Edgy | Rochester AmericansAHL | – | 5 | 0.40 | −4% | 16% | 1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 82 | Jakub DvořákD, 21. Young for the league, Heavy | Ontario ReignAHL | – | 45 | 0.16 | −2% | 12% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 83 | Arseni KoromyslovD, 22. Carrying a team, Steady | Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL | STL#120, 2022 | 6 | 0.17 | +22% | 13% | 2% | <1% | Long shot |
| 84 | Vinny BorgesiD, 22. Undersized, Stacked roster | Toronto MarliesAHL | – | 3 | 1.33 | −19% | 14% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 85 | Braden HacheD, 23. Heavy, Stacked roster | Laval RocketAHL | – | 6 | 0.17 | −27% | 10% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 86 | Joe ArntsenD, 23. Edgy, Heavy | Abbotsford CanucksAHL | – | 5 | 0.20 | −12% | 11% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 87 | Alexis BernierD, 20. Young for the league, Heavy | Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL | SEA#73, 2024 | 4 | 0.00 | −19% | 13% | 3% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 88 | Radim MrtkaD, 19. Young for the league, Heavy | Rochester AmericansAHL | – | 6 | 0.00 | −4% | 15% | 2% | <1% | Long shot |
| 89 | Mikael DiotteD, 23. Carrying a team, Heavy | Utica CometsAHL | NJD | 3 | 0.00 | +23% | 8% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
| 90 | Jack MatierD, 23. Big frame, Steady | Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL | – | 24 | 0.25 | −2% | 13% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 91 | Phillip SinnD, 22. Steady, Honest | San Jose BarracudaAHL | – | 6 | 0.33 | −5% | 13% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 92 | Loke JohanssonD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league | Providence BruinsAHL | – | 4 | 0.00 | +28% | 15% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 93 | Otto SalinD, 22. Steady, Honest | Ontario ReignAHL | – | 43 | 0.12 | −2% | 10% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 94 | Jackson EdwardD, 22. Edgy, Steady | Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL | – | 5 | 0.20 | −13% | 10% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 95 | Matthew AndonovskiD, 21. Edgy, Heavy | Belleville SenatorsAHL | OTT#140, 2023 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 13% | <1% | <1% | Long shot |
| 96 | Tomas CibulkaD, 22. Steady, Honest | Bakersfield CondorsAHL | – | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 12% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 97 | Abram WiebeD, 23. Heavy, Steady | Calgary WranglersAHL | – | 7 | 0.43 | −16% | 12% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 98 | Tomas LavoieD, 20. Young for the league, Heavy | Tucson RoadrunnersAHL | – | 6 | 0.17 | +2% | 9% | 2% | <1% | Long shot |
| 99 | Konnor SmithD, 21. Heavy, Steady | San Diego GullsAHL | – | 4 | 0.00 | +9% | 11% | <1% | <1% | Long shot? |
| 100 | Artem GrushnikovD, 23. Steady, Honest | Calgary WranglersAHL | – | 55 | 0.04 | 0 | 3% | <1% | <1% | AHLer |
The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.