Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

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#	Player	Team	Rights	GP	P/GP	Context	NHL odds	Top odds	Elite odds	Projection
1	Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the league	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#10, 2025	4	0.75	+18%	88%	47%	35%	Middle-sixer
2	Bradly NadeauL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Chicago WolvesAHL	CAR#30, 2023	4	0.25	+44%	89%	54%	17%	First-liner
3	Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, Heavy	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#14, 2022	6	1.50	−15%	86%	44%	19%	Middle-sixer
4	Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Rochester AmericansAHL	BUF#16, 2022	7	1.43	+2%	76%	47%	17%	Middle-sixer?
5	Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#67, 2023	3	0.67	+36%	64%	37%	12%	Fourth-liner
6	Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#43, 2023	4	0.25	+10%	77%	27%	17%	Fourth-liner
7	Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	STL#19, 2025	6	0.67	+32%	83%	32%	13%	Fourth-liner
8	Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, Heavy	San Jose BarracudaAHL	SJS#26, 2023	61	0.74	−2%	72%	25%	8%	Middle-sixer
9	Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Chicago WolvesAHL	CAR#62, 2023	4	0.25	+44%	63%	36%	7%	Fourth-liner
10	Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frame	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#27, 2025	6	0.67	0	68%	34%	6%	Middle-sixer?
11	Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#24, 2024	4	1.50	+32%	70%	22%	10%	Middle-sixer
12	Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#17, 2024	2	0.00	−3%	77%	22%	11%	Fourth-liner
13	Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy	Iowa WildAHL	MIN#21, 2023	7	0.29	+24%	70%	12%	8%	Middle-sixer
14	Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, Steady	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#40, 2023	6	1.33	+2%	73%	21%	5%	Fourth-liner
15	Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, Steady	Calgary WranglersAHL	–	7	0.29	−14%	66%	26%	12%	Fourth-liner
16	Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, Honest	Cleveland MonstersAHL	CBJ#44, 2022	55	1.05	+5%	81%	13%	5%	Fourth-liner
17	Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, Steady	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#14, 2023	6	1.50	−19%	68%	13%	6%	Fourth-liner
18	Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, Steady	San Jose BarracudaAHL	SJS#27, 2022	6	1.00	+8%	63%	15%	4%	Middle-sixer
19	Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, Steady	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#35, 2022	7	1.14	−14%	65%	22%	5%	Fourth-liner
20	Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#17, 2022	4	1.00	+16%	67%	14%	6%	Fourth-liner
21	Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#58, 2023	4	1.25	+25%	75%	13%	5%	Fourth-liner
22	Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Texas StarsAHL	DAL#29, 2024	6	0.17	+17%	60%	22%	4%	Fourth-liner
23	Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, Sniper	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#49, 2022	7	1.43	0	74%	13%	6%	Fourth-liner
24	Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked roster	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#22, 2025	6	0.83	−19%	57%	19%	9%	Fourth-liner
25	Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Iowa WildAHL	MIN#47, 2022	6	0.83	+40%	57%	14%	6%	Fourth-liner
26	Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, Honest	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#20, 2023	7	0.57	−14%	66%	11%	4%	Fourth-liner
27	Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, Honest	Calgary WranglersAHL	–	7	0.57	−11%	67%	17%	2%	Fourth-liner
28	Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#26, 2024	8	0.63	+38%	51%	16%	4%	Fourth-liner
29	Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked roster	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#46, 2024	6	0.33	−23%	57%	15%	4%	Fourth-liner
30	Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, Honest	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#18, 2023	6	0.83	−24%	62%	10%	3%	Fourth-liner
31	Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, Honest	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#52, 2023	6	0.50	0	54%	11%	4%	Fourth-liner
32	Reid SchaeferL, 22. Heavy, Sniper	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#32, 2022	33	0.85	+1%	50%	8%	8%	Fourth-liner?
33	Lucas PetterssonC, 20. Young for the league, Steady	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#35, 2024	6	0.50	+9%	51%	12%	11%	Fourth-liner
34	Marek VanackerL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#27, 2024	6	0.00	+36%	48%	14%	3%	Tweener
35	Nathan GaucherC, 22. Edgy, Heavy	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#22, 2022	5	0.60	+12%	52%	10%	3%	Fourth-liner
36	Kasper HalttunenR, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Belleville SenatorsAHL	OTT#36, 2023	7	1.14	+19%	58%	8%	2%	Fourth-liner
37	William StromgrenL, 23. Playmaker, Steady	Calgary WranglersAHL	CGY#45, 2021	7	1.14	−12%	55%	6%	3%	Fourth-liner
38	Brad LambertC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#30, 2022	34	0.38	+27%	43%	5%	2%	Tweener
39	Cam LundC, 22. Steady, Honest	San Jose BarracudaAHL	SJS#34, 2022	37	0.68	−5%	48%	6%	3%	Tweener
40	Gracyn SawchynC, 21. Steady, Honest	Charlotte CheckersAHL	FLA#63, 2023	6	0.33	+23%	41%	7%	4%	Tweener
41	Juraj PekarcikL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	STL#76, 2023	6	0.00	+22%	41%	9%	2%	Tweener
42	Denver BarkeyC, 21. Young for the league, Steady	Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL	PHI#95, 2023	26	0.62	+7%	45%	6%	2%	Tweener?
43	Owen BeckC, 22. Stacked roster, Steady	Laval RocketAHL	MTL#33, 2022	4	0.25	−27%	52%	4%	2%	Fourth-liner
44	Gavin HayesL, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#66, 2022	6	0.83	+43%	37%	10%	3%	Tweener
45	Sandis VilmanisL, 22. Steady, Honest	Charlotte CheckersAHL	FLA#157, 2022	48	0.79	+8%	43%	3%	1%	Tweener
46	Amadeus LombardiC, 23. Steady, Honest	Grand Rapids GriffinsAHL	NJD#113, 2022	47	0.89	−10%	51%	2%	<1%	Fourth-liner
47	Matthew SeminoffR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Texas StarsAHL	DAL#179, 2022	6	0.83	+16%	40%	2%	<1%	Tweener
48	Alex BumpL, 22. Volume shooter, Carrying a team	Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL	PHI#133, 2022	5	1.60	+15%	39%	2%	2%	Tweener
49	Ethan GauthierR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Syracuse CrunchAHL	TBL#37, 2023	5	0.20	+23%	47%	4%	<1%	Tweener
50	Aleksanteri KaskimäkiF, 22. Steady, Honest	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	–	64	0.69	+10%	43%	2%	<1%	Tweener
51	Jack DevineR, 22. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Charlotte CheckersAHL	FLA#221, 2022	6	0.67	+36%	43%	3%	<1%	Tweener
52	Alexander SuzdalevL, 22. Steady, Honest	Hershey BearsAHL	WSH#70, 2022	4	0.00	−1%	38%	6%	4%	AHLer
53	Luca PinelliLW, 21. Edgy, Undersized	Cleveland MonstersAHL	–	6	1.00	−7%	39%	4%	<1%	Tweener
54	Julius MiettinenC, 20. Young for the league, Heavy	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#40, 2024	7	0.71	−15%	34%	11%	2%	AHLer
55	Matyas SapovalivC, 22. Carrying a team, Big frame	Henderson Silver KnightsAHL	VGK#48, 2022	5	0.80	+16%	43%	4%	1%	Tweener
56	Mikhail IlyinR, 21. Heavy, Stacked roster	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT#142, 2023	6	1.17	−20%	33%	10%	3%	AHLer
57	Ben HemmerlingR, 22. Edgy, Steady	Henderson Silver KnightsAHL	VGK#177, 2022	2	0.50	+4%	36%	4%	1%	Tweener
58	Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW, 22. Heavy, Steady	Hershey BearsAHL	–	41	0.83	+7%	36%	2%	<1%	Tweener
59	Anton WahlbergLW, 21. Young for the league, Heavy	San Diego GullsAHL	–	7	1.00	+16%	35%	6%	<1%	Tweener
60	Filip MesarR, 22. Stacked roster, Steady	Laval RocketAHL	MTL#26, 2022	6	0.67	−24%	32%	3%	<1%	Tweener
61	Zach L’HeureuxLW, 23. Sniper, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	–	30	0.93	+2%	34%	5%	1%	Tweener?
62	Matyas MelovskyC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#171, 2024	4	0.75	+23%	37%	3%	<1%	AHLer
63	Joshua RoyLW, 23. Steady, Honest	Tucson RoadrunnersAHL	–	6	0.33	0	37%	3%	1%	Tweener
64	Sasha PastujovF, 23. Volume shooter, Sniper	Laval RocketAHL	–	6	1.33	−18%	35%	3%	<1%	Tweener
65	Tij IginlaF, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Tucson RoadrunnersAHL	–	6	0.33	0	30%	12%	1%	AHLer
66	Nathan VilleneuveC, 20. Edgy, Young for the league	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#63, 2024	5	0.00	−19%	26%	8%	2%	AHLer
67	Riley HeidtC, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Iowa WildAHL	MIN#64, 2023	7	0.43	+29%	30%	4%	<1%	AHLer
68	Adam SýkoraF, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	–	62	0.47	+20%	35%	3%	<1%	AHLer
69	Riley PattersonC, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Abbotsford CanucksAHL	–	6	0.83	−7%	30%	11%	<1%	AHLer
70	Herman TraffR, 20. Young for the league, Heavy	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#91, 2024	5	0.20	+9%	30%	5%	1%	AHLer
71	Carey TerranceC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#59, 2023	2	0.00	+28%	38%	2%	<1%	AHLer
72	Aiden FinkR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#218, 2023	3	0.33	+16%	34%	5%	<1%	AHLer
73	Kevin HeL, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#109, 2024	6	0.83	−24%	28%	7%	1%	AHLer
74	Oscar Fisker MølgaardF, 21. Stacked roster, Steady	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	–	6	0.50	−17%	30%	4%	<1%	AHLer
75	Florian XhekajL, 22. Steady, Honest	Laval RocketAHL	MTL#101, 2023	64	0.45	0	34%	2%	<1%	AHLer
76	Dans LocmelisC, 22. Carrying a team, Edgy	Providence BruinsAHL	BOS#119, 2022	7	0.43	+28%	28%	2%	2%	AHLer
77	Kai UchaczF, 23. Heavy, Steady	Henderson Silver KnightsAHL	–	68	0.75	−12%	39%	2%	<1%	AHLer
78	Yegor BorikovF, 21. Young for the league, Steady	Tucson RoadrunnersAHL	–	6	0.83	+8%	35%	4%	<1%	AHLer?
79	Samuel SavoieL, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#81, 2022	5	0.00	+36%	29%	4%	<1%	AHLer
80	Cole EisermanF, 20. Young for the league, Steady	Hamilton HammersAHL	–	5	0.80	+2%	29%	4%	<1%	AHLer?
81	Ethan ProcyszynC, 20. Young for the league, Steady	San Diego GullsAHL	ANA#68, 2024	7	0.14	+9%	28%	4%	2%	AHLer
82	Ivan RyabkinC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Chicago WolvesAHL	–	6	0.33	+44%	27%	8%	2%	AHLer
83	Jaroslav ChmelarR, 23. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#144, 2021	2	0.50	+32%	29%	1%	<1%	AHLer
84	Cam SquiresR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#122, 2023	3	0.00	+23%	28%	2%	<1%	AHLer
85	Shane LachanceL, 23. Carrying a team, Big frame	Utica CometsAHL	NJD#186, 2021	4	0.25	+25%	32%	2%	<1%	AHLer
86	Cole KnubleR, 22. Steady, Honest	Lehigh Valley PhantomsAHL	PHI#103, 2023	6	0.67	−10%	24%	3%	<1%	AHLer
87	Oiva KeskinenC, 22. Steady, Honest	Cleveland MonstersAHL	CBJ#194, 2023	6	0.67	−13%	20%	11%	<1%	Long shot
88	Jesse KiiskinenRW, 21. Young for the league, Steady	Grand Rapids GriffinsAHL	–	7	1.00	+5%	29%	4%	<1%	AHLer?
89	Danil ZhilkinC, 22. Steady, Honest	Manitoba MooseAHL	WPG#77, 2022	6	0.83	+3%	25%	4%	<1%	AHLer
90	Jakub StanclC, 21. Carrying a team, Heavy	Springfield ThunderbirdsAHL	STL#106, 2023	6	0.33	+27%	30%	2%	<1%	AHLer
91	Alex SuzdalevLW, 22. Steady, Honest	Hershey BearsAHL	–	4	0.00	−3%	29%	2%	<1%	AHLer
92	Bryce McConnell-BarkerC, 22. Carrying a team, Steady	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#97, 2022	5	0.20	+32%	23%	2%	<1%	AHLer
93	Atley CalvertC, 23. Volume shooter, Steady	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL	PIT	6	1.33	−18%	27%	2%	<1%	AHLer
94	Joey WillisC, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooter	Milwaukee AdmiralsAHL	NSH#111, 2023	1	0.00	+10%	27%	2%	<1%	AHLer
95	Gabe KlassenF, 23. Carrying a team, Steady	Utica CometsAHL	–	4	0.25	+25%	30%	2%	<1%	AHLer
96	Danny ZhilkinC, 22. Steady, Honest	Manitoba MooseAHL	–	6	0.83	−26%	26%	3%	<1%	AHLer
97	Martin MisiakR, 21. Carrying a team, Steady	Rockford IceHogsAHL	CHI#55, 2023	4	0.00	+36%	29%	<1%	<1%	AHLer
98	Nathan AspinallL, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the league	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#159, 2024	8	0.38	+32%	20%	4%	2%	AHLer
99	Carson RehkopfL, 21. Heavy, Stacked roster	Coachella Valley FirebirdsAHL	SEA#50, 2023	6	0.00	−19%	28%	<1%	<1%	AHLer
100	Dylan RoobroeckC, 22. Carrying a team, Heavy	Hartford Wolf PackAHL	NYR#178, 2023	7	0.14	+28%	24%	2%	<1%	AHLer

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.