GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Chase ReidD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAASEA#7, 202631.67−7%92%77%48%Top-pair
2Logan HenslerD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#23, 202540.75+10%75%7%4%Third-pair?
3EJ EmeryD, 20. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of North DakotaNCAANYR#30, 202440.50+10%57%2%<1%Third-pair
4Blake FiddlerD, 19. Young for the league, HeavyUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#36, 202540.00−1%35%<1%<1%Tweener
5Ben MacBeathD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAANYR#64, 202640.25−1%24%5%2%AHLer
6Luke SchairerD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASTL#75, 202620.00−7%31%2%<1%AHLer
7Chase CheslockD, 21. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#154, 202321.00+5%24%1%<1%AHLer
8Vladislav LukashevichD, 23. Playmaker, SteadyMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAAFLA#120, 2021330.64+9%24%<1%<1%AHLer?
9Garrett BrownD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAAWPG#99, 2022340.41020%1%<1%Long shot
10Drew SchockD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of MichiganNCAAANA#101, 202561.33−5%18%<1%<1%Long shot
11Hawke HuffD, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of St. ThomasNCAASEA#148, 202620.50+5%17%<1%<1%Long shot
12Michael FisherD, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCornell Univ.NCAASJS#76, 2022330.24+4%20%<1%<1%Long shot?
13Quinn BeauchesneD, 19. Edgy, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAAPIT#148, 202520.50−7%15%<1%<1%Long shot
14Matthew MayichD, 21. Steady, HonestClarkson Univ.NCAASTL#170, 2023340.44+15%14%1%<1%Long shot
15Tyler DukeD, 22. Playmaker, UndersizedUniv. of MichiganNCAAPIT400.45−8%14%1%<1%Long shot
16Charlie MorrisonD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of ConnecticutNCAANYR#77, 202640.50−5%10%<1%<1%Long shot
17Anthony Allain SamakeD, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of ConnecticutNCAAANA#168, 202540.00−5%7%<1%<1%Long shot
18Charlie LeddyD, 22. Steady, HonestQuinnipiac Univ.NCAANJD#126, 2022290.24+9%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
19Landon NyczD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of MassachusettsNCAASTL#107, 202660.17−1%8%<1%<1%Long shot
20Warren ClarkD, 22. Steady, HonestNorthern Michigan Univ.NCAATBL#179, 2023330.18+15%12%<1%<1%Long shot?
21Filip NordbergD, 22. Edgy, HeavyArizona State Univ.NCAAOTT#64, 202260.33−1%6%<1%<1%Long shot
22Theo WallbergD, 22. Heavy, SteadyWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAOTT#168, 202240.75−3%12%<1%<1%Long shot
23William McisaacD, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAASTL#145, 202440.25−5%8%<1%<1%Long shot
24Sean BarnhillD, 19. Edgy, HeavyMichigan State Univ.NCAANYR#70, 202530.33−9%6%<1%<1%Long shot
25Andrew StrathmannD, 21. Steady, HonestQuinnipiac Univ.NCAACBJ#98, 202350.80+10%7%<1%<1%Long shot
26Darels UljanskisD, 20. Steady, HonestSt. Cloud State Univ.NCAAANA#214, 202450.40+10%7%<1%<1%Long shot
27Luke CoughlinD, 21. Steady, HonestFerris State Univ.NCAAFLA#191, 202310.00+15%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
28Maxon VigD, 20. Heavy, SteadyBemidji State Univ.NCAAMTL#209, 202530.67+15%6%<1%<1%Long shot
29Brendan DunphyD, 20. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of ConnecticutNCAAFLA#197, 202530.00−5%3%<1%<1%Long shot
30Rasmus LarssonD, 22. Steady, HonestRobert Morris Univ.NCAANYR#152, 2023160.13+15%2%<1%<1%Long shot?
31Chris RomaineD, 22. Steady, HonestUniv. of MaineNCAACOL#193, 202230.00+10%1%<1%<1%Long shot?

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.