GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Tynan LawrenceC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAASTL#11, 202641.25−8%91%58%33%First-liner
2Michael HageC, 20. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAAMTL#21, 202462.33−1%90%34%28%Middle-sixer
3Vaclav NestrasilR, 19. Young for the league, Big frameUniv. of MassachusettsNCAACHI#25, 202560.50+5%62%24%15%Middle-sixer
4Casey MutrynR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASEA#38, 202630.00−5%60%22%13%Fourth-liner
5Mason WestC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueMichigan State Univ.NCAACHI#29, 202530.00−7%54%12%2%Fourth-liner
6Charlie CerratoC, 21. Playmaker, SteadyPenn State Univ.NCAACAR#49, 2025231.17+4%56%9%4%Fourth-liner?
7Ryder CaliC, 18. Young for the league, HeavyProvidence CollegeNCAAFLA#48, 202630.67−1%52%11%2%Fourth-liner
8Matias VanhanenL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyBoston CollegeNCAANJD#37, 202631.00−5%47%17%6%Tweener
9Jayson ShaugabayR, 21. Playmaker, UndersizedUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAATBL#115, 202361.50+5%44%6%2%Tweener
10Teddy StigaC, 20. Steady, HonestBoston CollegeNCAANSH#55, 202430.33−5%42%4%2%Tweener
11Malcolm SpenceL, 19. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAANYR#43, 202561.17−3%40%5%3%Tweener
12John MustardC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#67, 202430.67−3%37%7%1%Tweener
13Logan SawyerC, 20. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAAMTL#78, 202431.67−3%32%9%2%AHLer
14John MooneyC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAMTL#113, 202520.00−1%35%6%2%Tweener
15Adam BenakC, 19. Young for the league, UndersizedWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAMIN#102, 202541.75−3%28%9%2%AHLer
16Nathan BehmR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyArizona State Univ.NCAACHI#66, 202560.67−3%25%10%3%AHLer
17Ryder RitchieR, 20. Steady, HonestBoston Univ.NCAAMIN#45, 202430.67−9%34%2%1%AHLer
18Maxim MasséR, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of MassachusettsNCAAANA#66, 202460.67−1%21%6%3%AHLer
19Jayden PerronR, 21. Sniper, UndersizedUniv. of MichiganNCAACAR#94, 202362.50−5%24%3%1%AHLer
20Eric NilsonC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAAANA#45, 202531.67−8%34%<1%<1%AHLer
21Miguel MarquesR, 20. Steady, HonestNortheastern Univ.NCAANSH#87, 202431.67+10%24%3%1%AHLer
22Christopher PelosiC, 21. Steady, HonestQuinnipiac Univ.NCAABOS#92, 202351.00+10%21%2%<1%AHLer
23Conrad FondrkC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANJD#50, 202520.00−9%33%1%<1%AHLer?
24Austin BurnevikR, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAANA#182, 202440.25−1%20%3%<1%AHLer
25Viktor NorringerL, 20. Big frame, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAANSH#127, 202430.33−10%22%3%2%AHLer
26Clarke CaswellL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of DenverNCAASEA#141, 202441.00−3%21%2%<1%AHLer
27Jackson CrowderC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyOhio State Univ.NCAAWSH#155, 202510.00+5%21%3%2%Long shot
28Ben KevanR, 19. Steady, HonestArizona State Univ.NCAANJD#63, 202550.60−1%17%2%<1%AHLer
29Ollie JosephsonC, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of North DakotaNCAASEA#105, 202440.00+1%21%1%<1%AHLer
30William TomkoC, 19. Steady, HonestOhio State Univ.NCAASEA#204, 202640.50+5%16%4%<1%AHLer
31Sam HarrisL, 22. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of DenverNCAAMTL#133, 202341.00−3%12%<1%<1%AHLer
32Javon MooreL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of MinnesotaNCAAOTT#112, 202440.00−1%17%1%<1%AHLer
33Joey MuldowneyR, 22. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAASJS#172, 202240.50−5%14%<1%<1%AHLer
34Ryan WalshC, 23. Playmaker, SteadyCornell Univ.NCAABOS#188, 2023331.00+4%14%<1%<1%AHLer?
35Julius SumpfC, 21. Steady, HonestProvidence CollegeNCAACHI#98, 202532.00−3%16%<1%<1%AHLer
36Barrett HallC, 22. Edgy, SteadyUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAASEA#164, 202260.67+5%11%<1%<1%AHLer
37Lirim AmidovskiR, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAAMIN#121, 202540.25−5%17%<1%<1%Long shot
38Cole BrownL, 21. Steady, HonestUniv. of Notre DameNCAANJD#164, 202320.00+10%14%<1%<1%AHLer
39Owen BecknerC, 21. Steady, HonestColorado CollegeNCAAOTT#204, 202340.25+5%14%1%<1%AHLer
40Shea BuschL, 19. Young for the league, EdgyPenn State Univ.NCAAFLA#128, 202530.00+10%13%<1%<1%Long shot?
41Emile GuiteL, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of New HampshireNCAAANA#159, 202540.75+10%13%1%<1%Long shot
42David RozsivalR, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of St. ThomasNCAANJD#161, 202521.00+5%14%<1%<1%AHLer
43Alexandre BlaisC, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of ConnecticutNCAAANA#100, 202440.75−5%15%<1%<1%Long shot
44Zach NehringR, 21. Steady, HonestWestern Michigan Univ.NCAAWPG#82, 202340.75−3%12%1%<1%Long shot
45Ben MacDonaldC, 22. Steady, HonestHarvard Univ.NCAASEA#91, 2022230.43+4%16%1%<1%Long shot?
46Ty HenricksL, 21. Heavy, SteadyWestern Michigan Univ.NCAANYR#183, 202340.75−3%11%<1%<1%Long shot
47Blake MontgomeryL, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#117, 2024380.45−2%13%<1%<1%Long shot
48Mason MoeC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyUniv. of MinnesotaNCAANJD#90, 202530.33−1%12%<1%<1%Long shot
49Zaccharya WisdomR, 22. Steady, HonestWestern Michigan Univ.NCAASEA#212, 202341.00−3%8%<1%<1%AHLer
50Beckett HendricksonC, 21. Steady, HonestUniv. of MinnesotaNCAABOS#124, 202340.50−1%11%<1%<1%Long shot
51Reese LaubachC, 22. Steady, HonestPenn State Univ.NCAASJS#217, 202230.00+10%8%<1%<1%AHLer
52Jaden LipinskiC, 21. Big frame, SteadyUniv. of MaineNCAACGY#112, 202330.00+10%12%<1%<1%Long shot
53Brandon SvobodaC, 21. Heavy, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAAOTT#71, 202340.25−10%10%<1%<1%Long shot
54Hayden PaupanekisC, 19. Big frame, SteadySt. Cloud State Univ.NCAAMTL#69, 202540.25+10%8%1%<1%Long shot
55Raoul BoilardC, 20. Steady, HonestLake Superior State Univ.NCAANYR#119, 202440.75+15%9%1%<1%Long shot
56Tomas MrsicC, 20. Steady, HonestColorado CollegeNCAASTL#113, 202440.25+5%10%<1%<1%Long shot
57Klavs VeinbergsL, 23. Heavy, SteadyColorado CollegeNCAATBL#224, 202240.75+5%7%<1%<1%Long shot
58Cole SpicerC, 22. Steady, HonestWestern Michigan Univ.NCAABOS#117, 202240.50−3%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
59Ben MerrillC, 20. Edgy, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAAMTL#166, 202440.00−10%7%<1%<1%Long shot
60Ethan HayC, 21. Steady, HonestMiami Univ. (Ohio)NCAATBL#211, 202340.25+15%9%<1%<1%Long shot
61Carter KlippensteinC, 19. Edgy, SteadyProvidence CollegeNCAAMIN#123, 202510.00−3%7%<1%<1%Long shot
62Michael CallowR, 22. Big frame, SteadyHarvard Univ.NCAAANA#154, 2022160.44+4%4%<1%<1%Long shot?
63Cameron O'NeillR, 22. Steady, HonestUMassNCAAOTT#143, 2022310.45−4%7%<1%<1%Long shot?
64Jack HarveyL, 23. Undersized, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAATBL#193, 202340.50−10%6%<1%<1%Long shot
65Bruno IdzanL, 20. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#181, 202530.67+1%6%<1%<1%Long shot?
66Ryan MacPhersonC, 21. Steady, HonestRobert Morris Univ.NCAAPHI#172, 202340.00+15%5%<1%<1%Long shot
67James ClarkL, 21. Steady, HonestMichigan State Univ.NCAAMIN#213, 202330.67−9%6%<1%<1%Long shot
68Nicholas VantassellR, 22. Heavy, SteadyUniv. of New HampshireNCAAOTT#215, 202340.25+10%5%<1%<1%Long shot?
69Erik PåhlssonC, 22. Steady, HonestOhio State Univ.NCAANSH#213, 202440.00+5%4%<1%<1%Long shot
70Cade LittlerC, 22. Steady, HonestArizona State Univ.NCAACGY#219, 202260.50−3%4%<1%<1%Long shot
71Michael EmersonR, 22. Steady, HonestMerrimack CollegeNCAACAR#190, 202320.00+15%3%<1%<1%Long shot
72Connor LevisR, 21. Steady, HonestBowling Green State Univ.NCAAWPG#210, 202351.40+15%4%<1%<1%Long shot
73Antoine DorionC, 20. Edgy, SteadyMaryville Univ.NCAASTL#209, 202413.00+15%3%<1%<1%Long shot
74David KleeC, 21. Steady, HonestUniv. of Notre DameNCAASJS#196, 202340.00+10%3%<1%<1%Long shot?
75James FisherR, 22. Edgy, SteadySt. Lawrence Univ.NCAACBJ#203, 202230.33+15%2%<1%<1%Long shot

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.