Thursday, October 9, 2025
- Expected goals, OTT–TBL
- 3.2–2.3
- all situations, empty nets out
- TBL share of xG
- 42.0%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 34–25
- OTT–TBL
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Senators beat the Lightning 5-4, and the chances agreed: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3. The Senators came back from two goals down. Mitchell Chaffee finished 10 checks, his most in a game since 2023-24. Artem Zub scored for the first time in 41 games.
- Mitchell ChaffeePhysical
Mitchell Chaffee finished 10 checks, his most in a game since 2023-24. It was his first game of the season. The Lightning lost 5-4 to the Senators.
- Artem ZubDrought over
Artem Zub scored for the first time in 41 games. He finished with one goal and two assists. He also had 9 shot attempts. The Senators beat the Lightning 5-4.
- Brayden PointBig night
Brayden Point had three points, one goal and two assists. He has 1 goal this season. He played 19:40 and had one shot on goal. The Lightning lost 5-4 to the Senators.
- Brady TkachukBig night
Brady Tkachuk had three points, three assists. He also had 9 shot attempts. It was his first game of the season. It finished 5-4 for the Senators.
- Shane PintoBig night
Shane Pinto had three points, two goals and one assist. He has 2 goals this season. He played 19:21 and had two shots on goal. The Senators beat the Lightning 5-4.
- Fabian ZetterlundPhysical
Fabian Zetterlund threw 7 hits, his most in a game since 2023-24. It was his first game of the season. It finished 5-4 for the Senators.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
9 goals from 84 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Ottawa Senators
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Sanderson D | 23:10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.40 | 2 | 3 | 72 |
| Thomas Chabot D | 22:00 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 3 | 72 |
| Artem Zub D | 20:44 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 80 |
| Nick Jensen D | 19:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 66 |
| Brady Tkachuk L | 19:24 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0.63 | 3 | 1 | 63 |
| Shane Pinto C | 19:21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 85 |
| Tim Stützle C | 19:03 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 62 |
| Michael Amadio R | 18:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 43 |
| Ridly Greig C | 18:09 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.58 | 1 | 2 | 81 |
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 16:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 7 | 1 | 65 |
| Dylan Cozens C | 15:35 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 3 | 1 | 45 |
| Claude Giroux R | 15:11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.90 | 2 | 0 | 85 |
| Lars Eller C | 14:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 4 | 1 | 79 |
| Donovan Sebrango D | 14:18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 35 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo D | 13:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 50 |
| David Perron L | 12:37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Nick Cousins C | 10:46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 70 |
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 2:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Hedman D | 23:49 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 22:32 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.34 | 0 | 2 | 27 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 20:55 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| Brayden Point C | 19:40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 28 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 19:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 4 | 1 | 34 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 18:45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 45 |
| Erik Cernak D | 18:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 5 | 38 |
| Max Crozier D | 17:52 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 4 | 0 | 33 |
| Darren Raddysh D | 17:33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 17:08 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 31 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 15:40 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 38 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 14:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 1 | 41 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 14:39 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.45 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| Mitchell Chaffee R | 13:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 10 | 0 | 49 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 11:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 4 | 1 | 49 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 11:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 77 |
| Conor Geekie C | 10:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 81 |
| Curtis Douglas C | 5:09 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 92 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute