GRIT & GF
Mitchell Chaffee

Tampa Bay Lightning, Right wing

Mitchell Chaffee

  • Two-way
  • Stingy
  • Play-driver
Points, 2025–26
1
0 G, 1 A in 11 GP
Individual xG
1.0
0 goals from it
Ice time per game
9:34
9 shots on goal
xGF% at 5v5
61.7
share of chances while he's on

Mitchell Chaffee has 0 goals and 1 assist (1 point) in 11 games for the Tampa Bay Lightning in 2025–26, with 9 shots on goal and 9:34 of ice time a game. His Grit & GF rating for 2025–26 is 58.2 out of 100, provisional until he has 15 to 20 games.

11 games in. The methodology requires 15 to 20 games to be accurate, so this season's rating still leans on the league average for his position and will move.

GRIT & GF

2025-26

58.2050100
Rated above 44% of forwards
Goals above average
+0.1
Wins
+0.01
Physicality48thGF43thIntimidation52thChemistry52thClutch72th

Where the rating comes from

Weight × score in standard deviations. They sum to +0.12, which the normal curve turns into the rating.

Your weights

Under these weights he ranks above 44.1% of 531 rated players

The default weights are our call. Set your own; they get rescaled to add up to 100%.

Clutch

+0.44 SD · 72th percentile · weight 0%

His team's expected-goal differential with him on the ice in the third period or overtime of a one-goal game, against his own usual rate. Not counted in the rating since grit-0.5: it didn't repeat from season to season, so it was mostly luck.

  • Close-and-late liftxGD per 60Heavily shrunk: close-and-late minutes are scarce.0.0572th pct
  • Close-and-late ice timeminutesThe sample behind the clutch number.227th pct

Percentiles are against 531 rated forwards in 2025-26, on 95 minutes of his 5-on-5 time. Hits, blocks and takeaways count toward the rating and are worth zero goals until a study shows otherwise. Model grit-0.5.

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Game notes

Written the morning after from the night's stats, for games where he did something worth a sentence.

  1. vs OTT

    Thursday, October 9

    Physical

    Mitchell Chaffee finished 10 checks, his most in a game since 2023-24. It was his first game of the season. The Lightning lost 5-4 to the Senators.

Player card

Percentile among 476 forwards with enough games this season. He hasn't played enough yet to be ranked, so treat these as early. 50 is the median.

Scoring

  • Ice time per game9:34
    7
  • Points per 600.57
    3
  • Goals per 600.00
    0
  • Individual xG per 600.58
    14
  • Shots per 605.1
    25

5-on-5 play

  • xG for per 60, on ice2.89
    83
  • xG against per 60, on ice1.80
    100
  • xGF%61.7%
    100

Physical

  • Hits per 6016.5
    95
  • Blocks per 602.9
    66
  • Penalty minutes per 602.3
    29

Who he plays with

His most-used linemates at 5-on-5 this season, with what happened while they were out together.

LinematesGamesTOIShot attemptsxGGoalsxG share
Corey Perry, Nick Paul312:519–70.6–0.10–081%
Curtis Douglas, Conor Geekie310:558–120.2–0.60–025%
Yanni Gourde, Oliver Bjorkstrand59:007–70.2–0.30–043%
Curtis Douglas, Jack Finley28:2812–120.9–0.50–065%
Pontus Holmberg, Jack Finley36:461–80.0–0.20–00%
Curtis Douglas, Dominic James16:3110–50.6–0.40–062%
Pontus Holmberg, Conor Geekie44:305–10.1–0.00–088%
Yanni Gourde, Scott Sabourin14:257–20.5–0.10–080%

Where he shoots from

His unblocked shots this season, attacking right. 0 goals from 10 attempts.

GoalShot or miss

Last 20 games

Columns are his individual expected goals, the quality of his own chances. Dots are goals he scored.

ixGGoal
0.000.100.200.30
04-0104-15

By season

SeasonGPGAPSOGixGTOI/GPHitsBlkxGF% 5v5
2025–261101191.09:3429561.7
2024–256612618689.112:021332540.1
2023–2430437273.411:17882444.0

Last 20 games

DateTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkPIM
2026-04-1513:190100.00510
2026-04-066:230000.00200
2026-04-049:390000.00000
2026-04-029:230010.25320
2025-10-2310:090030.29400
2025-10-188:400000.00010
2025-10-1710:180030.23210
2025-10-148:040010.04100
2025-10-137:230000.18000
2025-10-118:280000.00200
2025-10-0913:240010.021004
2025-04-3011:420000.04210
2025-04-2812:411010.08300
2025-04-2614:090000.12320
2025-04-246:490000.09000
2025-04-158:560010.09100
2025-04-1310:380110.00010
2025-04-119:440000.00210
2025-04-0912:490020.00610
2025-04-0111:080020.18412