Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Expected goals, TBL–FLA
- 2.7–2.3
- all situations, empty nets out
- FLA share of xG
- 46.6%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 20–23
- TBL–FLA
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning beat the Panthers 3-1 in a game the chances had about even, 2.7 expected goals to 2.3. Brad Marchand has a point in 10 straight games. Jack Finley scored the winner.
- Brad MarchandStreak
Brad Marchand has a point in 10 straight games. That was his 12th goal of the season. He played 17:52 and had three shots on goal. The Panthers lost 3-1 to the Lightning.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
TBLFLA
0204060
TBL 34FLA 47
1st2nd3rd
Where the shots came from
4 goals from 81 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
GoalShot or miss
← TBL shootingFLA shooting →
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel C | 25:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 62 |
| Nikita Kucherov R | 22:31 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.50 | 3 | 1 | 58 |
| J.J. Moser D | 22:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 3 | 48 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 20:21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 3 | 51 |
| Darren Raddysh D | 20:20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 55 |
| Brayden Point C | 19:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 59 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 19:36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.85 | 4 | 0 | 37 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 18:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 36 |
| Erik Cernak D | 18:05 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| Max Crozier D | 17:50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 81 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 16:02 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 91 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 15:18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 12:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Boris Katchouk L | 10:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 37 |
| Scott Sabourin R | 9:06 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | 2 | 0 | 87 |
| Jack Finley C | 8:25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.52 | 3 | 0 | 80 |
| Curtis Douglas C | 7:07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 3 | 0 | 87 |
| Jakob Pelletier L | 6:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 74 |
Florida Panthers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Jones D | 25:30 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 53 |
| Sam Reinhart C | 23:28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.63 | 1 | 1 | 43 |
| Anton Lundell C | 23:05 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Gustav Forsling D | 21:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| Aaron Ekblad D | 20:46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 5 | 1 | 36 |
| Niko Mikkola D | 18:50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 44 |
| Sam Bennett C | 18:46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 4 | 0 | 65 |
| Brad Marchand L | 17:52 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 17:35 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Mackie Samoskevich R | 16:11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 71 |
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 15:26 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 28 |
| Jeff Petry D | 14:46 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Evan Rodrigues C | 14:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 44 |
| Donovan Sebrango D | 10:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| Jesper Boqvist C | 10:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 4 | 0 | 62 |
| A.J. Greer L | 8:04 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Luke Kunin C | 7:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| Cole Schwindt R | 7:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute
The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro
The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.