Tuesday, December 2, 2025
- Expected goals, TBL–NYI
- 4.0–2.1
- all situations, empty nets out
- NYI share of xG
- 34.7%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 31–24
- TBL–NYI
- Pre-game model
- –
- no projection stored
The story
The Lightning created more, 3.9 expected goals to 2.2, and lost 2-1 to the Islanders. Ilya Sorokin saved 2.9 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. Mathew Barzal had 1.2 expected goals and nothing to show for it.
- Ilya SorokinStole one
Ilya Sorokin saved 2.9 goals more than an average goalie would have on the same shots. He stopped 30 of 31. It finished 2-1 for the Islanders.
- Mathew BarzalSnakebit
Mathew Barzal had 1.2 expected goals and nothing to show for it. He has 18 points in 26 games this season. The Islanders beat the Lightning 2-1.
- Anthony CirelliSnakebit
Anthony Cirelli generated 1.2 expected goals on six shots and did not score. He also had 9 shot attempts against an average of 3.0. The Lightning lost 2-1 to the Islanders.
- Darren RaddyshIce time
Darren Raddysh played 25:28, about 7 minutes more than his average this season. He has 16 points in 20 games this season. The Lightning lost 2-1 to the Islanders.
- Nikita KucherovIce time
Nikita Kucherov played 26:35, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 32 points in 24 games this season. The Lightning lost 2-1 to the Islanders.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
3 goals from 89 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov R | 26:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 67 |
| Darren Raddysh D | 25:28 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 2 | 64 |
| Brandon Hagel L | 24:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 69 |
| J.J. Moser D | 22:48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Anthony Cirelli C | 22:17 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.27 | 0 | 2 | 69 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 21:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 66 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 21:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Emil Lilleberg D | 18:54 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 66 |
| Nick Paul L | 15:02 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 59 |
| Declan Carlile D | 14:48 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 69 |
| Yanni Gourde C | 14:40 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 66 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 13:10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 2 | 1 | 75 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 11:36 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 69 |
| Dominic James C | 11:32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| Steven Santini D | 10:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 63 |
| Pontus Holmberg R | 10:23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 68 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 7:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
| Curtis Douglas C | 4:27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
New York Islanders
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pelech D | 23:50 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.21 | 3 | 3 | 39 |
| Bo Horvat C | 22:22 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| Matthew Schaefer D | 21:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 28 |
| Ryan Pulock D | 20:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 36 |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 19:57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.91 | 1 | 2 | 39 |
| Emil Heineman L | 19:31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.85 | 1 | 2 | 42 |
| Scott Mayfield D | 19:23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 2 | 40 |
| Mathew Barzal C | 17:01 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 16:40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 43 |
| Jonathan Drouin L | 16:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Anders Lee L | 15:53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| Calum Ritchie C | 14:38 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 45 |
| Maxim Shabanov R | 14:06 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 31 |
| Travis Mitchell D | 11:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 31 |
| Anthony Duclair L | 11:36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Casey Cizikas C | 10:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 88 |
| Kyle MacLean C | 9:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 4 | 0 | 54 |
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 9:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 5 | 0 | 96 |
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute