GRIT & GF

Thursday, December 4, 2025

Pittsburgh Penguins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected goals, PIT–TBL
3.3–4.5
all situations, empty nets out
TBL share of xG
57.8%
50% is even
Shots on goal
31–40
PIT–TBL
Pre-game model
–
no projection stored

The story

The Lightning created more, 4.6 expected goals to 3.2, and lost 4-3 to the Penguins. Nikita Kucherov had 19 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Evgeni Malkin had three points, two goals and one assist.

  • Nikita Kucherov had 19 shot attempts, more than any other skater that night. Ten reached the net and one went in. His average this season was 7.4. He played 26:22, about 6 minutes over his average. The Lightning fell 4-3 to the Penguins.

  • Evgeni MalkinBig night

    Evgeni Malkin had three points, two goals and one assist. His goal with under five minutes left was the winner. It finished 4-3 for the Penguins.

  • Brandon HagelTwo goals

    Brandon Hagel had two goals. He put 7 shots on goal, against an average of 3.0. He has 17 goals this season. The Lightning fell 4-3 to the Penguins.

  • Darren Raddysh played 27:49, about 9 minutes more than his average this season. He has 18 points in 21 games this season. The Lightning fell 4-3 to the Penguins.

  • Ville KoivunenDrought over

    Ville Koivunen scored for the first time in at least 23 games. That was his first goal of the season. The Penguins beat the Lightning 4-3.

  • Nick PaulStreak

    Nick Paul has a point in 5 straight games. He has 6 points in 8 games this season. The Lightning fell 4-3 to the Penguins.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

PITTBL

Where the shots came from

7 goals from 105 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← PIT shootingTBL shooting →

Pittsburgh Penguins

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Erik Karlsson D25:290160.160059
Bryan Rust R21:370020.830052
Sidney Crosby C21:300010.051068
Ryan Shea D20:050000.031152
Kris Letang D20:030130.072251
Parker Wotherspoon D20:010030.222163
Ben Kindel C17:501050.460246
Blake Lizotte C16:070000.142159
Evgeni Malkin C15:542130.321045
Kevin Hayes R14:580030.293062
Ryan Graves D14:400000.040131
Connor Clifton D14:160000.003227
Connor Dewar C13:430010.121262
Rutger McGroarty R13:010010.023028
Ville Koivunen R12:481020.191136
Anthony Mantha R12:360110.341154
Tommy Novak C11:210200.000052
Bokondji Imama L5:380000.000064

Tampa Bay Lightning

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Darren Raddysh D27:490220.161034
Nikita Kucherov R26:2211101.020057
Jake Guentzel C26:080130.340033
J.J. Moser D23:030010.021143
Charle-Edouard D'Astous D19:310010.370053
Emil Lilleberg D18:060000.080053
Brandon Hagel L18:032070.880072
Anthony Cirelli C17:400010.230052
Oliver Bjorkstrand R17:240020.400138
Nick Paul L17:240110.260069
Yanni Gourde C16:240020.094116
Zemgus Girgensons C15:380020.143030
Pontus Holmberg R13:430030.292031
Declan Carlile D10:570010.051138
Max Crozier D10:120020.101059
Dominic James C9:020010.070131
Gage Goncalves C8:160100.000053
Curtis Douglas C2:330010.010054

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.
PIT at TBL, 2025-12-04 · Grit & GF